Glad to be in "F"

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4973
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by Tomanyiron »

usps2013 wrote:Dead cat bounce Monday. How high will it flop?


Don't count on a DCB. Last year, in Aug, we had 6 consecutive down market days. With a lost of over 11%.This could be as bad, or worse.

The summer pullback has initiated, IMHO, cut your losses, wait for the bottom.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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dougellen1
Posts: 123
Joined: Thu Mar 08, 2012 12:41 pm

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by dougellen1 »

Tomanyiron has a very prescient comment. Blood bath underway this Monday morn. Who wants to catch a falling knife?

Octjan2
Posts: 332
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 8:01 pm

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by Octjan2 »

Although I wouldn't be surprised if we see a little bounce up tomorrow, as a long term investor it will be hard to avoid investing in the risky funds if the market is down significantly again tomorrow. That would bring the S&P well below 2000 and the S fund well below 1000. I think once things settle in Europe a little, and especially if the US earnings improve for the second quarter, the market will test new highs. As much as I hate to make the mistake of going in well before the bottom, I would be kicking myself for missing what could be a significant ride up. We don't get many opportunities like this to buy at such a good price.

usps2013
Posts: 137
Joined: Tue Jul 14, 2015 9:52 pm

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by usps2013 »

Missed it by [[this]] much...

Futures are up in the Asian session. See if it holds.
-An economic forecaster is like a blind javelin thrower; although rarely accurate, he keeps your full attention.

Octjan2
Posts: 332
Joined: Thu Feb 25, 2016 8:01 pm

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by Octjan2 »

usps2013 wrote:Missed it by [[this]] much...

Futures are up in the Asian session. See if it holds.

You should get other chances to buy low. The bump we will probably see tomorrow is normal considering the amount of selling over the past 2 days. Once it goes back up a little there could be another big sell off. I don't think there is much of a chance of the stocks taking off. There is still way too much uncertainty unless something positive comes out of Europe.

bad70nova
Posts: 245
Joined: Thu Oct 17, 2013 10:18 am

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by bad70nova »

As for me I am hanging in the F fund till Thursday and i'll be moving to the C fund for Friday morning opening session. Hope I'm making the right move, no major reason behind this move just looking at the down side of this and looking for improvement going into the weekend. Of course things could change dependent on the next few days. Sad to say, but looking for 2 more down days between now and Thursday.

usps2013
Posts: 137
Joined: Tue Jul 14, 2015 9:52 pm

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by usps2013 »

Octjan2 wrote:
usps2013 wrote:Missed it by [[this]] much...

Futures are up in the Asian session. See if it holds.

You should get other chances to buy low. The bump we will probably see tomorrow is normal considering the amount of selling over the past 2 days. Once it goes back up a little there could be another big sell off. I don't think there is much of a chance of the stocks taking off. There is still way too much uncertainty unless something positive comes out of Europe.


I'm in the middle. Nothing will change economically in Europe. Even if it does-which is unlikely-that is a 2018-2019 issue. The here and now is status quo. [I find it preposterous that the markets are planning two years out. There are too many variables in the Brexit equation. Feelings are hurt and the markets reflect that.]

Assuming the fear is tangible, folks will flock to us equities and bonds driving up prices more. In a world of zero or negative returns, over priced US markets are the place to be. That's why I believe, softly, a small run will occur.

That being said, I think this [is] all ridiculous and the S&P needs to drop to 1700 levels for my own personal sanity. That day will come. The last economic power will capitulate beneath the weight of the world and underlying fundamentals. Today, I believe, is not that day.

As an aside, I'm studying German. My phrase of the day was: duetsche bank. Apparently, it means Lehmann Brothers in German. Who knew?

Had to edit. My literacy was low this morning.
-An economic forecaster is like a blind javelin thrower; although rarely accurate, he keeps your full attention.

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evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: Glad to be in "F"

Post by evilanne »

usps2013 wrote:That being said, I think this [is] all ridiculous and the S&P needs to drop to 1700 levels for my own personal sanity. That day will come. The last economic power will capitulate beneath the weight of the world and underlying fundamentals. Today, I believe, is not that day.

As an aside, I'm studying German. My phrase of the day was: duetsche bank. Apparently, it means Lehmann Brothers in German. Who knew?


usps2013

LOL. I hope you stay crazy...sanity isn't all that its cracked up to be :wink:

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Fund Prices2024-03-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $18.15 0.05% 1.05%
F $19.08 -0.06% -0.74%
C $82.21 0.11% 10.55%
S $82.43 0.30% 6.92%
I $42.57 -0.24% 5.95%
L2065 $16.38 0.02% 8.37%
L2060 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2055 $16.39 0.02% 8.38%
L2050 $32.73 0.01% 6.95%
L2045 $14.91 0.02% 6.58%
L2040 $54.38 0.02% 6.22%
L2035 $14.34 0.02% 5.79%
L2030 $47.67 0.02% 5.38%
L2025 $13.15 0.03% 3.43%
Linc $25.61 0.03% 2.82%

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