Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

General TSP Discussion.

Moderator: Aitrus

User avatar
bloobs
Posts: 1642
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

Post by bloobs »

Snapdragon wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 1:35 pm
bloobs wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 6:58 am - So aside from the aforementioned 7 stocks, there may still be room to run at least for the next few weeks--until a correction sets in.
Can you let us all know 2 days before the correction starts? :lol:
That's the thing about the market; 99.9999% of us wont get a trend change confirmation signal until a few days after the market starts drops sustainably dropping. Most people consider a 2/3 day close beneath the 20day MA as the confirmation that the S&P500's current bull run is done. Far from perfect, but sometimes better than "predicting" because I know a bunch of guys who predicted and decided to get out back in January. They've lost lot more gains since than the guy who only decides to sell off a few days after the index actually crosses beneath the 20day MA.

PhilJohn
Posts: 396
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 10:38 am

Re: Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

Post by PhilJohn »

I got out because March usually always sucks. I would have to identify a real nice buying opportunity to go back in, otherwise I will be staying clear until April.

Looks like S is getting pounded.

User avatar
mjedlin66
Site Admin
Posts: 1588
Joined: Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:51 pm

Re: Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

Post by mjedlin66 »

I saw a seasonal trending chart the other day that shows in election years, the first half of March typically is down and the second half of March typically up. This did not appear to trend with the regular March data.
Owner/creator of TSPcalc.com - "Know your numbers"

PhilJohn
Posts: 396
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 10:38 am

Re: Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

Post by PhilJohn »

IRQVET wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:33 pm I've done the jump in/ jump out dance before and always seem to miss the mark. Probably cause I'm not entuned to the market like you folks are. All I know is I went 100% C back in Nov. and until this week it was going great . . .
Wish I would have done that! I feel I’m behind the 8 ball. That’s when I usually mess up!

Bubba
Posts: 421
Joined: Thu Mar 05, 2020 3:40 am

Re: Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

Post by Bubba »

mjedlin66 wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 5:46 pm I saw a seasonal trending chart the other day that shows in election years, the first half of March typically is down and the second half of March typically up. This did not appear to trend with the regular March data.
I saw this too. Interestingly, some of the market commentators that I follow have been forecasting a great first half and a terrible 2nd half. That doesn't line up with the typical election years, but sure enough, we've had a decent first 2 weeks.

Having said all of that, I'm at a high percentage in the I Fund. Fingers crossed...

User avatar
Scarfinger
Posts: 811
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

Post by Scarfinger »

Playing it a little on the conservative side. I am going 50% L2035 and 50% I
I am just an average Joe. I have no clue to what the market will do.
TimboSlice wrote: "People really need to stop overthinking this."
Paul Merriman 2 fund strat: (age - 25) x2.5 = TDF + balance into S fund or variation of

User avatar
IRQVET
Posts: 202
Joined: Tue May 03, 2016 12:45 am

Re: Question for those scheduled to sell S/C tomorrow...

Post by IRQVET »

PhilJohn wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 11:15 pm
IRQVET wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:33 pm I've done the jump in/ jump out dance before and always seem to miss the mark. Probably cause I'm not entuned to the market like you folks are. All I know is I went 100% C back in Nov. and until this week it was going great . . .
Wish I would have done that! I feel I’m behind the 8 ball. That’s when I usually mess up!
For FY24 I’ve decided to follow the strategy of “set it and forget it” which is only half true; as I’ve set it- but behind the scenes I’m checking it constantly. My rational- looking that the overall history of the C Fund, which was in the top five for seasonal strategies for the life of the fund compared to others. Figured I’d try it out, like I said, I’m not as entune to the market like others and so far its been working great . . .
Operation Iraqi Freedom Veteran
Disclaimer: The contents of this thread are known to the state of California to cause cancer. (As they always seem to know more than the rest of us)

Post Reply

Fund Prices2024-05-10

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.24 0.01% 1.54%
F $18.86 -0.22% -1.88%
C $81.82 0.18% 10.02%
S $80.25 -0.32% 4.10%
I $42.79 0.31% 6.48%
L2065 $16.31 0.16% 7.91%
L2060 $16.32 0.16% 7.91%
L2055 $16.32 0.16% 7.92%
L2050 $32.61 0.12% 6.56%
L2045 $14.86 0.11% 6.24%
L2040 $54.24 0.10% 5.94%
L2035 $14.31 0.09% 5.58%
L2030 $47.61 0.09% 5.24%
L2025 $13.16 0.05% 3.55%
Linc $25.66 0.04% 3.01%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".