Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

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Jalpunk
Posts: 31
Joined: Wed Aug 09, 2017 10:07 am

Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by Jalpunk »

Had a busy morning and missed the move from C to F by noon today as per the 16517 strategy I'm following. Any thoughts on what to do now? Do I make the move tomorrow before noon assuming the C fund doesn't tank in the morning?

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Ofsthun01
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Joined: Thu Dec 04, 2014 6:57 pm

Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by Ofsthun01 »

Just make your move now. They'll take effect COB tomorrow whether you make your move after noon today or before noon tomorrow.
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fordest
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by fordest »

Looks like you are following #17913 now...
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by fordest »

If you wait until Monday and go into F you will have the highest mean with #17914

But if you go in on Tuesday you will have the lowest Std Dev with #17015

http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1791 ... 7915-17916

17913 - IFT Tomorrow
17914 - Monday
17915 - Tuesday
17916 - Wednesday
17917- Skip F altogether and go into S on Thursday.
Last edited by fordest on Wed Nov 08, 2017 2:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

Jalpunk
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Joined: Wed Aug 09, 2017 10:07 am

Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by Jalpunk »

At least I have up to 23 hours to figure it out
:?

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evilanne
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by evilanne »

Jalpunk wrote:Had a busy morning and missed the move from C to F by noon today as per the 16517 strategy I'm following. Any thoughts on what to do now? Do I make the move tomorrow before noon assuming the C fund doesn't tank in the morning?
If everything tanks, you may just want to consider moving to the S Fund early. I was considering whether or not to make an IFT but started too late. I like Fordest's evaluation. You can also add the TSP funds for comparison http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1791 ... 7915-17916 & take a look at the graph for 1 month period...this sort of reminds me of Tomanyiron's Strength charting to see where the best opportunity would be tomorrow.

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12squared
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by 12squared »

You could also look at how SPY (C fund) is trending compared to AGG (F fund).
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY%3A ... 1638217513
5 day moving averages and the Parabolic Stop & Reverse (PSAR) indicate that C is still leading F. However, the MACD suggests that C is slowing it's ascent relative to F.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend – not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

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bad70nova
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by bad70nova »

To much crazy stuff going on with the daily, just stick with the seasonal and life is simple. Hey no matter what I think you are in safe shape to make your move tomorrow, was not expecting much out of C today and I may get surprised. So maybe you moving 1 day later will even be a blessing for you.

Jalpunk
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Joined: Wed Aug 09, 2017 10:07 am

Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by Jalpunk »

bad70nova wrote:To much crazy stuff going on with the daily, just stick with the seasonal and life is simple. Hey no matter what I think you are in safe shape to make your move tomorrow, was not expecting much out of C today and I may get surprised. So maybe you moving 1 day later will even be a blessing for you.
I'm loving the optimism!

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Jokerswild
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by Jokerswild »

Something to ponder, the daily seasonal strategies are simply a estimate of best IFT days, but it's not going to be 100% accurate for ensuring you're buying low/selling high. Sometimes missing a day or two turns out to be a better entry. Consider each IFT day according to the strategy as a "should" instead of a "must". Good luck always
Shawn AKA "Joker"

"How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts? I rest my case." - Robert G. Allen

KennyW
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Joined: Sun Sep 10, 2017 4:09 pm

Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by KennyW »

That's a good way to look at it.

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maui21ice
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by maui21ice »

Watch, you'll gain big on Thursday "accidentally". ;)

greengrass
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Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 9:28 am

Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by greengrass »

For what it's worth I'm riding S until December 8th. I didn't see much deviation in the end result. Best of luck.

Jalpunk
Posts: 31
Joined: Wed Aug 09, 2017 10:07 am

Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by Jalpunk »

Thanks everyone, I appreciate all of the great input.

Timber82
Posts: 166
Joined: Mon Feb 27, 2017 2:39 pm

Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?

Post by Timber82 »

am I the only one that cant see graphs on the tspcalc site?

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".