Im hesitant to use tspcalc strats as history might not repeat. but i plan to real world back test #53846 in tspfantasy. just cant put much faith in the approach yet.12squared wrote:Historically, the best approach has been to stay in G through the 2nd week of December, and switch into S or I on the 10th or 11th trading day (Dec. 16 or 17, 2018 including the Dec 5 holiday).
This is the consensus of 5 strategies which have outperformed the Max(G,F,C,S,I) by at least % points, each year from 2004-Nov 2018, and without a single negative year.
https://tspcalc.com/seasonal.php?ID=538 ... 7980-12319
Alternatively, I'd wait until the SPY:AGG ratio crossed its 5 day moving average to get back in.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY%3 ... 828077057c
If you were in G right now...
Moderator: Aitrus
Re: If you were in G right now...
Re: If you were in G right now...
I'm in the G now and missed the blood bath. Following TSPCalc seasonal 54027 which has me back into the S Fund on the 17th....hoping 12squared's comment on the historical trends holds true in this un-historical year. Can't win if I don't play
Re: If you were in G right now...
Userque bailing on G and quietly jumps into S. Will he be at the top by the end of the day? Good luck!
Re: If you were in G right now...
Ha! Thanksmisfit wrote:Userque bailing on G and quietly jumps into S. Will he be at the top by the end of the day? Good luck!
"The race is long, and in the end, it is only with yourself." -- Mary Theresa Schmich
Fund Prices2024-04-18
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.19 | 0.01% | 1.27% |
F | $18.62 | -0.30% | -3.14% |
C | $78.45 | -0.21% | 5.50% |
S | $76.12 | -0.20% | -1.27% |
I | $40.67 | 0.02% | 1.21% |
L2065 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2060 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2055 | $15.58 | -0.13% | 3.04% |
L2050 | $31.35 | -0.13% | 2.44% |
L2045 | $14.32 | -0.12% | 2.35% |
L2040 | $52.37 | -0.11% | 2.29% |
L2035 | $13.85 | -0.10% | 2.21% |
L2030 | $46.21 | -0.09% | 2.15% |
L2025 | $12.93 | -0.05% | 1.72% |
Linc | $25.28 | -0.04% | 1.51% |