2018 Strength and Market Pull

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4973
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

Yes I see that, thanks Anne. And congratulations to rogdlr # 6. :D The 100% C was the right choice (in the short-term). Long-term, and IFT limitations-wise, we will have to see what Mr. Perfect has to say about it. :lol:
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

Updated EOD Thursday February 15, 2018

Chart 1: Each day adds more evidence that the stock selloff ended on Feb 8.
Image
Chart 2: Market Pull continues to climb.

Image
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

mindofmush
Posts: 353
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 1:38 pm

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by mindofmush »

I wonder how many trading days the F fund follows the stock funds up or down?

Is the F fund more contrary now than a decade ago? Because the interest rate is so low?

Does it really matter what the F fund does, if you don't use it?

Must be time for another beer.
mo meng, mo ching (which loosely means: no money, no life)

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Tomanyiron
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Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

As far as the F fund goes, "The future ain't what it used to be ". :roll:
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:00 am

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

Yet over 40% of the IFT's entered today include a move into F fund...tis the season I guess.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

XAMOTOMAX wrote:Yet over 40% of the IFT's entered today include a move into F fund...tis the season I guess.
I went through the list a little, and I see a lot of red. Just sayin'
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:00 am

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

Lots of seasonal players and 2018 has not started off well for most of the seasonal strategies. Not sure why so many would be moving otherwise on a relatively non-descript Friday where the markets seem pretty calm. Lots of familiar names in the list too. I'd feel better if the low had been tested twice in the last pull back. Can't help but feel like there's "unfinished business" in the markets in regards to another drop and the inverse head and shoulders has an under-formed 2nd shoulder. I'm still parked in stocks though so we'll see how it plays out.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

Updated EOD Friday February 16, 2018

Chart 1: Strength in all the funds raised on Friday, including the F fund.
Image
Chart 2: The market now has 6 days of Pull to the up-side.

Image
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

Keithj01
Posts: 43
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 8:01 pm

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Keithj01 »

Tomanyiron wrote:
XAMOTOMAX wrote:Yet over 40% of the IFT's entered today include a move into F fund...tis the season I guess.
I went through the list a little, and I see a lot of red. Just sayin'
Including me but I went to G. F is nasty right now. I hate selling for a loss but I am following seasonal this year. If we retest the low I am gonna pull off one of your moves I hope.

XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:00 am

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

I think the seasonal move will hit pretty well this week (G > F to me as well). I would not be surprised to see a pretty large pullback over the next few days.

Carmen909
Posts: 109
Joined: Sun Dec 04, 2016 12:16 am

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Carmen909 »

XAMOTOMAX wrote:I think the seasonal move will hit pretty well this week (G > F to me as well). I would not be surprised to see a pretty large pullback over the next few days.
I'm following 20241 but I was going to skip the IFT to F tomorrow since I'd be selling at a loss. After seeing how the Dow closed today, I decided to bite the bullet and do the IFT with one tweak. I'm going to G instead of F. I compared both options and they don't seem to be significant differences but I feel most comfortable with G right now.

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sonofnthng
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Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by sonofnthng »

I was supposed to move to F on friday. Considering it's only for a week's time, and then to G for a bit, I'm gonna pass. It has not been doing well, and I'll roll the dice on some more S recovery for now. But, I gotta keep a close on on you Tomanyiron. ... That gut factor seems strong ;)
Tracking #85660 -//- PIP 35.29% Jan '21
Seasonal Strategies:
http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.p ... 205#p53743
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-Aitrus

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Tomanyiron
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Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

Updated EOD Friday February 16, 2018

Chart 1: Strength in all the funds looks to be waning. Let’s see what today brings.
Image
Chart 2: Market action on Tuesday was very iffy, but Pull came-up with another up-day.

Image
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
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Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

Updated EOD Wednesday February 21, 2018

Chart 1: Looks like an arch in Strength?
Image
Chart 2: I was expecting a down-day for Pull, but the numbers turned-out to be not that pessimistic. And we add the 8th day in a row, of upward Pull.

Image
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4973
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: 2018 Strength and Market Pull

Post by Tomanyiron »

Updated EOD Thursday February 22, 2018

Chart 1: S fund Strength sure looks like a rollover.
Image
Chart 2: Pull was up still, but it’s got that rollover look also. See what today brings.

Image

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Fund Prices2024-04-17

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.19 0.01% 1.25%
F $18.68 0.50% -2.85%
C $78.62 -0.58% 5.72%
S $76.27 -0.89% -1.07%
I $40.66 -0.17% 1.19%
L2065 $15.60 -0.47% 3.17%
L2060 $15.60 -0.47% 3.18%
L2055 $15.60 -0.47% 3.18%
L2050 $31.39 -0.35% 2.57%
L2045 $14.34 -0.33% 2.47%
L2040 $52.43 -0.31% 2.41%
L2035 $13.87 -0.28% 2.31%
L2030 $46.25 -0.25% 2.24%
L2025 $12.93 -0.12% 1.78%
Linc $25.29 -0.09% 1.55%

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