Strength and Mood
Moderator: Aitrus
Re: Strength and Mood
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=7653&years=04-17
Tomany, What are your thoughts on the Fed announcement this afternoon?
Tomany, What are your thoughts on the Fed announcement this afternoon?
- repinda808
- Posts: 209
- Joined: Fri Sep 13, 2013 3:18 pm
Re: Strength and Mood
Thirty3 wrote:#7653?...... were are these and how do you decide on them?
These are the new seasonal mixes that people are starting to follow. Over the summer, 7653 was the top mix available. There are many new ones that have slightly improved the gains since. They are all available on tspcalc.com. As for your decision, I could easily recommend any of the Top 100 mixes. But you can choose one based on your risk tolerance. That decision is totally up to you. Welcome to TSPcenter and good luck!
2020 Seasonal Strategy 86299
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Strength and Mood
evilanne wrote:http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=7653&years=04-17
Tomany, What are your thoughts on the Fed announcement this afternoon?
Did you know the Fed owns $1.7 trillion of mortgage-backed securities, 29% of the market, and $2.4 trillion in US government bonds, around 17% of that market? Don't fight the Fed, right?
Yellen says they are going to start shrinking their balance sheet, doing it slowly, with very carefully telegraphed steps. In the end, after thinking about it, that was seen as somewhat good news.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Re: Strength and Mood
Ummm...Tomanyiron? Are you on vacation? I didn't see your Wednesday's charts.
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Strength and Mood
pokiemon wrote:Ummm...Tomanyiron? Are you on vacation? I didn't see your Wednesday's charts.
Yes I am, and was without internet for a while. Thanks it's good to know I was missed.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Strength and Mood
Updated EOD Wednesday September 20, 2017
Nothing on these two charts supports an F fund transfer. 1- Unless we think bonds are oversold. 2- The separation of SP500’s Price and Mood. 3- Or maybe “Sell the News” Fed meeting.
Nothing on these two charts supports an F fund transfer. 1- Unless we think bonds are oversold. 2- The separation of SP500’s Price and Mood. 3- Or maybe “Sell the News” Fed meeting.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Re: Strength and Mood
Tomanyiron wrote:pokiemon wrote:Ummm...Tomanyiron? Are you on vacation? I didn't see your Wednesday's charts.
Yes I am, and was without internet for a while. Thanks it's good to know I was missed.
Is your buddy Crondanet with you? Haven't heard anything from him recently.
- panda_rama
- Posts: 20
- Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2016 12:52 pm
Re: Strength and Mood
Yeah, I noticed Crondanet hasn't been around much. They always made me laugh with their play fights and sarcasms.
Re: Strength and Mood
It looks like the F has been in a foul mood.
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Strength and Mood
Updated EOD Thursday September 21, 2017
As you can see from these two charts, stocks are losing momentum. However the bond fund did not take much advantage of that. Looking at the futures 10 and 30 Year Bond prices, that may change today.
https://m.investing.com/rates-bonds/
As you can see from these two charts, stocks are losing momentum. However the bond fund did not take much advantage of that. Looking at the futures 10 and 30 Year Bond prices, that may change today.
https://m.investing.com/rates-bonds/
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Re: Strength and Mood
With the ole' North Korea threat making news again we may be able to squeek out a few positive days in the F fund.
Re: Strength and Mood
Thanks for the update, Tomanyiron. Please keep us informed.
Re: Strength and Mood
Are there other besides 10 and 30 Year Bond prices that affects the F fund?
Re: Strength and Mood
You have mortgage backed securities, US Treasuries including notes & bonds, high quality corporate bonds (industrial, banks, utilities)
see https://www.blackrock.com/investing/pro ... market-etf
see https://www.blackrock.com/investing/pro ... market-etf
Fund Prices2024-04-17
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.19 | 0.01% | 1.25% |
F | $18.68 | 0.50% | -2.85% |
C | $78.62 | -0.58% | 5.72% |
S | $76.27 | -0.89% | -1.07% |
I | $40.66 | -0.17% | 1.19% |
L2065 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.17% |
L2060 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.18% |
L2055 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.18% |
L2050 | $31.39 | -0.35% | 2.57% |
L2045 | $14.34 | -0.33% | 2.47% |
L2040 | $52.43 | -0.31% | 2.41% |
L2035 | $13.87 | -0.28% | 2.31% |
L2030 | $46.25 | -0.25% | 2.24% |
L2025 | $12.93 | -0.12% | 1.78% |
Linc | $25.29 | -0.09% | 1.55% |