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TSP Center - The Thrift Savings Plan Community
 
"FantasyTSP™ and Discussion Forum for the Thrift Savings Plan Investor"
 
 
--- Member Statistics ---
11,083 members, 26 online
Newest member: Dewailer
December 19
Recognition for the "Betting on 16" Winners
by  United States Tomanyiron | 13 Comments

Another day has come without a repair to the Dec 16-17 IFT glitch. Each day that that passes, will cause more difficulty setting right, I would suspect. Some trophies will be missed because of it, and recognitions missed placed. This is some of what they missed: C Fund +4.51%, S Fund +4.42%, I Fund +2.59% for the two days.

I spent a little time looking over the list of guys that put in their IFTs on Dec 16, (but were not processed until EOD Dec 17). And I don’t know if it is interesting to anyone else but it is fascinating to me when you have one of these rare moments in time. And for whatever reason people make the right move on the right day. What was it that they ascertained from data? Or was it something they heard or read? Maybe it was just a hunch or premonition based on past market actions. And I’m sure a lot of folks are going to say, “They just got lucky”. But can you be lucky over and over?

Out of the 39 IFTs that day, only about 23 were good moves. Transfers into the C or S funds from G or S, or an increase in percent of the stock funds. 9 C fund, 3 S fund, 6 50/50 C&S, 3 60/40 C&S, 1 70/30 C/S, 1 20/80 C&S: 23 Total. If I got any of this wrong, please correct me.

OK what am I getting to? Well if you have a watchlist, you might want to add some of those names. If you only want a narrowed down list, at least add these four. Manny82, +17.46%, MagnumPI +15.55%, spin360+12.94%, frankwhite+11.99%.

Note The percent after is their unofficial 2014 year to date, it should be more.




December 18
Conspiracy Theories Anyone?
by  United States Heckler511 | 14 Comments

Here's a scenario for you guys:

The US and Obama, in cahoots with the Saudis, drive down the price of oil to $55/bbl. The implosion in oil prices causes massive panic and mayhem globally, especially in mother Russia with love where the economy all but crashes. And just to rub it in, Obama signs off on one more round a sanctions. It's essentially full out new order economic warfare.

What do the Saudis get out of it all? The destruction of the US shale industry. I'm not convinced we weren't ready to set those jobs and boom towns on fire, casualties of war. They also get to stick it to Iran. Plus oil represents the old economy (the future is solar don't you know) and drill baby drill was never really Obama's M.O.

So some US citizens take a hit, but generally lower gas prices for all is a huge win... more over around the holidays. And in one final coup, the US says "Cuba is our's now, thanks for playing!" With extra money in the consumer pocket, Santa visits every house twice this Christmas, and vacations in Havana are enjoyed by all.

Sure that's not how it actually happened, but watch it play out that way. The story is just too good.




December 18
Do you have Considerable Patience?
by  United States Tomanyiron | 9 Comments

Some of our best Fantasy players must, they are not complaining much. The EFTs summited on Dec 16 did not get process right. And as we know that is a big oops.
I think if it can get fixed, it would be good. If not the YTD will be irrelevant.
Pending Allocation Changes for Dec 16, 2014
G F C S I L2050 L2040 L2030 L2020 LIncome
jtjwcook
100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
qcguy50
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
sjonesuspp
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
teckniquex
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3dollarbil
45% 25% 10% 10% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
reaper19
0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mackie
20% 50% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
repinda808
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
torresdt
0% 10% 30% 35% 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
finne311
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TSPOSTAL
0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
joharo
0% 0% 60% 40% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
benhem612
0% 5% 50% 45% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
jds1971
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Shagwell
65% 0% 0% 35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
scottandsh
0% 0% 75% 0% 0% 25% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manny82
0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
oldjack
0% 0% 20% 80% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
alligatorm
0% 0% 70% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
shadd
100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
heli_av8er
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
maggie
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
MagnumPI
0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
roxy13
0% 0% 60% 40% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
surfhn
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
dirtyism
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
spin360
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
pdm
0% 65% 0% 35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
retirehawk
0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
billdad
0% 0% 60% 40% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
nillie
25% 0% 75% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafrinere
0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
tresrios
0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
HillBillyM
0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
frankwhite
0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
hootiehead
0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
finally
100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
achild
100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Goliad87
0% 0% 50% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%




December 18
Fed Meetings are Like a Box of Chocolates
by  United States Tomanyiron | 4 Comments

You never know what you're gonna get. With a little backpedaling, and more dovish language at the end of their two-day meeting, the Fed set things up for the best one-day gains for stocks in 2014. They wanted to be sure the market didn't get spooked by what they said. They modified their previous language from “considerable time” to saying they “can be patient” about the timing of the first rate hike.

You say what’s wrong with “to err on the side caution”? Nothing, that’s why I have been waiting. Do I think that the market conditions now are favorable for the Santa rally to get going? Well stocks were already solidly higher ahead of the meeting, and might have ended up anyway. Yellen also said that the Fed is “unlikely to begin the normalization process for at least the next couple of meetings”. Sounds like buying time today, or tomorrow? Give me a few minutes and let me have one more cup of coffee. I'm hoping it will be something like this. :lol:

“Every day I sat down at my work table where I spent an hour or two; I tried a great number of combinations and arrived at no result. One evening, contrary to my custom, I took black coffee; I could not go to sleep; ideas swarmed up in clouds; I sensed them clashing until, to put it so, a pair would hook together to form a stable combination. By morning I had established the existence of a class of Fuchsian functions, those derived from the hypergeometric series. I had only to write up the results which took me a few hours.” Henri Poincare, Science et Methode




December 17
Creating my Fantasy TSP
by  United States gr8nole | 3 Comments

Hello to all...

First time on this site and it seems very informative. Question. When setting up my Fantasy TSP for the first time, is it possible to change the current balance of 100K? It seems to defaul to that and I dont know how to change so that it represents my actual TSP balance.

thx




December 17
So here we are,
by  United States crondanet5 | 20 Comments

midway through options expiration week. How's everybody doing? Did you have the patience to wait until the frothy action settles? You know this is one of those special expiration weeks because not only do we have so many options transacted last week but we also have the FOMC meeting and their interest rate announcement this afternoon. As I recall, historically the market always drops that week on Tuesday only to rally once the words of the board are heard in the afternoon. Will this week repeat the actions of previous FOMC weeks? And what about the failure of the Fantasy Game to once again not enter yesterday's IFTs and recalculate our account statistics? Will that mean finally has a chance (at least in his Fantasy account) to pull out with a gain? Time will tell. Good luck to all, especially my good friend Tomanyiron, who has 2 IFTs remaining for the month of December. Anyone care to guess when he will hit the SUBMIT button?




December 15
$SPX
by  United States - Utah TSPTrader | 0 Comments

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TSP Share Prices for Dec 19, 2014
    Close Day YTD
   G Fund $14.6069 +0.01% +2.24%
   F Fund $16.7603 +0.13% +6.47%
   C Fund $27.3058 +0.46% +14.37%
   S Fund $36.1134 +0.47% +7.25%
   I Fund $24.4808 -0.11% -4.24%
   L 2050 $15.0155 +0.26% +6.77%
   L 2040 $26.4625 +0.24% +6.56%
   L 2030 $24.8769 +0.20% +6.04%
   L 2020 $22.9489 +0.16% +5.29%
   L Income $17.4568 +0.02% +3.81%
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AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)

S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)

Wilshire 4500 (S Fund)
Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Complet (^DWCPF)

EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)