Cone of Uncertainty

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evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: Cone of Uncertainty

Post by evilanne »

Since 1976, the Federal Fiscal Year, beginning October 1 & ending September 30, and the uncertainty of whether or not a budget is passed probably has an impact since the the market never likes uncertainty.

mindofmush
Posts: 353
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 1:38 pm

Re: Cone of Uncertainty

Post by mindofmush »

Many of the Daily Strategies take advantage of the traditionally good first half of September while avoiding the weaker half by getting out of stocks then Even though #7980 has had a couple of negative Septembers (2 of 13), the F fund has had 5 over the same time period.

The data is not "inconsistent", the data displays the volatility of the market. September and October are traditionally volatile months, just a factor of dealing with the stock market.

Higher volatility = higher risk, so if you're risk-averse then run away to the safety of the G.
mo meng, mo ching (which loosely means: no money, no life)

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

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