Who's Following What?
Moderator: Aitrus
Who's Following What?
Now that the new year is upon us, for of those of you who are following a TSPCalc strategy, which one have you decided to follow?
For 2019, I'm going with # 57110. Fairly conservative, yet good returns. And only 14 negative months since 2004.
For 2019, I'm going with # 57110. Fairly conservative, yet good returns. And only 14 negative months since 2004.
Re: Who's Following What?
And only 37% of the time in Stocks. Pretty nice. I hadn't thought to count the number of negative months.... My choice for 2019 has 38 negative months... yikes...
#54030
#54030
Re: Who's Following What?
Negative months got me playing with the builder. Look at #58982. It's only 10.8% in stocks. A mean of only 15.65 but StD of only 4.55 and only 6 negative months out of the last 180 months.
Looking at the calendar though, makes it look like you have to get very lucky to get gains on the few days it goes into CSI. But if it's luck, then it's been lucky on those days so far.
Looking at the calendar though, makes it look like you have to get very lucky to get gains on the few days it goes into CSI. But if it's luck, then it's been lucky on those days so far.
Re: Who's Following What?
fordest wrote:Negative months got me playing with the builder. Look at #58982. It's only 10.8% in stocks. A mean of only 15.65 but StD of only 4.55 and only 6 negative months out of the last 180 months.
Looking at the calendar though, makes it look like you have to get very lucky to get gains on the few days it goes into CSI. But if it's luck, then it's been lucky on those days so far.
With my luck, i'll hit the down days during the entire 10.8% im in CSI...
Re: Who's Following What?
fordest; looks good. It seems to me that may be a great plan for someone in or near retirement. I'll also say that, as conservative as it is, it averages 1% or more every month.
Edit: I incorporated the "June" from that strategy into 57110. It came out with: #59063... a slight improvement from 57110.
Edit: I incorporated the "June" from that strategy into 57110. It came out with: #59063... a slight improvement from 57110.
Re: Who's Following What?
I basically just follow my gut. I've gone back to my old strategy of just sitting in -G- or -F- most of the time and waiting for a good dip, then try to get in & out quickly for the rebound. It's served me well last year. I don't trust this market to stay up much more than a couple of days at a time lately.
- Scarfinger
- Posts: 811
- Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am
Re: Who's Following What?
I am going to try 55015 for now. only 33 (-) months since 2004? Until otherwise notified. It's a fluid environment.nrialto wrote:Now that the new year is upon us, for of those of you who are following a TSPCalc strategy, which one have you decided to follow?
For 2019, I'm going with # 57110. Fairly conservative, yet good returns. And only 14 negative months since 2004.
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation ofTimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Re: Who's Following What?
Currently following #59063.
Anyone come across any daily strategies lately they really like?
Anyone come across any daily strategies lately they really like?
Re: Who's Following What?
I'm sticking with #7980 for my 'real money'. My fantasy account is not correlated to my real money. I'm more risk averse with my real money.
Last year was an outlier and even with all of the volatility, #7980 still finished on the plus side of the ledger.
Last year was an outlier and even with all of the volatility, #7980 still finished on the plus side of the ledger.
Re: Who's Following What?
Good ol' 7980. Along with BnH 2030 (and Mr. Imperfect) it's my standard to beat. Cuz I was following it once... then I thought I got smarter than 7980... apparently not...
- Billionair
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- Joined: Wed May 02, 2018 11:27 am
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Who's Following What?
Correct me if I wrong, doesn't 7980 takes the position that the market will proceed up for the next 30 days? I admire a person with that much faith.
There is some “wisdom of the crowd” methodology saying that stocks are probably still overvalued. I am not going to say what I will do tomorrow let alone for a whole month.
There is some “wisdom of the crowd” methodology saying that stocks are probably still overvalued. I am not going to say what I will do tomorrow let alone for a whole month.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Re: Who's Following What?
#57171....
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.
Re: Who's Following What?
You're correct. Transition to the S fund on Friday (January 18th). This follows the cyclic bump after the santa claus rally fizzles... will it happen this year? I thought I was smarter than #7980 last year. This year, I'm resigned to think a lot less!Tomanyiron wrote:Correct me if I wrong, doesn't 7980 takes the position that the market will proceed up for the next 30 days? I admire a person with that much faith.
There is some “wisdom of the crowd” methodology saying that stocks are probably still overvalued. I am not going to say what I will do tomorrow let alone for a whole month.
Re: Who's Following What?
I'm thinking 58375 or 57491 flavored with 7980 along the way.
Fund Prices2024-04-17
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.19 | 0.01% | 1.25% |
F | $18.68 | 0.50% | -2.85% |
C | $78.62 | -0.58% | 5.72% |
S | $76.27 | -0.89% | -1.07% |
I | $40.66 | -0.17% | 1.19% |
L2065 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.17% |
L2060 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.18% |
L2055 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.18% |
L2050 | $31.39 | -0.35% | 2.57% |
L2045 | $14.34 | -0.33% | 2.47% |
L2040 | $52.43 | -0.31% | 2.41% |
L2035 | $13.87 | -0.28% | 2.31% |
L2030 | $46.25 | -0.25% | 2.24% |
L2025 | $12.93 | -0.12% | 1.78% |
Linc | $25.29 | -0.09% | 1.55% |