"M" Top and Is the I Fund Too High?

[Duval]

Sorry, TomS88, your "charts" did NOT "tell you where an index is going."

"Want to come over the house [sic!] so I can sit you down and show you some buy and sell signals?"

WHICH were those?

"Please, share some of your brilliance ..."

I did that -- and you REFUSED to R-E-A-D!

And note that Tomanyiron, who started this thread -- and claimed the I Fund, whose recent rise he'd Totally Missed, was near a top -- REMAINS Totally Invested in the F Fund.

My recommendation is as its always been: Unless we're facing a recession, be invested in stocks, 40% C Fund, 40% S Fund, 20% I Fund, or something like that mix.

If you think that the I Fund is likely to outperform, as it has and I expect it to do, bump your exposure to that fund up to 30%.

It is manifestly apparent that most people posting at this site can NOT even comprehend the concept of diversification, still less "reversion to the mean," much less ability to read charts, as here.

Hence the posts.

Come on man.

[Aitrus]

Sorry folks, caught wind of this thread a little late.

rlinehan,

You are free, as is everybody else here, to state your thoughts and ideas regarding investing. You will, however, need to stop the insults. Just because you think somebody's interpretation of a chart or data point is in error does not give you the right to castigate, lambast and insult them as if they don't have two brain cells to rub together.

This has been an ongoing problem, and this is your last warning. You've been warned before. Do it again...ever...and you're gone.

[skiehawk11]

Sorry folks, caught wind of this thread a little late.

rlinehan,

You are free, as is everybody else here, to state your thoughts and ideas regarding investing. You will, however, need to stop the insults. Just because you think somebody's interpretation of a chart or data point is in error does not give you the right to castigate, lambast and insult them as if they don't have two brain cells to rub together.

This has been an ongoing problem, and this is your last warning. You've been warned before. Do it again...ever...and you're gone.

I am behind Aitrus 100 percent on this.

Now, let's get back on track with the good discussion this thread has created.

[Tiffany]

http://schrts.co/7JilyT

TSP Funds YTD
G Fund +0.57%
F Fund +0.78%
C Fund +5.86%
S Fund +3.45%
I Fund +8.17%

Investopedia can explain the "W" or Double-Top pattern better than I.

“The double-top pattern is found at the peaks of an upward trend and is a clear signal that the preceding upward trend is weakening and that buyers are losing interest. Upon completion of this pattern, the trend is considered to be reversed and the security is expected to move lower.”

http://www.investopedia.com/university/ ... z4ci74osdU

Still seems to have some steam left.

[usps2013]

Given the current look and seasonality, I would say 65.22 is a healthy return. If it pushes strongly through that point, ~68.00 would be my highest target before a healthy correction.

Good luck.