"Best" Daily Strategy
Moderator: Aitrus
"Best" Daily Strategy
I have done very well with the Daily Strategy so far this year. I started off using #7980, and am now using #16198 (mostly due to its low standard deviation and consistent returns).
My questions:
Setting aside all other characteristics of a particular strategy, does anyone consider the number of negative months a strategy has when deciding to use it (#16198, for example has 30+, which seems to be higher than average).
Also, does anyone have a simple method to determine which strategies do best in particular months (rather than combing through all of them individually)? Of particular interest to me at the moment is which one's do best in November and December.
Lastly, is there any thing "wrong" with switching strategies from month-to-month?
My questions:
Setting aside all other characteristics of a particular strategy, does anyone consider the number of negative months a strategy has when deciding to use it (#16198, for example has 30+, which seems to be higher than average).
Also, does anyone have a simple method to determine which strategies do best in particular months (rather than combing through all of them individually)? Of particular interest to me at the moment is which one's do best in November and December.
Lastly, is there any thing "wrong" with switching strategies from month-to-month?
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
While there is nothing "wrong" with it, you may find it difficult to marry two different months from two different strategies due to the IFT limits.
If your outgoing month ends in a different fund than the one your oncoming month starts, you will need to burn an IFT to get there. That could leave you short one IFT to move during that new month.
This is the reason that nobody has been very successful creating a strategy that incorporates all the highest months' averages.
If your outgoing month ends in a different fund than the one your oncoming month starts, you will need to burn an IFT to get there. That could leave you short one IFT to move during that new month.
This is the reason that nobody has been very successful creating a strategy that incorporates all the highest months' averages.
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
Sure would be awesome to have a 3rd IFT to play with on tspcalc. Oh well maybe someday.
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
What have you gained this year?nrialto wrote:I have done very well with the Daily Strategy so far this year. I started off using #7980, and am now using #16198 (mostly due to its low standard deviation and consistent returns).
My questions:
Setting aside all other characteristics of a particular strategy, does anyone consider the number of negative months a strategy has when deciding to use it (#16198, for example has 30+, which seems to be higher than average).
Also, does anyone have a simple method to determine which strategies do best in particular months (rather than combing through all of them individually)? Of particular interest to me at the moment is which one's do best in November and December.
Lastly, is there any thing "wrong" with switching strategies from month-to-month?
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
My PIP for November isn't showing yet, but latest is 20.45%
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Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
How would that help you?CNMI wrote:Sure would be awesome to have a 3rd IFT to play with on tspcalc. Oh well maybe someday.
"Fear of loss is the path to the Dark Side."
Yoda
Yoda
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
Well if the government would make a simple rule change from 2 monthly ITS's to 3, just think of all the possible scenarios we could run.
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
If that dream ever happens, then I will make the change. But I am not going to add in a function that is not possible in the TSP. I am going for accuracy.CNMI wrote:Well if the government would make a simple rule change from 2 monthly ITS's to 3, just think of all the possible scenarios we could run.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
That would be a game changer.CNMI wrote:Well if the government would make a simple rule change from 2 monthly ITS's to 3, just think of all the possible scenarios we could run.
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
I think I thought he meant TSP, not TSPCalc.... seems silly to set up TSPCalc to do something that we can't do on TSP.mjedlin66 wrote:If that dream ever happens, then I will make the change. But I am not going to add in a function that is not possible in the TSP. I am going for accuracy.CNMI wrote:Well if the government would make a simple rule change from 2 monthly ITS's to 3, just think of all the possible scenarios we could run.
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
That was the way I read the post too.
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
Should be posted now.nrialto wrote:My PIP for November isn't showing yet, but latest is 20.45%
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
Yep just checked. 23.65%. I'm lovin' it!!!
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
23.36%
Unbelievable. Thanks to TSPcalc, I've been able to outperform any of the core funds. You may as well put the following in the encyclopedia as a fact (if they make them anymore): However the daily strategy fares, it is better than I could do on my own trying to time the market.
Thanks mjedlin66
Unbelievable. Thanks to TSPcalc, I've been able to outperform any of the core funds. You may as well put the following in the encyclopedia as a fact (if they make them anymore): However the daily strategy fares, it is better than I could do on my own trying to time the market.
Thanks mjedlin66
Re: "Best" Daily Strategy
My pip is 30.44%. Crazy.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"
Fund Prices2024-03-28
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.15 | 0.05% | 1.05% |
F | $19.08 | -0.06% | -0.74% |
C | $82.21 | 0.11% | 10.55% |
S | $82.43 | 0.30% | 6.92% |
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L2065 | $16.38 | 0.02% | 8.37% |
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L2045 | $14.91 | 0.02% | 6.58% |
L2040 | $54.38 | 0.02% | 6.22% |
L2035 | $14.34 | 0.02% | 5.79% |
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L2025 | $13.15 | 0.03% | 3.43% |
Linc | $25.61 | 0.03% | 2.82% |