The daily seasonal strategy

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Tomanyiron
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by Tomanyiron »

Aitrus wrote:Back in the '50s and early '60s our economy was more heavily based on agriculture and less on consumer spending. That means that back in the day summertime was the place to be invested, while now it's not. You might have noticed a small portion of that.

Thanks Aitrus, that makes sense. Do you have or have you ever seen a daily graph like this that can be adjusted. i.e. 60's to now, 70s to now, 80s to now?

mjedlin's starts in 2004.
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Aitrus
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by Aitrus »

No, I haven't seen anything like that.
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mmmmmbeer
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mmmmmbeer »

Did we find a mistake in the calc? I thought our YTD ROR was close to 11%... showing a little over 7.5% now?


Ohhh... I see. Something is wrong with May 2017. Should be up over 3% Not at negative -.40
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mjedlin66
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mjedlin66 »

mmmmmbeer wrote:Did we find a mistake in the calc? I thought our YTD ROR was close to 11%... showing a little over 7.5% now?


Ohhh... I see. Something is wrong with May 2017. Should be up over 3% Not at negative -.40


I thought I fixed that last night. I will take another look.
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mmmmmbeer
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mmmmmbeer »

mjedlin66 wrote:
mmmmmbeer wrote:Did we find a mistake in the calc? I thought our YTD ROR was close to 11%... showing a little over 7.5% now?


Ohhh... I see. Something is wrong with May 2017. Should be up over 3% Not at negative -.40


I thought I fixed that last night. I will take another look.


EvilAnne was messing around with it! You know those Texans... always break in stuff stomping around with those spurred boots and big old hats.
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evilanne
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by evilanne »

Matt did say to have fun :wink:

mmmmmbeer
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mmmmmbeer »

evilanne wrote:Matt did say to have fun :wink:



Reach for the sky!
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mjedlin66
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mjedlin66 »

It's fixed.
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mmmmmbeer
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mmmmmbeer »

mjedlin66 wrote:It's fixed.


Your pretty quick on the draw yourself!

Thanks buddy... what do we owe you?
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bamablue
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by bamablue »

If only I could go back to 2004 and hand a print-out of 5037 to my 2004 self.... I'd be a gazillionaire. Eh... with my luck, I'd land in 1984 right in the middle of a Flock of Seagulls concert.

mmmmmbeer
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mmmmmbeer »

bamablue wrote:If only I could go back to 2004 and hand a print-out of 5037 to my 2004 self.... I'd be a gazillionaire. Eh... with my luck, I'd land in 1984 right in the middle of a Flock of Seagulls concert.


Right?! Of course... 2004.. married 3 years.. baby boy in my arms that year. I got to monies for the Two's! Maybe 5% for the match. Even that much... with my secret play book... we'd a crushed it bamablue!

Oh and if some kid and a crazy old man. Ever show up in a Delorian... killem!
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Midway
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by Midway »

Interesting how the leader board changes when the range changes, eg: 2004-2017 vs 2010-2017. I wonder what range would be most indicative of what is to come. Or if there is one calculation that appears in all ranges...

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Tomanyiron
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by Tomanyiron »

crondanet5 wrote:I'd like to see what they say about June.

Image

Chart by http://www.sentimentrader.com
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mmmmmbeer
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by mmmmmbeer »

So while I'M all sad we're sitting in the G when we're in an upswing, hopefully when we do end up jumping in our law of averages kicks in.

Stay on target mmmmm...beer!

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Josiedog
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Re: The daily seasonal strategy

Post by Josiedog »

If you followed #5009 you would still be in S Fund. That was the only fund that was different in June. F on 9th trade day and I on 18th trade day. 1.24% avg vs 1.30% for all others in June. Just at a glance, it looks like it probably has a lower standard deviation then the others. Possibly something to consider when looking at the trade-off for maximizing the gain.

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Fund Prices2024-05-13

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.25 0.04% 1.58%
F $18.88 0.11% -1.77%
C $81.80 -0.02% 10.00%
S $80.29 0.05% 4.15%
I $42.83 0.10% 6.58%
L2065 $16.32 0.03% 7.94%
L2060 $16.32 0.03% 7.95%
L2055 $16.32 0.03% 7.95%
L2050 $32.63 0.04% 6.60%
L2045 $14.87 0.04% 6.27%
L2040 $54.26 0.04% 5.98%
L2035 $14.32 0.04% 5.62%
L2030 $47.62 0.04% 5.28%
L2025 $13.17 0.04% 3.59%
Linc $25.67 0.04% 3.05%

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