S Fund today??

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Jalpunk
Posts: 31
Joined: Wed Aug 09, 2017 10:07 am

S Fund today??

Post by Jalpunk »

Many strategies move to the S fund today, but its seems a little unwise to jump in today given how high it is right now. I'm curious on people's thoughts on either jumping to S today or deviating from the strategy and staying put or going elsewhere (I'm currently in G as per 20241).

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scotth2010
Posts: 34
Joined: Tue May 19, 2015 11:04 am

Re: S Fund today??

Post by scotth2010 »

Yep, but only 6 of my toes, I left 40% in "G".

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Sad Al
Posts: 107
Joined: Tue Jun 08, 2010 11:50 am

Re: S Fund today??

Post by Sad Al »

Of the 90+ people making changes today (myself included), 90% are going into the S fund. That sounds like over 80 people following a strategy from TSPCALC are still faithful, after a horrible start to the year. Of course, not all of the 40K+ strategies there call for a change to S fund today, but many of the popular strategies do, and I also note that like me, some are experiencing big losses this year, unprecedented by their "past performance." If my strategy is to make a 32% expected gain for the year, it has seven months to make 40%.

mindofmush
Posts: 353
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 1:38 pm

Re: S Fund today??

Post by mindofmush »

A move to the S fund could be a good choice: The S fund has broken up out of it's consolidation wedge and is now continuing it's former UP trend.

A move to the S fund could be a bad choice: The sideways market will include the S fund in it's up & down movements within the channel and even if the channel has a slight upward trend, the S fund will dip down during the next week or so.

This sounds like on of those 50/50/90 choices; when faced with a 50/50 chance, you have a 90% chance of getting it wrong.
Last edited by mindofmush on Tue May 22, 2018 12:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
mo meng, mo ching (which loosely means: no money, no life)

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evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: S Fund today??

Post by evilanne »

lol mindofmush, that sounds about right on my experience with the S Fund

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Scarfinger
Posts: 810
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: S Fund today??

Post by Scarfinger »

mindofmush wrote:A move to the S fund could be a good choice: The S fund has broken up out of it's consolidation wedge and is now continuing it's former UP trend.

A move to the S fund could be a bad choice: The sideways market will include the S fund in it's up & down movements within the channel and even if the channel has a slight upward trend, the S fund will dip down during the next week or so.

This sounds like on of those 50/50/90 choices; when face with a 50/50 chance, you have a 90% chance of getting it wrong.
I am finding the daily strategy hard to follow. Mainly because I can't keep up with the moves. I thinking for myself a monthly strat may be more my speed. But, for now trying to follow the daily.
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

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Hoss2112
Posts: 45
Joined: Wed Jan 07, 2015 5:02 pm

Re: S Fund today??

Post by Hoss2112 »

Scarfinger wrote:
I am finding the daily strategy hard to follow. Mainly because I can't keep up with the moves. I thinking for myself a monthly strat may be more my speed. But, for now trying to follow the daily.
I find the daily strategy easy to follow by setting a calendar reminder for the afternoon on the day before each scheduled move. I followed it perfectly for months but found myself down over 8% for the year. I have since diversified and am trying to slowly dig myself out of the hole.
'Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason.'
-Mark Twain

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

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