Search found 819 matches

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by cswift01
Wed Mar 18, 2020 5:58 pm
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Are you sticking to your strategy?
Replies: 21
Views: 6642

Re: Are you sticking to your strategy?

I think you have to understand a black swan when you see it. In this case the pandemic + the oil wars = no strategy could have foreseen these problems. I'm in G, but I'm waiting for a comfortable low to rejoin, my strategy.
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by cswift01
Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:39 am
Forum: Anything Goes
Topic: I was proven right...
Replies: 14
Views: 5106

I was proven right...

And the Russian trolls have returned. Amazing how having a nice, adult conversation is not possible for some people. Just check out my reputation points, you'll discover all the names of our resident trolls. The best part is that this was in our "anything goes" forum, where you're literall...
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by cswift01
Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:34 am
Forum: Anything Goes
Topic: WAEPA vs. FEGLI
Replies: 6
Views: 2957

Re: WAEPA vs. FEGLI

jackhannah wrote:Anyone use WAEPA or other life insurance instead of FEGLI? Thanks
Thanks! Never heard of this company. I'll have to look into it.
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by cswift01
Wed Mar 04, 2020 4:29 am
Forum: Anything Goes
Topic: Universal Health Care
Replies: 27
Views: 8081

Re: Universal Health Care

78% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck. Hundreds of thousands of workers have no sick leave. You think they will stay home when they get symptoms of this virus? No way. They cannot. Have to fight tooth and nail to keep the wolf from the door. This is the reality of how fast this virus will spre...
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by cswift01
Tue Mar 03, 2020 8:15 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Dead Cat Bounce
Replies: 50
Views: 15682

Re: Dead Cat Bounce

I'll chime in.. I'm not Aitrus so sorry for that. Rough math tells me that with current death rates it's about 10 times as deadly as the flu. If it matches the historical reach of flu globally then it could be over a million dead globally. The flu ranges from 200-600k deaths per year globally. Ther...
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by cswift01
Tue Mar 03, 2020 4:48 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Dead Cat Bounce
Replies: 50
Views: 15682

Re: Dead Cat Bounce

From a seasonal (combined with my research) approach, we shouldn't have to wait until the middle of March for the market to go down again. We'll see though, since anything could happen, any time.
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by cswift01
Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:19 pm
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Why no fund that exactly mirrors the Dow?
Replies: 6
Views: 2782

Re: Why no fund that exactly mirrors the Dow?

The Dow is almost up 4.77, however, the S fund seems to be a mix of nasdaq and russ2k and is only up 2.77. The C fund (SPY ticker) seems dead on with S&P. So I guess my question is why don’t we have a mirror for the Dow? The lay person may hear Dow up five percent later and then wonder why they...
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by cswift01
Mon Mar 02, 2020 7:30 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: The Reality of Becoming a TSP Millionaire
Replies: 23
Views: 11235

Re: The Reality of Becoming a TSP Millionaire

So you want to be TSP millionaire? I ain't easy folks, here's the reality of how it works when you're getting close and the consequences of the decisions we make. On Thursday 2/20 my balance was $999,950 after the all time high S&P close on Wednesday 2/19, and at that time I was 100% C fund. Ea...
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by cswift01
Mon Mar 02, 2020 4:20 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Panic buying
Replies: 20
Views: 6163

Re: Panic buying

Aitrus and TLuke are spot on. Family members should always be prepared for water, food, protection, shelter, etc, shortages at all times. I'm more worried about hurricanes and snowstorms and the havoc they can cause on society for a few weeks. I've been around FL and have plenty of family in FL sin...
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by cswift01
Wed Feb 26, 2020 3:30 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: After Hours
Replies: 8
Views: 3052

Re: After Hours

Yesterday was weird. Everything dropped, gold, silver equities, with the exception of bonds. But the value increase was slight. I didn't see that 2% increase...
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by cswift01
Fri Feb 21, 2020 10:55 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Lots of great research here
Replies: 1
Views: 3040

Lots of great research here

Check out the Tweets. They're usually very informative and thought provoking. I hope they pique your curiosity too:

https://twitter.com/sentimentrader

Enjoy!

Best,

Me
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by cswift01
Fri Feb 21, 2020 10:51 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Almost there
Replies: 8
Views: 4806

Re: Almost there

It would seem like we have our 2nd inversion happening, just today. https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd10y?countrycode=bx&mod=home-page I didn't find any literature on historical impacts of multiple yield curve inversions. Thanks, Me I am a noob on bond markets, so how would ano...
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by cswift01
Fri Feb 21, 2020 9:14 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Almost there
Replies: 8
Views: 4806

Almost there

It would seem like we have our 2nd inversion happening, just today.

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/b ... =home-page

I didn't find any literature on historical impacts of multiple yield curve inversions.

Thanks,

Me
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by cswift01
Thu Feb 20, 2020 10:09 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Say no to April showers...yes to gold showers???
Replies: 3
Views: 3808

Say no to April showers...yes to gold showers???

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4325543-repo-and-man-april-showers Someone mentioned in the forum that April would be the end of the Fed's repo actions. I had understood that they would continue through June (of which I posted an article), but it looks like they will probably end it in April after ...
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by cswift01
Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:51 am
Forum: TSP & Market Discussion
Topic: Curious proposal
Replies: 15
Views: 7385

Re: Curious proposal

cswift01, Don't worry, your HSA isn't going to go away. SnareMV17, The article states that it would apply to household earning up t $200K so that excludes the really rich. I don't think it is that difficult to explain the difference between traditional and Roth IRAs but the rules for TSP and 401K a...

Fund Prices2024-05-10

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.24 0.01% 1.54%
F $18.86 -0.22% -1.88%
C $81.82 0.18% 10.02%
S $80.25 -0.32% 4.10%
I $42.79 0.31% 6.48%
L2065 $16.31 0.16% 7.91%
L2060 $16.32 0.16% 7.91%
L2055 $16.32 0.16% 7.92%
L2050 $32.61 0.12% 6.56%
L2045 $14.86 0.11% 6.24%
L2040 $54.24 0.10% 5.94%
L2035 $14.31 0.09% 5.58%
L2030 $47.61 0.09% 5.24%
L2025 $13.16 0.05% 3.55%
Linc $25.66 0.04% 3.01%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".