Beware - inversion
Moderator: Aitrus
Beware - inversion
At 5:44AM this morning the 10 and 1 year treasury notes inverted. Do with that information as you please.
Best,
Me
Best,
Me
Re: Beware - inversion
Shakin' in my boots man. lol
Re: Beware - inversion
Head for the hills! Murder a butterfly and drink cow's blood. Or...protect your investments...soon. Usually there's a lag of about 6 months to 1.5 years. We'll see how this one goes, especially given the recent Trump stimulus.Zoro wrote:Shakin' in my boots man. lol
Best,
me
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Beware - inversion
It’s a Trump-tastic market now. None of the old school indicators will work, until it’s over.
Not inversions, moving average crossovers, extreme overbought indicators, trend following, or seasonality. Only he and his children know what’s coming next.
Not inversions, moving average crossovers, extreme overbought indicators, trend following, or seasonality. Only he and his children know what’s coming next.
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
- jlozano042
- Posts: 836
- Joined: Tue Apr 04, 2017 12:37 pm
Re: Beware - inversion
Thanks for the indicator man. I messed up and murdered a cow and drank butterfly blood.cswift01 wrote:Head for the hills! Murder a butterfly and drink cow's blood. Or...protect your investments...soon. Usually there's a lag of about 6 months to 1.5 years. We'll see how this one goes, especially given the recent Trump stimulus.Zoro wrote:Shakin' in my boots man. lol
Best,
me
Re: Beware - inversion
Hahah! I suppose you did all that just to get the pesky Twinkie to slide down?jlozano042 wrote:Thanks for the indicator man. I messed up and murdered a cow and drank butterfly blood.cswift01 wrote:Head for the hills! Murder a butterfly and drink cow's blood. Or...protect your investments...soon. Usually there's a lag of about 6 months to 1.5 years. We'll see how this one goes, especially given the recent Trump stimulus.Zoro wrote:Shakin' in my boots man. lol
Best,
me
Have a great weekend.
- Billionair
- Posts: 271
- Joined: Wed May 02, 2018 11:27 am
Re: Beware - inversion
The Tomy Charts showed us how close we were to reaching an October High. With the FED decision, was a good one to play it safe. Use less proximity and exposure to stocks for the time being.
-What we do in Life, echoes in Retirement-
Re: Beware - inversion
Jay Powell has proven himself to be about as inept as anyone ever to assume the position of Fed chair. Let's look back a few months. In October he said we are a LONG way from neutral on rates. In December he said that running off the balance sheet is on autopilot. Then Trump bashes him and he comes out in January like a broken little boy and says we are now pretty much neutral. Oh, and by the way we will stop reducing our balance sheet in September. What a moron. Is there any doubt that the yield curve, which has predicted the last 7 rescissions, has inverted!!!
Re: Beware - inversion
as long as the SPY stays above 280.40 markets will go higher.... look at the chart and see the magic of 280.40!
Re: Beware - inversion
And if it doesn't? Cuz it didn't.TSP Jedi wrote:as long as the SPY stays above 280.40 markets will go higher.... look at the chart and see the magic of 280.40!
Re: Beware - inversion
No words for today...
Re: Beware - inversion
--------------bamablue wrote:No words for today...
Awesome. And don't call me Shirley.
Re: Beware - inversion
Love how CNBC always paints a roses picture of everything. Nary a word about the yield curve inversion until it is too late. The 10 year is now almost 1/2 basis point less than the 3 month. They won’t point this out until markets have dropped 20% sometime down the road. Then they will talk about the correlation and how historically this is an indicator of a rescission.
- Tomanyiron
- Posts: 4973
- Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am
Re: Beware - inversion
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes
Re: Beware - inversion
Nice chart. Cause & effect are apparent - except for 2013 when low earnings appear to have been offset by QE.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend – not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter
"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
- Andrew Carnegie
- Dean Witter
"Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket."
- Andrew Carnegie
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