March Seasonal

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mjedlin66
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Posts: 1569
Joined: Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:51 pm

March Seasonal

Post by mjedlin66 »

I was working on some new features on my "beta" site... Ran this comparison just for kicks.
57171 has these 2004-2018 stats for March: 3.17% average, 3.32% SD. So "usually", March will return between -.15% and +6.49%.

By comparison, the S fund stats are: 2.43% average, 3.31% SD. For a "usual" range of -.88% to 5.74%.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: March Seasonal

Post by fordest »

Something new?
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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mjedlin66
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Re: March Seasonal

Post by mjedlin66 »

fordest wrote:Something new?
Here's what's coming in 4.0. I was working on #8 when I posted this.
  • 1) Added: Contribution Calculator. Free to use, but subscribers can save their plan to their account.
    2) Added: "Next IFT" in "My Watch List" now indicates the next fund AND date.
    3) Added: The Seasonal Calculator "Results" table is now dynamic, allowing you to update the year range on the fly.
    4) Added: The Seasonal Calculator "Results" table now allows you to click on a benchmark to immediately show its full stats table.
    5) Added: The Seasonal Calculator "Results" table now shows Standard Deviation for each month column.
    6) Added: Snazzy TSPcalc Logo.
    7) Added: The three Seasonal tools are now grouped together in desktop navigation.
    8) Added: The Seasonal Calculator "Results" table now shows Standard Deviation for each month column.
    9) Added: The Seasonal Calculator now allows you to enter schedule your IFTs relative to a holiday or End-of-Month.
    10) Added: The Seasonal Builder now provides current-year data as soon as each month is over.
    11) Changed: Logging in now returns you to the page you were on, rather than directing you to "My Account".
    12) Changed: Fund colors have been changed to match the colors of TSP.gov.
    13) Added: Print button for Seasonal Calculator trading calendars.
    14) Added: Print button for Seasonal Calculator graphs **Needs work.
    15) Changed: The Seasonal Calculator "Results" table now represents the core funds by their letter "G,F,C,S,I" rather than their strategy #.
    16) Fixed: "# of IFTs" for Core Funds should read 0, not 1, even though the calculator will display it as a single IFT on 1st TD of January.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: March Seasonal

Post by fordest »

wow. good stuff here. Thanks for all you do.
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

sbarman
Posts: 19
Joined: Wed May 14, 2014 8:00 pm

Re: March Seasonal

Post by sbarman »

any way to add interval between two interfund transfer? we have a 15 day interfund transfer restriction.

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mjedlin66
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Re: March Seasonal

Post by mjedlin66 »

sbarman wrote:any way to add interval between two interfund transfer? we have a 15 day interfund transfer restriction.
Show me that requirement, please.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

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robika
Posts: 86
Joined: Tue Mar 08, 2016 8:56 am

Re: March Seasonal

Post by robika »

Let me start with a huge kudos for all that you have done mjedlin66! Fantastic work.
I have, however, found a weird oddity in the seasonal builder:
I know that it is possible to sort by columns in each month after you have built a strategy by clicking on the column title, but the sorting seems to have issues.
For instance, keep the start & end years 04 to 18 and then sort by maximum descending, no filters.
If you click on 'Min' in January, the first Min is -1.95 then the second is -10.02 and if you scroll down the list it keeps descending to -13.45 but then jumps to -2.03. So it looks like it's sorting by first digit-ish instead of by actual value.
Image attached.
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2019: Ignore everything that Mr. Imperfect says. Just roll the dice, will probably do better.
2020: Did Mr. Imperfect hack my fantasy account?
2021: My fantasy account got COVID.

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mjedlin66
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Joined: Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:51 pm

Re: March Seasonal

Post by mjedlin66 »

robika wrote:Let me start with a huge kudos for all that you have done mjedlin66! Fantastic work.
I have, however, found a weird oddity in the seasonal builder:
I know that it is possible to sort by columns in each month after you have built a strategy by clicking on the column title, but the sorting seems to have issues.
For instance, keep the start & end years 04 to 18 and then sort by maximum descending, no filters.
If you click on 'Min' in January, the first Min is -1.95 then the second is -10.02 and if you scroll down the list it keeps descending to -13.45 but then jumps to -2.03. So it looks like it's sorting by first digit-ish instead of by actual value.
Image attached.
I had forgotten about that problem. I will add it to my list. Thank you.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".