Strategy for Natural disaster
Moderator: Aitrus
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- Joined: Sun Feb 06, 2011 10:51 am
Strategy for Natural disaster
There must be a strategy that will help prevent lose (and maybe make a profit?) during the major floods, etc. currently happening. But I have no idea of best strategy or timing for same. Suggestions please.
- Scarfinger
- Posts: 810
- Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
My take is... There are none besides not being in the market when it goes down.
Its very risky to try and make a + gain/profit when the stock market is going down. All indicators are lagging, meaning none tell you the future. The strategy...
First determine if the market is truly going down, sideways or up.
Use an indicator you understand.
When it is on the "oversold" status, consider buying in.
Now hope and pray that the price goes up
If the price goes up, don't be greedy... try and make a profit
If the market develops and forms a "trend"... you are screwed
Analogy: Jump under a falling knife, hope you catch it without hurting yourself. If you miss...?
Its very risky to try and make a + gain/profit when the stock market is going down. All indicators are lagging, meaning none tell you the future. The strategy...
First determine if the market is truly going down, sideways or up.
Use an indicator you understand.
When it is on the "oversold" status, consider buying in.
Now hope and pray that the price goes up
If the price goes up, don't be greedy... try and make a profit
If the market develops and forms a "trend"... you are screwed
Analogy: Jump under a falling knife, hope you catch it without hurting yourself. If you miss...?
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation ofTimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
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- Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 4:38 pm
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
Newbie here reviving an old thread... Sounds like natural disasters are bad for the market. Now that we have Hurricane Harvey on the way out, I'd be interested to get thoughts on transferring to F/G or holding steady in market funds.
I'm currently tracking the 7980 daily strategy and the S fund may not be the right place, right now.
I'm currently tracking the 7980 daily strategy and the S fund may not be the right place, right now.
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
The investing strategy relies on a certain degree of discipline. Unless there is overwhelming evidence of a 'reverse trend' it is not wise to break with your strategy. This is just my opinion...
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Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
I hear ya and certainly agree in normal day to day news/events. However, if it's "commonly known" that these things produce downtrends xx% of the time, then it could be wise to make a move to safety for a short time. Looking at the charts, the hurricane didn't hurt anything today, so that's good.
Anyone have the savvy to look at any meaningful trend???
Many thanks!
Anyone have the savvy to look at any meaningful trend???
Many thanks!
- rmcdeepsea
- Posts: 35
- Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2014 8:17 am
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
I don't know how "Savvy" I am, but looked mostly sideways today even with the Natural Disaster.
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
bamablue wrote:The investing strategy relies on a certain degree of discipline. Unless there is overwhelming evidence of a 'reverse trend' it is not wise to break with your strategy. This is just my opinion...
This.. exactly. Stay on target
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.
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Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
Tempasante wrote:There must be a strategy that will help prevent lose (and maybe make a profit?) during the major floods, etc. currently happening. But I have no idea of best strategy or timing for same. Suggestions please.
I think it is wise to stick with a plan through thick and thin.
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
With any disaster, there is going to be winners & losers. Insurance companies having to pay out large claims will be hurt, business selling the basic necessities needed for all the displaced people and companies in the business of fixing the damage and rebuilding will do well. Oil Companies somewhat mixed--supply reduced due to companies shutting down due hurricane, unknown impact on facilities in the gulf & gas prices will rise.
There may be buying opportunities for individual stocks that could be profitable, but with index funds that has everything in it, it is really hard to judge and better to stick with your plan. It is never good to buy/sell based on fear or greed.
There may be buying opportunities for individual stocks that could be profitable, but with index funds that has everything in it, it is really hard to judge and better to stick with your plan. It is never good to buy/sell based on fear or greed.
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- Posts: 4330
- Joined: Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:51 pm
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
G Fund. Just like when you go on vacation.
Re: Strategy for Natural disaster
Futures look rough this AM. Ouch.
Fund Prices2024-03-28
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.15 | 0.05% | 1.05% |
F | $19.08 | -0.06% | -0.74% |
C | $82.21 | 0.11% | 10.55% |
S | $82.43 | 0.30% | 6.92% |
I | $42.57 | -0.24% | 5.95% |
L2065 | $16.38 | 0.02% | 8.37% |
L2060 | $16.39 | 0.02% | 8.38% |
L2055 | $16.39 | 0.02% | 8.38% |
L2050 | $32.73 | 0.01% | 6.95% |
L2045 | $14.91 | 0.02% | 6.58% |
L2040 | $54.38 | 0.02% | 6.22% |
L2035 | $14.34 | 0.02% | 5.79% |
L2030 | $47.67 | 0.02% | 5.38% |
L2025 | $13.15 | 0.03% | 3.43% |
Linc | $25.61 | 0.03% | 2.82% |