Strategy for Natural disaster

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Tempasante
Posts: 5
Joined: Sun Feb 06, 2011 10:51 am

Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by Tempasante »

There must be a strategy that will help prevent lose (and maybe make a profit?) during the major floods, etc. currently happening. But I have no idea of best strategy or timing for same. Suggestions please.

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Scarfinger
Posts: 810
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by Scarfinger »

My take is... There are none besides not being in the market when it goes down.

Its very risky to try and make a + gain/profit when the stock market is going down. All indicators are lagging, meaning none tell you the future. The strategy...

First determine if the market is truly going down, sideways or up.
Use an indicator you understand.
When it is on the "oversold" status, consider buying in.
Now hope and pray that the price goes up
If the price goes up, don't be greedy... try and make a profit
If the market develops and forms a "trend"... you are screwed

Analogy: Jump under a falling knife, hope you catch it without hurting yourself. If you miss...?
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

RCTactical
Posts: 8
Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 4:38 pm

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by RCTactical »

Newbie here reviving an old thread... Sounds like natural disasters are bad for the market. Now that we have Hurricane Harvey on the way out, I'd be interested to get thoughts on transferring to F/G or holding steady in market funds.

I'm currently tracking the 7980 daily strategy and the S fund may not be the right place, right now.

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bamablue
Posts: 246
Joined: Tue Jul 24, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by bamablue »

The investing strategy relies on a certain degree of discipline. Unless there is overwhelming evidence of a 'reverse trend' it is not wise to break with your strategy. This is just my opinion...

RCTactical
Posts: 8
Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 4:38 pm

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by RCTactical »

I hear ya and certainly agree in normal day to day news/events. However, if it's "commonly known" that these things produce downtrends xx% of the time, then it could be wise to make a move to safety for a short time. Looking at the charts, the hurricane didn't hurt anything today, so that's good.

Anyone have the savvy to look at any meaningful trend???

Many thanks!

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rmcdeepsea
Posts: 35
Joined: Tue Jun 03, 2014 8:17 am

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by rmcdeepsea »

I don't know how "Savvy" I am, but looked mostly sideways today even with the Natural Disaster.

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by mmmmmbeer »

bamablue wrote:The investing strategy relies on a certain degree of discipline. Unless there is overwhelming evidence of a 'reverse trend' it is not wise to break with your strategy. This is just my opinion...



This.. exactly. Stay on target
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

BeachBum25
Posts: 12
Joined: Wed Jun 28, 2017 5:28 pm

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by BeachBum25 »

Tempasante wrote:There must be a strategy that will help prevent lose (and maybe make a profit?) during the major floods, etc. currently happening. But I have no idea of best strategy or timing for same. Suggestions please.


I think it is wise to stick with a plan through thick and thin.

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evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by evilanne »

With any disaster, there is going to be winners & losers. Insurance companies having to pay out large claims will be hurt, business selling the basic necessities needed for all the displaced people and companies in the business of fixing the damage and rebuilding will do well. Oil Companies somewhat mixed--supply reduced due to companies shutting down due hurricane, unknown impact on facilities in the gulf & gas prices will rise.

There may be buying opportunities for individual stocks that could be profitable, but with index funds that has everything in it, it is really hard to judge and better to stick with your plan. It is never good to buy/sell based on fear or greed.

crondanet5
Posts: 4330
Joined: Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:51 pm

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by crondanet5 »

G Fund. Just like when you go on vacation.

GoRedSox
Posts: 38
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2016 3:32 pm

Re: Strategy for Natural disaster

Post by GoRedSox »

Futures look rough this AM. Ouch.

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
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Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

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