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"FantasyTSP™ and Discussion Forum for the Thrift Savings Plan Investor"
 
 
--- Member Statistics ---
10,890 members, 29 online
Newest member: lmcrep
October 20
S Fund and the DOW
by  United States barronc | 3 Comments

It is my understanding that the S Funds objective is to match the DOW, so for that reason I follow the DOW ticker. How is it that the DOW can be down and the S fund (W4500) is up? For example currently, the W4500 is up 6 points and the DOW is down 22.




October 20
Midterm Election Years
by  United States Tomanyiron | 2 Comments

We haven’t talked about it in a while, but now might be a good time to bring it up again. A few things I have picked-up from my notes, and looking around the web.

- Markets usually put in important lows during the fourth quarter of mid-term election years, and the corrections usually end in October.
- Political outcomes aren’t very relevant. The historical record suggests that the market has a tendency to rally no matter which party wins a midterm election.
- Coincidentally, October is also the month when most major bottoms have taken place.
- Halloween, (ten trading days from now) also marks the start of the best three months of the year that often ends sometime in January. It also marks the start of the best six-month seasonal span that lasts until April.
- The presidential fourth year is typically the most propitious year for stocks.

I don't believe these historical market patterns are all anyone needs to know. And a lot can happen in ten days. But I do think it is worth considering. And argues against getting too pessimistic, don’t you think?




October 20
Hello
by  United States Spitfire | 3 Comments

Hello all I just started here hope to learn alot. If anyone has advise for a newbie just let me know.




October 19
Standard Deviation
by  United States PHXFF | 3 Comments

For those of you professionals, what figure do you use to calculate annual Standard Deviation? I've seen that either 251 or 252 accurately represents the amount of trading days in a year. The argument of 251 factors in all the times the market is either closed or closes early (noon or 1PM) throughout the year. Thoughts?




October 18
tsp.gov Account Login & Password NEVER sent to my home???
by  United States frogmaster | 2 Comments

I started my TSP JUL 2014 and been to TSP.gov trying to determine my Account Number and Password to LOGIN. I have placed my SSN# in the TSP.gov box that says they will mail to my home.

I am Deployed near Iraq right now but the Wife says NOTHING from TSP has came in the mail. TSP.gov also says they will not provide over the phone or email (I understand the security concerns with that). HOWEVER, it really sucks placing $$$ in an account you can not see :shock:

Any Suggestions???

Mr. Frog
Bless :wink:




October 18
Nice to be here for a TSP assist to my TSP issues.
by  United States frogmaster | 4 Comments

Nice to be here for a TSP assist to my TSP issues.

I started my TSP JUL 2014 and been to TSP.gov trying to determine my Account Number and Password to LOGIN. I have placed my SSN# in the TSP.gov box that says they will mail to my home. I am Deployed near Iraq right now but the Wife says NOTHING from TSP has came in the mail. TSP.gov also says they will not provide over the phone or email (I understand the security concerns with that). HOWEVER, it really sucks placing $$$ in an account you can not see :shock:

Mr. Frog
Bless :wink:




October 17
What the F Fund?
by  United States Heckler511 | 2 Comments

Can someone please help me understand why the F Fund is down -0.33% from 15 Oct to 16 Oct according to the TSP?

AGG was down a mere -0.08% on the day of 16 Oct.

Any insight would be helpful. Thank you.




 
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TSP Share Prices for Oct 17, 2014
    Close Day YTD
   G Fund $14.5525 +0.01% +1.86%
   F Fund $16.7196 -0.10% +6.21%
   C Fund $24.7823 +1.29% +3.80%
   S Fund $32.9743 +0.47% -2.07%
   I Fund $23.8077 +1.33% -6.87%
   L 2050 $14.0660 +0.96% +0.02%
   L 2040 $24.9468 +0.85% +0.45%
   L 2030 $23.6294 +0.75% +0.73%
   L 2020 $22.0324 +0.59% +1.09%
   L Income $17.1285 +0.23% +1.85%
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AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)

S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)

Wilshire 4500 (S Fund)
Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Complet (^DWCPF)

EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)