How to make money with stocks... September

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JohnnyD
Posts: 10
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2017 2:56 pm

Re: How to make money with stocks... September

Post by JohnnyD »

That's is unless you're using the daily. In which case your Septembers would average +2.96%

:)

klausvonbg
Posts: 60
Joined: Mon May 23, 2011 8:10 pm

Re: How to make money with stocks... September

Post by klausvonbg »

JohnnyD wrote:That's is unless you're using the daily. In which case your Septembers would average +2.96%

:)

What is the daily?

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: How to make money with stocks... September

Post by mmmmmbeer »

klausvonbg wrote:
JohnnyD wrote:That's is unless you're using the daily. In which case your Septembers would average +2.96%

:)

What is the daily?


Hrmmmm... if only we had a dedicated forum or thread this guy could look too? :D (kind of an inside bored tongue in cheek comment not directed at you klausvonbg at all)

It's a pretty long read brother but here's the thread that started it back in May:

viewtopic.php?f=14&p=61862#p61862

It's essentially a generic name for a whole group of calculated ways to invest your TSP funds each month based on the which fund shows the best historical returns for each day. You then use your IFT's alloted for each month to try to get into those funds when they are the best, hoping historical returns will hold true for this year as well.
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

Master
Posts: 10
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2017 3:01 pm

Re: How to make money with stocks... September

Post by Master »

Great read. Thanks.

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Scarfinger
Posts: 810
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: How to make money with stocks... September

Post by Scarfinger »

Roguejim wrote:http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-to-make-money-with-stocks-despite-septembers-awful-record-2017-08-29


Interesting article. Even though all the statisticians know that September is one of the worst months for stocks.... No one can really say why. WTF?

I am guessing they are looking at the month as a whole. Kind of like our Monthly Seasonal strategy do. So great. Stay in "F" for Sept.

So then you have our Daily Seasonal which takes only the best days of the month to be in equities.... From what the article suggest, is that there is no rational explanation for why statistically we come up with the Daily Seasonal strategies that we get. So the article suggest... not betting your life savings on any given statistical pattern. To me its the old "Past performance doesn't guarantee future performance", just said differently.

TO me the jump to "S" made sense. The market looked to me like it was trying to go sideways. The cyclicals like stochastics where reading oversold. Momentum indicators in a sideways market are not that reliable.

All I know is that I have been rewarded nicely (so far) for jumping into the "s" fund on Aug 23 (before noon IFT) like the Daily Seasonal said to do. Roughly up 2.7% since then.

Thanks for the article
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

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