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She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:26 pm
by tspwizard1
I don't think it takes a fortune teller to see that the market is gonna pull back hard in the next couple of days. We are at the end of a bull cycle. The market cannot go up forever. A natural big correction must and will happen soon. Trump cutting corporate taxes and raising annual deficit by 800 billion was a terrible decision. Running out of steam. I'm hiding in G. Once this starts it will be very hard to make gains in the stock market in the next 8-10 years, which sucks. '

If someone disagrees please tell me why you believe the longest bull market in history will continue to rise. I foresee a return to 2011 levels before the start of the next bull run.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/chart ... 2019-02-06

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:30 pm
by jlozano042
I passionately disagree .... but have no evidence or facts to back it up. :mrgreen:

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:33 pm
by fordest
jlozano042 wrote:I passionately disagree .... but have no evidence or facts to back it up. :mrgreen:
I like your analysis much more.

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:15 pm
by wdd09
Everyone thinks they know when the next correction is going to be. In the meantime, I'll continue to follow my strategy and let the cards fall as they may.

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:33 pm
by spooner4
Changed to G today, locked in 5% gain. Glad I moved to G yesterday, look at Market Today. :mrgreen:

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 10:19 pm
by Billionair
Just for everyone’s record, tspwizard prefers to use the strategy of hating the President to predict the market. His words are like sand on a beach, so tread lightly. As for the market, we’ve had a good rally. China will determine the next one.

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 10:50 pm
by TheRussian
Troll.

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 10:52 pm
by Jted1785
Finally! Somebody who can predict the market with ease. Where were you three months ago? I could have used you then.

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 1:40 am
by mhende2
Stick your head in the sand and hold G for next 8-10 years, the sky is falling. Sounds like a helluva plan you got there. You stick to your plan, and I'll stick to mine. Good luck!

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 2:22 am
by PhilJohn
Well hell, You must have been in G for all of Obama’s years if you are worried about national debt.

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 4:00 am
by crondanet5
tspwizard1, have you considered possible interference with a pullback by the Plunge Protection Group, aka the Meddlers?

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 4:14 am
by cswift01
tspwizard1 wrote:I don't think it takes a fortune teller to see that the market is gonna pull back hard in the next couple of days. We are at the end of a bull cycle. The market cannot go up forever. A natural big correction must and will happen soon. Trump cutting corporate taxes and raising annual deficit by 800 billion was a terrible decision. Running out of steam. I'm hiding in G. Once this starts it will be very hard to make gains in the stock market in the next 8-10 years, which sucks. '

If someone disagrees please tell me why you believe the longest bull market in history will continue to rise. I foresee a return to 2011 levels before the start of the next bull run.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/chart ... 2019-02-06
For this reason I have been placing more of my bets on low volatility funds (in my non-TSP investments). In any case, since we haven't inverted yet (I'm paying more attention to the 1 year than the 2 year or 3 month), I'm not too concerned. Of course those could be my famous last words.

Oh and I'm still not sure what to make of the March deadline for the trade pact. I used to think those things would be handled appropriately, but I keep being negatively surprised by this admin. If it does go through, then it would be a major jump for the stock market. Also at the end of March we will have Brexit. Maybe beware of the "Ides of March?"

Enjoy!

Me

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 6:09 am
by Tomanyiron
tspwizard1 wrote: ..We are at the end of a bull cycle. The market cannot go up forever...
If you edit it down to just that, and buy us all a beer, we will give your rep points back. :lol:

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 10:05 am
by ProduceMan
Jan 2011 C - 15.3810. S - 21.5623. I - 20.0281
Dec 2011 C - 15.5299. S - 20.5260. I - 17.6459
That’s a BIG CORRECTION! Even more than 2008. WOW!!!!

Re: She is gonna pull back. Hide

Posted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 1:00 pm
by tspwizard1
Wow. So many people that refuse to see the writing on the wall. I guess they think the longest bull run in the history of the country will go on forever. When it falls I doubt you'll be able to get out of the way fast enough. Your money. GL!