What are the Odds?

General TSP Discussion.

Moderator: Aitrus

What are the odds of pulling a green marble from the bag?

Poll ended at Mon Mar 12, 2018 4:25 pm

10%
52
26%
20%
5
2%
50%
5
2%
80%
36
18%
100%
104
51%
 
Total votes: 202

mindofmush
Posts: 353
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 1:38 pm

Re: What are the Odds?

Post by mindofmush »

The odds of pulling a green marble is 80% regardless of whether marbles can represent a trading strategy or not.

It is more interesting that 85% of the polled chose wrongly; maybe it was deliberate; interesting anyway.

I like Tomanyiron's answer the best, especially the theory about reality! :lol:
mo meng, mo ching (which loosely means: no money, no life)

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Fund Prices2024-04-17

FundPriceDayYTD
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F $18.68 0.50% -2.85%
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I $40.66 -0.17% 1.19%
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L2050 $31.39 -0.35% 2.57%
L2045 $14.34 -0.33% 2.47%
L2040 $52.43 -0.31% 2.41%
L2035 $13.87 -0.28% 2.31%
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Linc $25.29 -0.09% 1.55%

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