Fund Strength Strategy

[crondanet5]

Fix the system.

[Tomanyiron]

Fix the system.

This is only one of many ways of looking at the funds. The unique thing is it cares only about strength. Other members have good track records of systems that perform well. I leave it up to others to find a mixed seasonal/momentum system. I can think in that way, but have not been able to construct the rules system, that stands the test of time.

[Tomanyiron]

All Funds Looking Tired

[12squared]

Tomany,

Does the chart signal a move from I to C on or after 5/5? If not, what is the entry/exit criteria?

[Tomanyiron]

Tomany,

Does the chart signal a move from I to C on or after 5/5? If not, what is the entry/exit criteria?

Thanks 12squared that a good question. I can tell you this, I see how you can justify making a move to C on 5/8. That was the first day the I fund underperformed the C.
However, looking back I thought I saw a better method. Which was, after in a fund, stay with that fund until it dropped to/or below the 0 (zero) line.
Then Transfer to which ever fund was the most positive (if IFT rules allowed).

I'm sure other "Methods of Madness" can be interpreted by the graph of this ongoing struggles of strength between the funds.

[Tomanyiron]

Also, you see sometimes what is commonly called "Bear Traps" and "Bull Traps" .This system will float above those traps (most of the time). Which is important with limited transfers.

Even though, Cron never used the words "Bear Trap", he suggested that this pause in the I fund may turn out to be something like that.

Is Mr Market trying to scare some of us off, so the I can be bought at a lower price?

[Tomanyiron]

Update EOD Wed 5/10/17
At the close everything looked better. However the S fund’s past absorbed most of its gains today. And the F-alling fund’s downward momentum could not prevent record negativity.
Is this the end of consolidation before continuing up?
I will take whatever percent (large or small) I can get. Because I know systems like this never get you out without some last day(s) losses.

[crondanet5]

Tommie thanks for the update. Now click on the I Fund chart below and select the 1 month timeframe. Does today's chart of 8-10 May look like 20-21 April and should we expect good upward action tomorrow? Also examine May 3-4 timeframe.

[usps2013]

i still believe the i fund has the most, near term, upside. seasonality shows that all funds should endure a big drop this month. the i fund is best positioned to buck this trend in the near term; for at least a little while longer.

[Scarfinger]

I made this chart back in January. So far it has came true. Of course I didn't have the discipline to stick to any plan and stay in the I fund. But I see a potential for another 6% gain in the I fund. How long will that take... not sure

[Tomanyiron]

Updated EOD May 11, 2017
I Fund went negative
This system says, stay C-alm in the C fund.

[crondanet5]

Perhaps.

[evilanne]

Looks like all stock is going to zero or negative

[Tomanyiron]

Looks like all stock is going to zero or negative

Yes and it took sheer willpower to not make that IFT to G rather than C.

[crondanet5]

Yup, pre-loaded to the G Fund.

I think your wonderful program works in too short a time frame.

Let's see if Monday's I Fund move proves me right.