New Check-In from Alabama

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bamafamily
Posts: 155
Joined: Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:18 pm

New Check-In from Alabama

Post by bamafamily »

Hey All,
New guy from Huntsville, AL...working ISS stuff...
I can't believe I have not come across this site earlier....!! Awesome stuff....I am currently a member on one of the other TSP sites and following more of the technical/fundamental analysis with my TSP....I am not doing bad, but being that I started a tad late, I am a tad more interested on the Growth --> Aggressive Growth side of investing.... 8-)

About 4.5yrs from retirement....(MRA) and trying to squeak out everything I can....while staying as safe as I can...(everyone's goal, right??)

This whole "seasonality" type investment style is totally different than my (primarily) TA style of investing. I am trying to read up as much as I can on both the monthly (as well as the newer daily) style of seasonal investing.. I guess I need to get familiar with tspcalc.com , don't I?? lol

One of the things I might be interested in as well is utilizing this method in my other IRA's and 401K's......I have read some posts where some people are doing that as well....

Looking forward to participating in some of the discussions...

Bama...
Bama

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by mmmmmbeer »

Welcome sir! Looks like you're right where we are too.
Last edited by mmmmmbeer on Wed Aug 23, 2017 7:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

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evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by evilanne »

Greetings bamafamily...there is a wealth of info on the site to learn from. Aitrus is the expert on the monthly strategies and always willing to share. Don't be afraid to ask questions. The daily almost seems too good to be true (only time will tell), but there is always risk when investing in the stock market. Good luck!

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mjedlin66
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Joined: Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:51 pm

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by mjedlin66 »

You really need to read Aitrus' "
Seasonal Musings" thread. My website is only a tool for now, it doesn't explain anything. Aitrus, by contrast, explains seasonality in great detail. His strategies have more research tied to them than the tspcalc.com strategies do.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

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bamafamily
Posts: 155
Joined: Wed Aug 23, 2017 1:18 pm

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by bamafamily »

Thanks MJ....That was actually one of the first posts I found... :roll:
I will be comparing monthly's and daily's over the next week or so to see which way I will head....Like you said, the strategies he mentions do have more research, but they are monthly trades where there is the possibility of missing out on some gains based on more frequent "signals".
I saw a post somewhere else about how far of a lookback period do you actually need given how dynamic our financial system is....e.g. does data from 20yrs ago really have as much credence as data from say 10 yrs ago?? or 5yrs ago?? something I will be trying to look at....thx again and great tool you have created...

Bama


mjedlin66 wrote:You really need to read Aitrus' "
Seasonal Musings" thread. My website is only a tool for now, it doesn't explain anything. Aitrus, by contrast, explains seasonality in great detail. His strategies have more research tied to them than the tspcalc.com strategies do.
Bama

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evilanne
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Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by evilanne »

It is nice to have more data but I agree that the more recent should be more relevant or predictive (no guarantees regardless of how much data you have), especially after the last financial crisis, QE etc., I think much has changed over the years.

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by mmmmmbeer »

evilanne wrote:It is nice to have more data but I agree that the more recent should be more relevant or predictive (no guarantees regardless of how much data you have), especially after the last financial crisis, QE etc., I think much has changed over the years.


Shoot.. look at the G fund for instance. Starting the first 15 years of TSP the G Fund averaged 6.96%. Holy smokes...

My Step-Dad was in the fed in 1988, they told him then the G Fund was going to be perfect when you retire. It's going to average 5-10% forever and your money was be great there. Oh how times have changed.
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

ChopStix
Posts: 10
Joined: Thu Feb 09, 2017 2:42 pm

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by ChopStix »

That was the good 'ol days. lol.

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hytid
Posts: 42
Joined: Fri Dec 02, 2016 9:01 am

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by hytid »

ChopStix wrote:That was the good 'ol days. lol.


#MAGA

homeslice
Posts: 12
Joined: Mon Apr 03, 2017 12:05 pm

Re: New Check-In from Alabama

Post by homeslice »

LOL.

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

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