Home sales follow rates... Down

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greengrass
Posts: 334
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 9:28 am

Home sales follow rates... Down

Post by greengrass »

For those that follow the housing market. Is the sales downturn following a seasonal tread?

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Aitrus
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Re: Home sales follow rates... Down

Post by Aitrus »

I'm not sure if they're closely linked to the overall job rate or Federal Reserve's interest rate, but the housing sector of the economy definitely has a seasonal trend: trending up in the spring, flatlining in the summer, trending down in the fall/winter. This is due mostly to people tending to move to new geographic locations more in spring and summer and not in fall fall or winter. This means that more new homes get started in the spring, and home buying and selling is more often done in spring and summer.

This chart reflects new home building seasonal tendencies
http://www.equityclock.com/2010/09/20/c ... asonality/

This one reflects exist home sales
https://charts.equityclock.com/u-s-existing-home-sales

Other charts related to the housing market
https://charts.equityclock.com/category ... on/housing
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
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greengrass
Posts: 334
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 9:28 am

Re: Home sales follow rates... Down

Post by greengrass »

Thanks, Aitrus. That makes sense, I was thinking the housing market would have had some more strength as the rates lowered. I was expecting a causation but didn't see it.

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nikko
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Joined: Sat Oct 21, 2017 10:16 pm

Re: Home sales follow rates... Down

Post by nikko »

It might also be a delayed stat. Some may be waiting for the next rate cut.

HighRisk
Posts: 10
Joined: Wed Jan 02, 2019 10:57 pm

Re: Home sales follow rates... Down

Post by HighRisk »

nikko wrote:It might also be a delayed stat. Some may be waiting for the next rate cut.
Are we expecting another rate cut soon? :roll:

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Fund Prices2024-04-17

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.19 0.01% 1.25%
F $18.68 0.50% -2.85%
C $78.62 -0.58% 5.72%
S $76.27 -0.89% -1.07%
I $40.66 -0.17% 1.19%
L2065 $15.60 -0.47% 3.17%
L2060 $15.60 -0.47% 3.18%
L2055 $15.60 -0.47% 3.18%
L2050 $31.39 -0.35% 2.57%
L2045 $14.34 -0.33% 2.47%
L2040 $52.43 -0.31% 2.41%
L2035 $13.87 -0.28% 2.31%
L2030 $46.25 -0.25% 2.24%
L2025 $12.93 -0.12% 1.78%
Linc $25.29 -0.09% 1.55%

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