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Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Fri May 19, 2017 3:21 pm
by outlaw58d
The emotional reaction to media hype. I have a coworker who is still upset about Trump being elected and has protested by parking his funds in the G since November. His emotions have cost a lot of gains. He was gloating about his strategy on Tuesday... missing out on 12% gain to be right when there's a 2% correction seems silly in hindsight.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Fri May 19, 2017 5:33 pm
by Jokerswild
outlaw58d wrote:The emotional reaction to media hype. I have a coworker who is still upset about Trump being elected and has protested by parking his funds in the G since November. His emotions have cost a lot of gains. He was gloating about his strategy on Tuesday... missing out on 12% gain to be right when there's a 2% correction seems silly in hindsight.


Yes, go anti Trump and park your money in the U.S treasury....... If I was anti-Trump, I'd have placed my money in the I fund and been on the top of the TSP leader boards :lol:

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Sun May 21, 2017 5:29 am
by Tomanyiron
Prices trend, however, they don’t do it forever and as the balance of power shifts between bulls and bears, a new stance must be taken. This "transitional" period is when the most difficult decisions are made, and there will be the most mistakes. Almost no one believes the trend changed when it starts.

And as far as news events, I call them the “why” after the fact. The “what” (price action) is more important than the “why”. It will drive you nuts trying to interpret which news events are important to the markets, and which are not.


Image

http://schrts.co/XSNeAx

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:17 pm
by RGEN
Great chart To Many. Get's us back on topic. Time to stay in G.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:28 pm
by WildBill
There is no bubble.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:33 pm
by Peaty
Agree WildBill.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:40 pm
by frankwhite
WildBill wrote:There is no bubble.


Bump^

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:43 pm
by Asiana
WildBill wrote:There is no bubble.


Warren Buffett Says no bubble.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:47 pm
by FlyIFR
Far from bubble territory. Relax.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:51 pm
by CajunJoe
Agree.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 12:55 pm
by Heat
What bubble?

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 1:32 pm
by Tomanyiron
Heat wrote:What bubble

I think when it ends it will be called the ‘Trump Bubble'.
Some were saying it was already a bubble near the end of the Obama administration. Trump the candidate called it a bubble when he was campaigning. People criticized the Fed, saying they were making a bubble.

I speak as someone who tried to outsource my decision making to the news for years and failed. So I don't care if it is or is not a bubble. I only care what price is today compared to yesterday, and that compared to the day before, and the day before that, and on and on and on...

Thank goodness for the free G.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 2:11 pm
by JudgeTina
I don't think we're anywhere near bubble territory. But to each his own.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 2:17 pm
by ValleyGirl
Agree.

Re: Has the bubble burst?

Posted: Tue May 23, 2017 5:11 pm
by Aitrus
Agreed. We're not on a bubble. And Paul over at TSPAllocation agrees. See this post from late March. The Yield Spread chart is particularly telling as to our current chances of a recession. Nothing much has changed since then.

http://www.tspallocation.com/march-2017-tsp-allocation-business-cycle-analysis/