14458 benchmarked against 7980

[greengrass]

I'm liking the numbers. I'm not crazy, right?

http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... marks=7980

[fordest]

I'm liking the numbers. I'm not crazy, right?

http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... marks=7980

Low SD. Less than 50% in stocks is pretty cool. It's got a long way to get to its mean this year but who would sneeze at 18%?

[greengrass]

It's the lowest STD with over 30% gains and only 50% in stocks with really low move count. It's messing with my head.

[greengrass]

Here is a larger benchmark. Lower STD than jahbulan's mix with less time in the market and higher returns. Damn

http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... 7980-15161

[evilanne]

Good find, but as for your mental health, I can neither confirm or deny

[greengrass]

Good find, but as for your mental health, I can neither confirm or deny

Lol, true. I plan on mowing my yard next week with that T-Rex blow-up costume if that's any indication! Amazon rocks

[evilanne]

How about http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1466 ... rtdir=desc with slightly higher % in stock (55.6) but lower SD

[greengrass]

How about http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1466 ... rtdir=desc with slightly higher % in stock (55.6) but lower SD

That's a good one as well. With 14458 I was caught by being below 50% in the market, 24 moves compared to 27, and low STD and still managing to pull above a 30% return. The risk to benefit ratio is pretty good.

[harpole]

For those worried about F fund down the road (like me).
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1539 ... marks=7980
Std Dev=10.76
CAGR=31.32

[greengrass]

For those worried about F fund down the road (like me).
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1539 ... marks=7980
Std Dev=10.76
CAGR=31.32

Nice returns for G vice F. Super low STD! Just 2 more moves and only .~10% increase in the market comparatively.
Here's the combined benchmark.
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... 4669-15390

[repinda808]

Good find, but as for your mental health, I can neither confirm or deny

either/or
neither/nor

lol

[Thirty3]

why is #7980 so respected and popular?

[greengrass]

High returns, low STD and lowish time in the markets mixed in with good publicity.

[mmmmmbeer]

High returns, low STD and lowish time in the markets mixed in with good publicity.

[ksmoly04]

Now we can add in 12squared work with confidence intervals to this dicussion. Its definitely valuable information and a further refinement to the existing daily strategies. I guess between 7980 and 15204, the question for all becomes how much is that last ~6% of gains worth vs minimizing the risk of a negative year down to essentially zero...