Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
Moderator: Aitrus
Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
Had a busy morning and missed the move from C to F by noon today as per the 16517 strategy I'm following. Any thoughts on what to do now? Do I make the move tomorrow before noon assuming the C fund doesn't tank in the morning?
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
Just make your move now. They'll take effect COB tomorrow whether you make your move after noon today or before noon tomorrow.
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
If you wait until Monday and go into F you will have the highest mean with #17914
But if you go in on Tuesday you will have the lowest Std Dev with #17015
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1791 ... 7915-17916
17913 - IFT Tomorrow
17914 - Monday
17915 - Tuesday
17916 - Wednesday
17917- Skip F altogether and go into S on Thursday.
But if you go in on Tuesday you will have the lowest Std Dev with #17015
http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1791 ... 7915-17916
17913 - IFT Tomorrow
17914 - Monday
17915 - Tuesday
17916 - Wednesday
17917- Skip F altogether and go into S on Thursday.
Last edited by fordest on Wed Nov 08, 2017 2:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
At least I have up to 23 hours to figure it out
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
If everything tanks, you may just want to consider moving to the S Fund early. I was considering whether or not to make an IFT but started too late. I like Fordest's evaluation. You can also add the TSP funds for comparison http://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=1791 ... 7915-17916 & take a look at the graph for 1 month period...this sort of reminds me of Tomanyiron's Strength charting to see where the best opportunity would be tomorrow.Jalpunk wrote:Had a busy morning and missed the move from C to F by noon today as per the 16517 strategy I'm following. Any thoughts on what to do now? Do I make the move tomorrow before noon assuming the C fund doesn't tank in the morning?
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
You could also look at how SPY (C fund) is trending compared to AGG (F fund).
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY%3A ... 1638217513
5 day moving averages and the Parabolic Stop & Reverse (PSAR) indicate that C is still leading F. However, the MACD suggests that C is slowing it's ascent relative to F.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY%3A ... 1638217513
5 day moving averages and the Parabolic Stop & Reverse (PSAR) indicate that C is still leading F. However, the MACD suggests that C is slowing it's ascent relative to F.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend – not catching the highs or the lows.”
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"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
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- Dean Witter
"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
- Andrew Carnegie
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
To much crazy stuff going on with the daily, just stick with the seasonal and life is simple. Hey no matter what I think you are in safe shape to make your move tomorrow, was not expecting much out of C today and I may get surprised. So maybe you moving 1 day later will even be a blessing for you.
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
I'm loving the optimism!bad70nova wrote:To much crazy stuff going on with the daily, just stick with the seasonal and life is simple. Hey no matter what I think you are in safe shape to make your move tomorrow, was not expecting much out of C today and I may get surprised. So maybe you moving 1 day later will even be a blessing for you.
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
Something to ponder, the daily seasonal strategies are simply a estimate of best IFT days, but it's not going to be 100% accurate for ensuring you're buying low/selling high. Sometimes missing a day or two turns out to be a better entry. Consider each IFT day according to the strategy as a "should" instead of a "must". Good luck always
Shawn AKA "Joker"
"How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts? I rest my case." - Robert G. Allen
"How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts? I rest my case." - Robert G. Allen
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
That's a good way to look at it.
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
Watch, you'll gain big on Thursday "accidentally".
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Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
For what it's worth I'm riding S until December 8th. I didn't see much deviation in the end result. Best of luck.
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
Thanks everyone, I appreciate all of the great input.
Re: Missed the noon transfer deadline, what to do now?
am I the only one that cant see graphs on the tspcalc site?
Fund Prices2024-03-28
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.15 | 0.05% | 1.05% |
F | $19.08 | -0.06% | -0.74% |
C | $82.21 | 0.11% | 10.55% |
S | $82.43 | 0.30% | 6.92% |
I | $42.57 | -0.24% | 5.95% |
L2065 | $16.38 | 0.02% | 8.37% |
L2060 | $16.39 | 0.02% | 8.38% |
L2055 | $16.39 | 0.02% | 8.38% |
L2050 | $32.73 | 0.01% | 6.95% |
L2045 | $14.91 | 0.02% | 6.58% |
L2040 | $54.38 | 0.02% | 6.22% |
L2035 | $14.34 | 0.02% | 5.79% |
L2030 | $47.67 | 0.02% | 5.38% |
L2025 | $13.15 | 0.03% | 3.43% |
Linc | $25.61 | 0.03% | 2.82% |