Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

General TSP Discussion.

Moderator: Aitrus

Post Reply
User avatar
Scarfinger
Posts: 811
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by Scarfinger »

Seasonal Strategies are moving to F on July 31st before 12 noon. This could be a foreboding pattern of bearishness to come for the "I" fund.

Remember we don't have an exact "I" fund ETF to follow. And MSCI EAFE INDEX is very gappy at times. I still "THINK", don't know for sure, that the "I" fund will climb a little higher.

For your viewing pleasure:
Image
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

Snoopy
Posts: 10
Joined: Fri May 05, 2017 10:00 pm

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by Snoopy »

This is not good.

demon
Posts: 29
Joined: Thu Aug 30, 2012 5:13 pm

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by demon »

ive been riding I since mid dec, I just recently split it 50 50 into s and I, If I pull out of I totally, what would one suggest to put in next?

User avatar
Scarfinger
Posts: 811
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by Scarfinger »

demon wrote:ive been riding I since mid dec, I just recently split it 50 50 into s and I, If I pull out of I totally, what would one suggest to put in next?


The 6 main seasonal strategies go "F" for Aug and Sept
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

Skivvy9
Posts: 10
Joined: Sat Feb 04, 2017 10:31 pm

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by Skivvy9 »

That's my plan too.

SunsetBlvd
Posts: 10
Joined: Fri Jan 06, 2017 2:51 pm

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by SunsetBlvd »

Still thinking about it. Might stay with C a bit longer.

JaxBeach
Posts: 10
Joined: Tue Feb 28, 2017 9:37 pm

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by JaxBeach »

Worht a try I guess.

User avatar
12squared
Posts: 675
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2015 7:28 am

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by 12squared »

The first part of the article below supports bearishness in I, based on overseas indices, not EFA. The only thing which seems to be keeping the I fund afloat is the declining dollar.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2 ... 57d6b77ed7
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend – not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
- Andrew Carnegie

User avatar
evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by evilanne »

Only Dax & Nikkei (about 1/3 of I fund) relate to I Fund. Article seems to be recommending what Tomany was explaining in another thread on interday trading...sell (take profits) on strength and buy on weakness for US markets.

fleabag
Posts: 10
Joined: Sat Apr 01, 2017 1:04 pm

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by fleabag »

Scarfinger wrote:
demon wrote:ive been riding I since mid dec, I just recently split it 50 50 into s and I, If I pull out of I totally, what would one suggest to put in next?


The 6 main seasonal strategies go "F" for Aug and Sept


Think I'll hang out in C a little longer.

User avatar
bamablue
Posts: 246
Joined: Tue Jul 24, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by bamablue »

The after-hours market numbers are looking up for the I fund (close to 1% at this moment). Tough to watch the herd moving at a rapid pace , but I will probably stick around the I fund for a few more days to squeeze a little more out of the weakness in the dollar. The F fund doesn't seem to be kicking-in yet, so I'm feeling okay about delaying the move.

JJbat150
Posts: 13
Joined: Thu Nov 19, 2015 11:19 am

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by JJbat150 »

Daily seasonal says to jump to F fund... market looks like I fund is the place to stay.

Like bamablue, gonna try to squeeze a bit more out of it.

kenbarnes
Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2017 9:23 am

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by kenbarnes »

100% I fund Until the middle of August, then a move to F? Any thoughts?

User avatar
12squared
Posts: 675
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2015 7:28 am

Re: Bearish I fund chart pattern? 7/21/17

Post by 12squared »

kenbarnes wrote:100% I fund Until the middle of August, then a move to F? Any thoughts?

Over the past 5 full years (2012-2016), the top 50 Daily Seasonal mixes say to stay in I until August 16, then go F, then S from Aug 23 on.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend – not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
- Andrew Carnegie

Post Reply

Fund Prices2024-04-17

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.19 0.01% 1.25%
F $18.68 0.50% -2.85%
C $78.62 -0.58% 5.72%
S $76.27 -0.89% -1.07%
I $40.66 -0.17% 1.19%
L2065 $15.60 -0.47% 3.17%
L2060 $15.60 -0.47% 3.18%
L2055 $15.60 -0.47% 3.18%
L2050 $31.39 -0.35% 2.57%
L2045 $14.34 -0.33% 2.47%
L2040 $52.43 -0.31% 2.41%
L2035 $13.87 -0.28% 2.31%
L2030 $46.25 -0.25% 2.24%
L2025 $12.93 -0.12% 1.78%
Linc $25.29 -0.09% 1.55%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".