Just looking for an exit

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XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:00 am

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

So you've personally done a thorough analysis of the USPS books and can say on your own that the agreement with Amazon is profitable? That's pretty impressive.

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ArrieS
Posts: 1072
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2012 10:56 am

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by ArrieS »

XAMOTOMAX wrote:So you've personally done a thorough analysis of the USPS books and can say on your own that the agreement with Amazon is profitable? That's pretty impressive.
No, but I can say I've done a more thorough review of the information that's available than you.
OCTOBER: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks in. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February. - Pudd'nhead Wilson's Calendar

XAMOTOMAX
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Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

You can also say that you lay golden eggs...and believe it too. Doesn't make it true.
Last edited by XAMOTOMAX on Tue Apr 03, 2018 2:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.

greengrass
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Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 9:28 am

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by greengrass »

I'm glad everyone got their vent out. ;)

XAMOTOMAX
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Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

lol exactly

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jlozano042
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Joined: Tue Apr 04, 2017 12:37 pm

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by jlozano042 »

Can others post now? ;)

Image

XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:00 am

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

Only if the post contains "nanny-nanny-boo-boo" or "I know you are but what am I?"

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cswift01
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Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by cswift01 »


XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:00 am

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

I'm not completely sold one way or the other...as I said, I tend to believe Amazon is getting the better end of the deal and overall the deal isn't profitable for USPS. Revenue doesn't equal profit and we don't have a full picture on what has to be spent to generate that revenue. I also don't expect to find an unbiased evaluation of the deal available for mass consumption. But just because I'm a contrarian, here are a couple links for you which I'm sure will be dissected and flamed in typical fashion.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-the-po ... 26?tesla=y

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/2017/ ... h-the-usps

XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Aug 02, 2015 1:00 am

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

Nice bounce today. Allocation changes are pretty split between G/F and equities. I'm watching for a higher high above 2650 now to see if this thing can turn around.

mindofmush
Posts: 353
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 1:38 pm

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by mindofmush »

XAMOTOMAX wrote:Nice bounce today. Allocation changes are pretty split between G/F and equities. I'm watching for a higher high above 2650 now to see if this thing can turn around.
Where did you find the pretty split between G/F and equities? All I saw on the home page was 20% G on one pending allocation and everything else C, I, or S for April 3.
mo meng, mo ching (which loosely means: no money, no life)

XAMOTOMAX
Posts: 542
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Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by XAMOTOMAX »

Click view all pending allocations and it shows 17% G, 25% F, 50% CSI and the rest split between L funds.

Octjan2
Posts: 332
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 8:01 pm

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by Octjan2 »

The market makes fools of almost everybody. None of us know what will happen and, yes, a broken clock is even right twice a day. I see all this talk about out smarting the market and avoiding downturns, but I rarely see anybody’s return on here that beat the C/I fund return last year. Because the dailies backed most of us into a corner with 6- 8% losses, some of us feel we have no other choice than to buy and hold at this point and hope for a recovery. The WORST thing at this point, IMO, would be to go to G and watch the market take off if earnings come in better than expected. I know it sucks taking a risk of further losses, but I think buy and hold for now makes the most sense.

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danho
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Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by danho »

XAMOTOMAX wrote:Nice bounce today. Allocation changes are pretty split between G/F and equities. I'm watching for a higher high above 2650 now to see if this thing can turn around.
Can you elaborate on your comment regarding 2650 and turning things around?

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jlozano042
Posts: 836
Joined: Tue Apr 04, 2017 12:37 pm

Re: Just looking for an exit

Post by jlozano042 »

Hate to speak for XAMOTOMAX but I think he/she meant they are hoping for the S&P 500 to move higher (at 2650), close to where it bottomed out on Thur.

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Fund Prices2024-04-24

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.20 0.01% 1.34%
F $18.64 -0.24% -3.04%
C $79.40 0.02% 6.78%
S $78.08 -0.18% 1.28%
I $41.48 -0.10% 3.23%
L2065 $15.84 -0.05% 4.74%
L2060 $15.84 -0.05% 4.75%
L2055 $15.84 -0.05% 4.75%
L2050 $31.79 -0.06% 3.86%
L2045 $14.51 -0.05% 3.68%
L2040 $53.01 -0.05% 3.54%
L2035 $14.01 -0.04% 3.36%
L2030 $46.69 -0.04% 3.21%
L2025 $13.01 -0.02% 2.33%
Linc $25.40 -0.02% 2.00%

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Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".