2018 Strength and Market Pull

[crondanet5]

You are correct. The window I looked at says Average Top 10 Allocation. I misinterpreted it to be the position of the top 10 Gamers. My bad. In fact I have been watching Jedi's F gambit wondering if it will continue. Not sure. Thanks for pointing out my misinterpretation.

[Tomanyiron]

... In fact I have been watching Jedi's F gambit wondering if it will continue...

I'm sure you meant Guru, Cron. Your wife need to take the bottle away from you, your celebrating too much.

[crondanet5]

Yup and yup.

[Tomanyiron]

Updated EOD, Monday December 24. Looks like a relief rally is coming today, will it last all day or fizzle out. It would be terrifying to buy into weakness like this, but we have a half dozen or so doing it today. If I was so brave, I would be looking for three things: 1- Good price rebound, 2- Heavy volume with it, and 3- Good market breadth.
Oh, I’ll add a forth, small caps leading.
12/14 3.92
12/17 3.30
12/18 2.95
12/19 2.54
12/20 2.19
12/21 1.83
12/24 1.61

[michigande]

I think I know one guy wishing he had waited another day to pull the IFT trigger to G... XAMOTOMAX. I watch his IFT's for good reason, but the Christmas eve before noon jump from S to G had to hurt. Sorry pal!

[Tomanyiron]

Updated EOD, Wednesday December 26. , WOO WEE!!! It was the best day in stock market history, and the PULL had to respond a little.
12/17 3.30
12/18 2.95
12/19 2.54
12/20 2.19
12/21 1.83
12/24 1.61
12/26 1.80

Unnoticed by many was the G fund’s bump on the 20th. Which has it on top, and puts it more in alignment with the TSP Share Prices YTD.

[Tomanyiron]

Updated EOD, Thursday December 27, PULL was up again, and would be a buy signal in a “normal” market. But as the overall trend is still down (see Push, last chart), it behooves me to remain cautious a little longer.
12/18 2.95
12/19 2.54
12/20 2.19
12/21 1.83
12/24 1.61
12/26 1.80
12/27 1.85

[mango72]

I too am remaining in the G/F fund till something normal occurs.

[wingchaser]

The thing that is the most impressive with this Santa Rally (if it continues to hold), is that it truly came out of the Depths of Despair...

Kudo's to PoorFed, Viagrahigh, Moisesiiii & amybelieve for their well-timed moves, though the jury's still out with this one! Those are the only four (4) in the Top 500 of the Leader Board...

Best Wishes (everyone) in all you chose to endeavor!!!

[TSPNerd]

Do you jump back in with 3 up days in a row? Sure seems like today's going to end in the green. I'm glad I didn't cave and jump to G fund after the 24th. Also glad my real TSP doesn't mirror what I do on here.

[Tomanyiron]

Do you jump back in with 3 up days in a row?

Actually it has been 2 up days. And that has worked well for most of the year. And for me, it put me within the top 10 YTD for a while. It especially signaled the exits well. But when this correction started in Oct, it has not worked as good. The three times it signaled buy, they turned out to be duds.
So now I’m reevaluating. Should there be a different set of rules for down-trends than the up-trends. I know I get carried away with the complicated stuff sometimes. So everything I come up with, I'm ask myself, is this something I can do easily each day?

[Tomanyiron]

Updated EOD, Friday December 28, PULL was up, 3rd day in a row. And on the Strength Chart it sure looks like a rebound is under way. All 3 stocks funds are up, with the bond fund sliding.
I’m trying hard not to let my allocation bias (G fund) influence my viewpoint. And that other thing we all get, “the stock market’s going up, I got to get it! I got to get it! Feeling. The deciding factor will be for me, the “Push”, its still going down. Talk more about Push, Pull and Strength by Wed morning’s open.
12/18 2.95
12/19 2.54
12/20 2.19
12/21 1.83
12/24 1.61
12/26 1.80
12/27 1.85
12/28 2.24

[Tomanyiron]

Updated EOD, Monday December 31, PULL was up, along with the stock funds. It just is not as aggressive as you would expect after the big selloff that’s been going on.
12/19 2.54
12/20 2.19
12/21 1.83
12/24 1.61
12/26 1.80
12/27 1.85
12/28 2.24
12/31 2.80

[crondanet5]

Looks like that red line had a shot of Viagra the 19th of December. But what does it mean with continuing market selloff?

[Tomanyiron]

Cron, there maybe continued market selloff, as you said. But looks like, starting the year, you and I are going back to the end of the line.

Your CNBC guys have let you down (not ing at you on camera), about this strong rally.