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 Post subject: Favorable Season Chart
 Post Posted: Tue Oct 24, 2017 3:38 pm 
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Cheers,
I posted the recent history of Seasonal Investing in terms of investing only for half of the year - favorable and unfavorable season. Here is one of the charts.

Image

I think taking a look at these charts helps with determining what influences the market's seasonal effects - bear markets and recently quantitative easing (QE) have played a large role. You can take a look at the other charts in the post here.

I think the current market melt up is due to the 4 trillion dollars of purchases by the BOJ and ECB with money created out-of-thin-air in 2016 and 3 trillion in 2017. QE has led to three descent summer gains this market cycle - the current one ending included.

The issue is how and when the market is going to climb down from current valuation and high corporate debt levels.


Michael

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AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)

S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)

DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)

EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)