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Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:35 am
by greengrass
Skie,
Have you kept track of this jem? How has it performed?

http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=7454&hilit=Lunacy

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:51 am
by crondanet5
So this is week 33?

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 12:45 pm
by greengrass
crondanet5 wrote:So this is week 33?

That's what I got too.

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 1:18 pm
by crondanet5
I'm in! Finally doing something Seasonal. :mrgreen:

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 2:31 pm
by greengrass
Any takers on running this strategy for this year to see what the return would be?

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:22 pm
by fordest
If I did it right, I get 13.72 so far this year. Check my work at #12016 on tspcalc.com

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:28 pm
by mjedlin66

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 6:49 pm
by fordest
This year it would be off by one day because of too many trades in April. At week 18 you would have had to decide to move back to F a day late, or go to G for a day.

An extra day in S is at: http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=12016
G for a day is at: http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=12017

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:36 pm
by fordest
And in case you want to keep using this strategy next year, you will need to make these changes.

http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=12027

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:49 pm
by evilanne
I'm not sure if daily is accurate based on the scenario since trading days & calendar days change from year to year but it gives you a rough idea. I changed dates slightly to align better with 2018 calendar, which changes results--for those who have played with it, changing anything by only 1 or 2 days can make a difference...some big & some small
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=12024&years=04-17
Same issue with April that mj had & also Easter moves around from year to year so trading days or calendar days may be tricky

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:59 pm
by fordest
evilanne wrote:I'm not sure if daily is accurate based on the scenario since trading days & calendar days change from year to year but it gives you a rough idea. I changed dates slightly to align better with 2018 calendar, which changes results--for those who have played with it, changing anything by only 1 or 2 days can make a difference...some big & some small
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=12024&years=04-17
Same issue with April that mj had & also Easter moves around from year to year so trading days or calendar days may be tricky


The difference between your 12024 and my 12027 is that you stayed in S at the end of April/Start of May and I got into G. I like your returns better. :D But I tend to play it safe!

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Wed Aug 16, 2017 9:11 pm
by evilanne
Yeah, I was aiming for fewest changes (i.e. laziness) but you would probably need a dozen variations to cover each year based on the calendar (the day of the week the year starts, what month Good Friday falls in, leap year etc) Seems like a lot of work to follow using program.

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Fri Aug 18, 2017 6:53 am
by Sad Al
I this is for real: http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=10716&years=04-17
Why aren't we all following 10716?
I am astounded! Where has this been all my career?

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Fri Aug 18, 2017 9:30 am
by skiehawk11
Fordest,

Thanks for updating my strategy!

Re: Weekly Seasonal Strategy Based With 25% Avg Return

Posted: Fri Aug 18, 2017 10:05 am
by GoRedSox
Sad Al wrote:I this is for real: http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=10716&years=04-17
Why aren't we all following 10716?
I am astounded! Where has this been all my career?


If only I'd been following this from the beginning of my career....... :shock: