14458 benchmarked against 7980
Moderator: Aitrus
Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
greengrass wrote:I'm liking the numbers. I'm not crazy, right?
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... marks=7980
Low SD. Less than 50% in stocks is pretty cool. It's got a long way to get to its mean this year but who would sneeze at 18%?
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Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
It's the lowest STD with over 30% gains and only 50% in stocks with really low move count. It's messing with my head.
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Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
Here is a larger benchmark. Lower STD than jahbulan's mix with less time in the market and higher returns. Damn
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... 7980-15161
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... 7980-15161
Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
Good find, but as for your mental health, I can neither confirm or deny
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Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
evilanne wrote:Good find, but as for your mental health, I can neither confirm or deny
Lol, true. I plan on mowing my yard next week with that T-Rex blow-up costume if that's any indication! Amazon rocks
Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
How about http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1466 ... rtdir=desc with slightly higher % in stock (55.6) but lower SD
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Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
evilanne wrote:How about http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1466 ... rtdir=desc with slightly higher % in stock (55.6) but lower SD
That's a good one as well. With 14458 I was caught by being below 50% in the market, 24 moves compared to 27, and low STD and still managing to pull above a 30% return. The risk to benefit ratio is pretty good.
Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
For those worried about F fund down the road (like me).
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1539 ... marks=7980
Std Dev=10.76
CAGR=31.32
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1539 ... marks=7980
Std Dev=10.76
CAGR=31.32
Never underestimate the true intentions and overreach of the regime.
Less Government, More Freedom!
Less Government, More Freedom!
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Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
harpole wrote:For those worried about F fund down the road (like me).
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1539 ... marks=7980
Std Dev=10.76
CAGR=31.32
Nice returns for G vice F. Super low STD! Just 2 more moves and only .~10% increase in the market comparatively.
Here's the combined benchmark.
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1445 ... 4669-15390
- repinda808
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Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
evilanne wrote:Good find, but as for your mental health, I can neither confirm or deny
either/or
neither/nor
lol
2020 Seasonal Strategy 86299
Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
why is #7980 so respected and popular?
Following Stategy: http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=16517
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Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
High returns, low STD and lowish time in the markets mixed in with good publicity.
Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
greengrass wrote:High returns, low STD and lowish time in the markets mixed in with good publicity.
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.
Re: 14458 benchmarked against 7980
Now we can add in 12squared work with confidence intervals to this dicussion. Its definitely valuable information and a further refinement to the existing daily strategies. I guess between 7980 and 15204, the question for all becomes how much is that last ~6% of gains worth vs minimizing the risk of a negative year down to essentially zero...
Daily Seasonal Since: August 23, 2017
Current Strategy: 16198 / 7.21σ
Current Strategy: 16198 / 7.21σ
Fund Prices2024-04-18
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.19 | 0.01% | 1.27% |
F | $18.62 | -0.30% | -3.14% |
C | $78.45 | -0.21% | 5.50% |
S | $76.12 | -0.20% | -1.27% |
I | $40.67 | 0.02% | 1.21% |
L2065 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2060 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2055 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2050 | $31.35 | -0.13% | 2.44% |
L2045 | $14.32 | -0.12% | 2.35% |
L2040 | $52.37 | -0.11% | 2.29% |
L2035 | $13.85 | -0.10% | 2.21% |
L2030 | $46.21 | -0.09% | 2.15% |
L2025 | $12.93 | -0.05% | 1.72% |
Linc | $25.28 | -0.04% | 1.51% |