Recession tool

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cswift01
Posts: 819
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2016 10:46 am

Recession tool

Post by cswift01 »

Great tool for predicting recessions (note that it's very date specific, i.e. you need the date to make the prediction):

https://seekingalpha.com/article/425370 ... april-2020

and

https://politicalcalculations.blogspot. ... K3Sq9ozaUk

Enjoy!

Best,

Me

DaveWine
Posts: 17
Joined: Mon Aug 13, 2018 10:31 am

Re: Recession tool

Post by DaveWine »

Is a recession looming?

-

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evilanne
Posts: 2067
Joined: Thu May 14, 2015 6:52 pm

Re: Recession tool

Post by evilanne »

Based on second link - Probability of Recession (8.8%) within the next 12 months

I think they will keep the economy afloat until at least November 2020

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cswift01
Posts: 819
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2016 10:46 am

Re: Recession tool

Post by cswift01 »

evilanne wrote:Based on second link - Probability of Recession (8.8%) within the next 12 months

I think they will keep the economy afloat until at least November 2020
Remember that the score is on the moment. I.e. whenever you have an inversion, it will give you a higher probability of a recession then if a couple of days later there is no inversion. You probably already knew that. ;-)

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Fake-News
Posts: 5
Joined: Mon Mar 25, 2019 10:20 pm

Re: Recession tool

Post by Fake-News »

More fake news. The economy is going to continue robust growth through President Trump's second term in office. Now is the time to be in equities.

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cswift01
Posts: 819
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2016 10:46 am

Re: Recession tool

Post by cswift01 »

Fake-News wrote:More fake news. The economy is going to continue robust growth through President Trump's second term in office. Now is the time to be in equities.
Ok

DeportThem
Posts: 2
Joined: Thu Jun 22, 2017 9:40 pm

Re: Recession tool

Post by DeportThem »

Fake-News wrote:More fake news. The economy is going to continue robust growth through President Trump's second term in office. Now is the time to be in equities.
Haha...so true. I'm still not tired of winning! :mrgreen:

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Jimboslice
Posts: 10
Joined: Mon Feb 04, 2019 1:29 am

Re: Recession tool

Post by Jimboslice »

Ain't America great!

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