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1,260 registered users, 6 online
Newest member: rsconley
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February 07, 2010
Trying gold again
by  Peaceful-B | 3 Comments
Though gold hasn't moved since mid-December, we are trying it again as it, once again, appears to be the best option. Runners up include Malaysia and Consumer Staples.
February 06, 2010
Three near-term tracks for SPX
by  dcouch | 1 Comment
I think Goldman Sachs can get the bears to quickly cover by pushing the SPX back over 1104 next week.
Getting a close over 1116 would definitely route the bears.
Here is my chart forecast of three paths: Green for Bull.
Red for Bear.
http://www.screencast.com/t/MTU5NWVh
The most bearish count would be a third a third wave down which would be intense.
Called the "point of recognition" when it occurs.
I am positioned for a market drop, but I am ready to be convinced otherwise by price action, not by news speculation.
Over at ZeroHedge is quote from Art Cashin:
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/art-cashin-market-commentary-encore-presentation
"The “easy” part of the reflex rally is over. The market has a couple of options on where it heads next. They range all the way from resuming the January selloff to resuming the December rally. This window of uncertainty could last until about Tuesday. The market should show its hand by then. For today, the napkins again suggest early resistance at 1102/1105 with critical backup at 1112/1115. Support again looks like 1087/1092. The fall back from there would be 1070/1075. Breaking below 1070 could put the bears back in control." - Art Cashin
February 06, 2010
Beware of Greeks Bearing Bonds
by  jeffvan1 | 1 Comment
The spreads on Credit Default Swaps for Greece's bonds has gone sky-high and of course the larger the spread, the lower the bond price and hence, demand for higher yields. In turn, that increases the CDS spread and the cycle repeats until the bonds are graded junk which then makes default a self-fulfilling prophesy. My Dubai "false alarm" is starting to look like a fire drill. Can we say "contagion risk" kiddies and will the PIIGS get fried by Greece??? LOL
(PIIGS; Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain)
February 05, 2010
Greece is the Word
by jeffvan1 | 4 Comments
I was somewhat suprised on Thursday when the talking heads attributed the market decline to international worries about Greece defaulting on its bonds. I was thinking, Yeah! Right! Like the possibility of default just surfaced yesterday and everyone ran to the exit gates in a panic. Well, score one for the talking heads, it looks like they did their homework on this one. What I didn't know was that Greece's tax collectors walked off their jobs on Thursday. I can see where that just might contribute to a wee bit of panic in the global markets.
Nevertheless, short term the I-Fund looks severely oversold and when I say short-term I mean really short. Those who took a position in the I-Fund on close of business Feb 5th may benefit from a potential bounce on Monday or Tuesday. On Wednesday all bets are off. It seems the public union (police, firefighters, tax collectors, etc) in Greece has voted to go on strike February 10th. And as if thats not enough, the second largest private work sector Union in Greece intends to go on strike later in the month.
I want to know who forgot to give these people a DVD copy of the Lehman / Bear-Stearns ultra mini-series??
 
February 05, 2010
How seasonal allocations work?
by JCOLON-B | 6 Comments
Hi, so far seasonal allocations are working well. But what I want to know is why there is a specific allocation for specific months. How the funds over tho whole year behave with respect to the months. I don`t know if my question is clear.
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| Pending Allocations for Feb 9, 2010 |
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| TSP Share Prices for Feb 8, 2010 |
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Close |
Day |
YTD |
 |
G Fund |
$13.1669 |
+0.03% |
+0.36% |
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F Fund |
$13.5589 |
-0.16% |
+1.68% |
| |
C Fund |
$12.5484 |
-0.85% |
-5.06% |
| |
S Fund |
$15.7432 |
-0.70% |
-4.36% |
| |
I Fund |
$16.9555 |
-0.45% |
-8.53% |
| |
L 2040 |
$14.9198 |
-0.58% |
-4.57% |
| |
L 2030 |
$14.8483 |
-0.51% |
-3.96% |
| |
L 2020 |
$14.8246 |
-0.41% |
-3.23% |
| |
L 2010 |
$15.0689 |
-0.16% |
-0.99% |
| |
L Income |
$13.7693 |
-0.14% |
-0.80% |
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