Seasonal Calculator Launch

[mjedlin66]

Man, you guys think too hard.

[Ofsthun01]

Man, you guys think too hard.

You opened Pandora's box with the potential of this thing.

[bamablue]

Thinking too much... I'm reminded of that old sage, Quick Draw McGraw... "I'll do all the thinnin' around here Baba Looey!" Not relevant to the subject, but that's my random thought for the day.

[mmmmmbeer]

Following #6861 right now, which luckily happens to coincide with the previous one I was following for the month. So yesterday was the IFT to the "I" fund for the next few days. Boom! This morning we're up more one hour than we have been the entire month this far in the G+F.

Obviously it's not going to work out like that all the time... but when it does... it's pretty sweeet!

[nrialto]

mmmmmbeer, agreed. It's pretty early in the year to tell if it's coincidence or not, but I have to say, the daily seasonal has been great so far. It seems like the IFT's and their subsequent performance have been accurate; almost to the day.

Hopefully I'm not overthinking this. Am I overthinking this? I hope I'm not overthinking this...

[mmmmmbeer]

mmmmmbeer, agreed. It's pretty early in the year to tell if it's coincidence or not, but I have to say, the daily seasonal has been great so far. It seems like the IFT's and their subsequent performance have been accurate; almost to the day.

Hopefully I'm not overthinking this. Am I overthinking this? I hope I'm not overthinking this...

I don't think you are bro... . All's I know is I started today with a .41 month of June and ended today with sumphin like 1.23% .

[mjedlin66]

For those of you who are worried about outlier years, this is the plan:

In version 2.0, the leaderboard will have more data columns. One will be Standard Deviation. In addition to more data, you will be able to sort and filter the data. For instance, you will be able to sort the data by highest average with a maximum standard deviation of +/- 20%. You can change this filter to any value. You can remove above +/-15%, +/-16%, whatever. That will remove strategies with highly irregular outliers. You will also be able to sort it by Standard Deviation or sort it by compound, etc.

There will also be 5 new "Time in G, F, C, S, I" columns. So if you want a strategy list sorted by highest average limited to a standard deviation of 20% AND doesn't use the I fund at all, you can generate that list.

The caveat is you have to wait several months for version 2.0.

[mmmmmbeer]

For those of you who are worried about outlier years, this is the plan:

In version 2.0, the leaderboard will have more data columns. One will be Standard Deviation. In addition to more data, you will be able to sort and filter the data. For instance, you will be able to sort the data by highest average with a maximum standard deviation of +/- 20%. You can change this filter to any value. You can remove above +/-15%, +/-16%, whatever. That will remove strategies with highly irregular outliers. You will also be able to sort it by Standard Deviation or sort it by compound, etc.

There will also be 5 new "Time in G, F, C, S, I" columns. So if you want a strategy list sorted by highest average limited to a standard deviation of 20% AND doesn't use the I fund at all, you can generate that list.

The caveat is you have to wait several months for version 2.0.

You're like a drug dealer mjedlin66!! "First taste is free."

Always leave em wanting more.

[mmmmmbeer]

mmmmmbeer, agreed. It's pretty early in the year to tell if it's coincidence or not, but I have to say, the daily seasonal has been great so far. It seems like the IFT's and their subsequent performance have been accurate; almost to the day.

Hopefully I'm not overthinking this. Am I overthinking this? I hope I'm not overthinking this...

I don't think you are bro... . All's I know is I started today with a .41 month of June and ended today with sumphin like 1.23% .

The EFA strikes again.. ticker showed .89%... looks like the "I" was only .47%.

[SurelyJame]

The EFA strikes again.. ticker showed .89%... looks like the "I" was only .47%.

I hope it goes both ways since EFA's down about the same today.

[mmmmmbeer]

The EFA strikes again.. ticker showed .89%... looks like the "I" was only .47%.

I hope it goes both ways since EFA's down about the same today.

A beating.. we're taking a beating today! Oh well there's always tomorrow!

[Aitrus]

The EFA strikes again.. ticker showed .89%... looks like the "I" was only .47%.

I hope it goes both ways since EFA's down about the same today.

A beating.. we're taking a beating today! Oh well there's always tomorrow!

The beatings will continue until the market improves!

[mmmmmbeer]

The EFA strikes again.. ticker showed .89%... looks like the "I" was only .47%.

I hope it goes both ways since EFA's down about the same today.

Haha it worked!! EFA -.99% today vs. "I" fund at -.27% is all!!!

Whuuuhouuuu!!

Sooo... obviously the EFA is not even a close match to guess with.

[ravioli817]

For those of you who are worried about outlier years, this is the plan:

In version 2.0, the leaderboard will have more data columns. One will be Standard Deviation. In addition to more data, you will be able to sort and filter the data. For instance, you will be able to sort the data by highest average with a maximum standard deviation of +/- 20%. You can change this filter to any value. You can remove above +/-15%, +/-16%, whatever. That will remove strategies with highly irregular outliers. You will also be able to sort it by Standard Deviation or sort it by compound, etc.

There will also be 5 new "Time in G, F, C, S, I" columns. So if you want a strategy list sorted by highest average limited to a standard deviation of 20% AND doesn't use the I fund at all, you can generate that list.

The caveat is you have to wait several months for version 2.0.

Sounds great! Thank you!

[TSPNerd]

Here's one I created that's the top of the leader board now. I spent a day messing in Excel to come up with the mix. 36.53% average return. 6,498.04% compound.

http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=7573 ... lin66-7563