Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

General TSP Discussion.

Moderator: Aitrus

Do you follow a Daily Seasonal strategy with your real TSP?

Yes.
92
15%
No, but I plan to soon.
21
4%
No, but thinking about it.
44
7%
Absolutely Not, not enough data/time to back them up.
442
74%
 
Total votes: 599

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cswift01
Posts: 819
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2016 10:46 am

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by cswift01 »

I would really like to see how 1999, 2000, 2001 and 2002 show in this strategy. I'm curious to the issue with an economic downturn.

Best

Me

Cpayne09
Posts: 46
Joined: Mon May 05, 2014 1:51 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by Cpayne09 »

cswift01 wrote:I would really like to see how 1999, 2000, 2001 and 2002 show in this strategy. I'm curious to the issue with an economic downturn.

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Me

I tried to put it together but I couldn't find all the daily share prices. From what it looked like 2003 was going to be a negative year by like 17%? I probably did it incorrectly though so don't mind me!

Atbattin
Posts: 34
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2016 3:47 am

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by Atbattin »

Moved 50% to Daily and kept 50% in Monthly (GClapper).

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Ofsthun01
Posts: 127
Joined: Thu Dec 04, 2014 6:57 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by Ofsthun01 »

Interesting to note that there's currently only 64 votes of "Yes, I follow a daily seasonal", yet there are well over 100 people with pending IFTs to S. I can't imagine that's a coincidence since the current leading strategy moves to S. So I don't think the poll isn't very representative of what people are really doing.
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mmmmmbeer
Posts: 917
Joined: Wed May 11, 2016 11:00 am

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by mmmmmbeer »

Ofsthun01 wrote:Interesting to note that there's currently only 64 votes of "Yes, I follow a daily seasonal", yet there are well over 100 people with pending IFTs to S. I can't imagine that's a coincidence since the current leading strategy moves to S. So I don't think the poll isn't very representative of what people are really doing.


Well I think there's a pretty big difference in how a lot of people do their fantasy tsp vs. their real tsp. So while a lot of folks are willing to give it a go for their fantasy, they may be reluctant to "go for it" with their real money. Real losses suck, while fantasy losses... haha.

Also some folks just hate polls. :D
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Ofsthun01
Posts: 127
Joined: Thu Dec 04, 2014 6:57 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by Ofsthun01 »

mmmmmbeer wrote:
Ofsthun01 wrote:Interesting to note that there's currently only 64 votes of "Yes, I follow a daily seasonal", yet there are well over 100 people with pending IFTs to S. I can't imagine that's a coincidence since the current leading strategy moves to S. So I don't think the poll isn't very representative of what people are really doing.


Well I think there's a pretty big difference in how a lot of people do their fantasy tsp vs. their real tsp. So while a lot of folks are willing to give it a go for their fantasy, they may be reluctant to "go for it" with their real money. Real losses suck, while fantasy losses... haha.

Also some folks just hate polls. :D


Good point. I sometimes forget they don't always mirror each other. Now I feel dumb.
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pokiemon
Posts: 40
Joined: Fri Sep 09, 2016 1:33 am

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by pokiemon »

Atbattin wrote:Moved 50% to Daily and kept 50% in Monthly (GClapper).

That's what I'm doing, too. I'm not brave enough to go 100% yet maybe after a big correction or recession.

Atbattin
Posts: 34
Joined: Sun Feb 21, 2016 3:47 am

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by Atbattin »

Maybe a follow-on poll that allowed for another "yes" choice (i.e. - "Yes, I'm experimenting with a Daily strategy" or something along those lines) would provide more insight and explain all the IFTs to S today. There may be some (myself included) that are using a Daily strategy for a portion of their real TSP but didn't feel comfortable with answering Yes. Awesome work BTW!

mlr
Posts: 2
Joined: Tue Aug 08, 2017 9:21 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by mlr »

I'm a recent subscriber. There is much to absorb. I understand alot of this only at a high level and am learning by reading your posts. Thanks to all of you for an informative discussion. The post regarding a mix between daily and monthly is interesting. For now I'm watching how this works and think I will be more comfortable with a move to daily in the latter part of September after I'm better educated. So for now my mix here remains what it was before I found this great resource. Again thanks to all for helping me learn here.

sunny
Posts: 82
Joined: Sun Dec 04, 2011 1:28 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by sunny »

mmmmmbeer, what is the name of the seasonal website again?

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Ofsthun01
Posts: 127
Joined: Thu Dec 04, 2014 6:57 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by Ofsthun01 »

sunny wrote:mmmmmbeer, what is the name of the seasonal website again?


tspcalc.com
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Rome26
Posts: 7
Joined: Thu Jul 24, 2014 4:28 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by Rome26 »

I follow #7474 with my real tsp.

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onerepmax
Posts: 138
Joined: Tue Aug 08, 2017 9:29 am

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by onerepmax »

I'm in 100% S. I haven't chosen a final strategy yet. It will likely be #7980 for it's significantly lower deviation, while still indicating over 30% mean and 6000% total.

hellsbells
Posts: 10
Joined: Mon Apr 03, 2017 3:36 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by hellsbells »

Is anyone using the top strategy of 10716?

BeachBum25
Posts: 12
Joined: Wed Jun 28, 2017 5:28 pm

Re: Do you follow the Daily Seasonal with your real TSP?

Post by BeachBum25 »

hellsbells wrote:Is anyone using the top strategy of 10716?


What is 10716? :roll:

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