Aitrus's Mix

General TSP Discussion.

Moderator: Aitrus

Post Reply
mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Aitrus's Mix

Post by mmmmmbeer »

Hey Aitrus I think we need to name Daily Strategy #9166 after you. :D If you have no objections of course. Check it out, it's the best one I could find that doesn't use the I fund.

Ladies and Gentleman... "Aitrus's Mix" (aka #9166)

Mean: 33.98%
CAGR: 32.26%
Time in fund (%): G:15 F:24 C:19 S:42 I:0
Time In Stocks (C,S,I): 60.80
Standard Deviation: 22.65%

9166-1.jpg

9166-2.jpg

9166-3.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Last edited by mmmmmbeer on Sun Aug 20, 2017 1:27 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

User avatar
evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by evilanne »

Here is the link & I included Jahbulon for comparison. Only downside would be more IFTs, but market exposure is 61% vs 66% (change from S to F for 1 month) to 75% for Jahbulon.
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=9166 ... I-jahbulon

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by mmmmmbeer »

evilanne wrote:Here is the link & I included Jahbulon for comparison. Only downside would be more IFTs, but market exposure is 61% vs 66% (change from S to F for 1 month) to 75% for Jahbulon.
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=9166 ... I-jahbulon


Yeah... I had forgotten to screenshot it with the Jabs comparison, realized it after, but then I got to lazy to go back and do it cause I was couch potatoing! Haha...

***EDIT*** Alright I fixed the original post. Airtus's Mix now is shown with Jahbulon's Mix for comparison.
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

User avatar
mjedlin66
Site Admin
Posts: 1569
Joined: Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:51 pm

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by mjedlin66 »

You guys are silly.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

phalanx
Posts: 42
Joined: Thu Aug 06, 2015 5:24 pm

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by phalanx »

Why hate the I fund again?

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by mmmmmbeer »

phalanx wrote:Why hate the I fund again?


mmmmmbeer wrote:Of course the I fund is much more volitile because of the current upheaval in terrorist activity in Europe, along with the Brexit, and countries bankruptcy problems, but thats only part of it. The I fund itself has a very narrow scope in the foreign markets for half of its value and the rest is foreign currencies.

This narrow scope makes it much more vulnerable to mood swings that go along with terror and economic events. There is a measure thats either still in development or being put into place to change the makeup of the I fund to greatly diversify its scope into a greater number of businesses and markets, which will hopefully stabilize the fund to be a bit more reliable.

It's for that reason Aitrus and others are very leary of the I fund imho.



Aitrus wrote:Mmmbeer is mostly right with regards to my opinion of the I Fund.

It's very limited in scope, and the countries it's mostly invested in are either experimenting with their currency (Eurozone countries), or the economy has been hurting for many years (Japan). I also understand the American economy much more thoroughly than I do foreign markets. Foreign markets are also more subject to manipulation, takeover, or direct control by their respective governments. Given all those uncertainties, I don't like the I Fund. Also, the I Fund has a Since 1988 CAGR of around 4%, so that alone tells me that it's not a great performer. A few individual months, yes, but not as a whole index across the year.

Yes, gclapper's Mix does perform better by about 1% per year because it uses the I Fund for two months. However, I am satisfied with the performance of Jahbulon's Mix so I don't mind exchanging the 1% for sleeping well at night. Sleeping well knowing that I'm averaging 16+% or losing sleep and getting 17+% is an easy choice for me.


Tah Dah! :D
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

User avatar
bamablue
Posts: 246
Joined: Tue Jul 24, 2012 11:40 am

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by bamablue »

If it were easy, we'd all be rich...

IMHO, the I fund can be tempered with the relative strength of the dollar. None of the funds are simple enough to make anyone sleep too soundly, but the I fund can be your friend in time like this when the dollar is devalued against foreign currency.

User avatar
Aitrus
Moderator
Posts: 2391
Joined: Mon Aug 06, 2012 5:03 pm

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by Aitrus »

mmmmmbeer wrote:Hey Aitrus I think we need to name Daily Strategy #9166 after you. :D If you have no objections of course. Check it out, it's the best one I could find that doesn't use the I fund.

Ladies and Gentleman... "Aitrus's Mix" (aka #9166)

Mean: 33.98%
CAGR: 32.26%
Time in fund (%): G:15 F:24 C:19 S:42 I:0
Time In Stocks (C,S,I): 60.80
Standard Deviation: 22.65%

9166-1.jpg

9166-2.jpg

9166-3.jpg


Lol! Very nice, beer. Good to know that I've got a decently performing Daily seasonal system I can use if I want to.
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
"It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters" Epictetus

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by mmmmmbeer »

So you're saying there's a chance! Mmmm hmmm..
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

User avatar
Aitrus
Moderator
Posts: 2391
Joined: Mon Aug 06, 2012 5:03 pm

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by Aitrus »

I said "if," not "when". Put yer readin' glasses on!

Maybe in another 10 years when you have amassed enough historical data, I might consider it.
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
"It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters" Epictetus

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by mmmmmbeer »

Aitrus wrote:I said "if," not "when". Put yer readin' glasses on!

Maybe in another 10 years when you have amassed enough historical data, I might consider it.


mmmmmbeer wrote:So you're saying there's a chance! Mmmm hmmm..


:D
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by mmmmmbeer »

Hey hey brother.... August @ 2.94% with no I fund ain't too shabby! Aitrus's Mix... given back to the peeples.... :wink:
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.

Val
Posts: 10
Joined: Thu Jun 15, 2017 2:16 pm

Re: Aitrus's Mix

Post by Val »

Now that's a heckuva August.

Post Reply

Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".