Futures down hard on a huge jobs miss. 522k more people out of the labor force (birth > death by 200k, rest from participation drop). 115k new jobs added vs expectation 163k. All bad.
Abandon ship!
flight23's FantasyTSP Account
Moderator: Aitrus
Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
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Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
Futures tanking because economic data was good, expectation of Fed Taper rising, 10 year yields shooting up.
I moved to I a few days ago because I has been underperforming relative to S, Europe is picking up steam, and I is mostly weighted to Europe and Japan. Risk may shift from US to Europe & emerging markets.
Also, 57 of the top 60 on the YTD leaderboard are primarily S/C fund. The contrarian in me takes that as a sign to be elsewhere. F fund is going to get crushed by rising yields, stay away. G & I are the best options, I is still a risk.
I moved to I a few days ago because I has been underperforming relative to S, Europe is picking up steam, and I is mostly weighted to Europe and Japan. Risk may shift from US to Europe & emerging markets.
Also, 57 of the top 60 on the YTD leaderboard are primarily S/C fund. The contrarian in me takes that as a sign to be elsewhere. F fund is going to get crushed by rising yields, stay away. G & I are the best options, I is still a risk.
@GlobalCollapse on Twitter
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Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
Since Aug 12 (date of allocation change to I fund):
S Fund -3.51%
I Fund -0.03%
S Fund -3.51%
I Fund -0.03%
@GlobalCollapse on Twitter
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Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
BOOOOOOYAAAAAAAAAAAA!
(I fund +3% today)
(I fund +3% today)
@GlobalCollapse on Twitter
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Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
flight23 wrote:BOOOOOOYAAAAAAAAAAAA!
(I fund +3% today)
Congrats Flight! Glad to see that I-Fund move pay off for you. Took awhile but then came in strong!
BigMike
Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
Thanks... Im debating on moving to S today (so would go into effect tomorrow before open). I may hedge and go 50-50 S/I.
@GlobalCollapse on Twitter
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Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
Move from the I fund to the S fund yesterday should pay off nicely today. I expect tonight the I fund return will be negative and S fund will be +1%.
Question is... what will Monday bring, next week is going to be volatile.
Question is... what will Monday bring, next week is going to be volatile.
@GlobalCollapse on Twitter
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Re: flight23's FantasyTSP Account
Move to the S fund was a poor choice, taking hopefully a small loss and running to G until this crap is sorted out. Once it is, long term S/I.
@GlobalCollapse on Twitter
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Fund Prices2024-05-10
| Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
| G | $18.24 | 0.01% | 1.54% |
| F | $18.86 | -0.22% | -1.88% |
| C | $81.82 | 0.18% | 10.02% |
| S | $80.25 | -0.32% | 4.10% |
| I | $42.79 | 0.31% | 6.48% |
| L2065 | $16.31 | 0.16% | 7.91% |
| L2060 | $16.32 | 0.16% | 7.91% |
| L2055 | $16.32 | 0.16% | 7.92% |
| L2050 | $32.61 | 0.12% | 6.56% |
| L2045 | $14.86 | 0.11% | 6.24% |
| L2040 | $54.24 | 0.10% | 5.94% |
| L2035 | $14.31 | 0.09% | 5.58% |
| L2030 | $47.61 | 0.09% | 5.24% |
| L2025 | $13.16 | 0.05% | 3.55% |
| Linc | $25.66 | 0.04% | 3.01% |