Safe as Kittens in the F
Moderator: Aitrus
Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
Very relieved as well. And btw you can make your move now. I am heading over to do it as we speak.
Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
fordest wrote:Very relieved as well. And btw you can make your move now. I am heading over to do it as we speak.
Yup... did awhile ago.
Those who 'abjure' violence can do so only because others are committing violence on their behalf.
Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
Lots of moves to the I fund for tomorrow. I wonder how many dollars that equates to
Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
This sounds like a fun math question:
59% had less than $50,000
30% had $50,000-$249,000
8% had $250,000 - $499,000
2% had $500,000 - $749,000
If we take the weighted averages of the middle of each range and multiply it by the number I fund trades 81% of 90 trades (as of this writing): 72.9 trades into the I fund.
59% of 72.9 = 43 trades @ $25,000 average for $1,075,000
30% of 72.9 = 21.87 trades @ $150,000 average for $3,280,500
8% of 72.9 = 6.39 trades @ $374,000 average for $2,390,608
2% of 72.9 = 1.458 trades @ $624,000 average for $949,792
---
Assuming this normal distribution: $7,695,900
Federal News Radio published an average balance chart in May 2016.evilanne wrote:Lots of moves to the I fund for tomorrow. I wonder how many dollars that equates to
59% had less than $50,000
30% had $50,000-$249,000
8% had $250,000 - $499,000
2% had $500,000 - $749,000
If we take the weighted averages of the middle of each range and multiply it by the number I fund trades 81% of 90 trades (as of this writing): 72.9 trades into the I fund.
59% of 72.9 = 43 trades @ $25,000 average for $1,075,000
30% of 72.9 = 21.87 trades @ $150,000 average for $3,280,500
8% of 72.9 = 6.39 trades @ $374,000 average for $2,390,608
2% of 72.9 = 1.458 trades @ $624,000 average for $949,792
---
Assuming this normal distribution: $7,695,900
Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
Very cool, TopComm! I've got another one for you, inspired by a comment in another thread:
The Treasury Secretary stopped all investment in the G Fund on 12 Dec 17, so those with G Fund balances are instead receiving IOUs. How much longer could the government go before breaching the debt limit if there was no money at all invested in the G Fund by TSP members (and therefore no need to invest by the Treasury)?
The Treasury Secretary stopped all investment in the G Fund on 12 Dec 17, so those with G Fund balances are instead receiving IOUs. How much longer could the government go before breaching the debt limit if there was no money at all invested in the G Fund by TSP members (and therefore no need to invest by the Treasury)?
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
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Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
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Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
That is an awesome question! The bottom line up front is that the US Government would have a big problem on its hands.Aitrus wrote:Very cool, TopComm! I've got another one for you, inspired by a comment in another thread:
The Treasury Secretary stopped all investment in the G Fund on 12 Dec 17, so those with G Fund balances are instead receiving IOUs. How much longer could the government go before breaching the debt limit if there was no money at all invested in the G Fund by TSP members (and therefore no need to invest by the Treasury)?
As of November 30, 2017, there was $223 Billion in the G Fund. The current debt limit is $20.493 trillion.
The debt as of December 13, 2017 was $20.487 trillion. Basically we are $6 Billion away from the debt ceiling.
In the extraordinary measures letter referenced above, the treasury is creating about $57.7 billion in headroom.
If TSP members completely moved out of the G fund, that would create a net $160 Billion immediate demand for payment (exceeding the limit). Hence - BIG PROBLEM!
Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
This makes my stomach turn a little...TopComm wrote:That is an awesome question! The bottom line up front is that the US Government would have a big problem on its hands.Aitrus wrote:Very cool, TopComm! I've got another one for you, inspired by a comment in another thread:
The Treasury Secretary stopped all investment in the G Fund on 12 Dec 17, so those with G Fund balances are instead receiving IOUs. How much longer could the government go before breaching the debt limit if there was no money at all invested in the G Fund by TSP members (and therefore no need to invest by the Treasury)?
As of November 30, 2017, there was $223 Billion in the G Fund. The current debt limit is $20.493 trillion.
The debt as of December 13, 2017 was $20.487 trillion. Basically we are $6 Billion away from the debt ceiling.
In the extraordinary measures letter referenced above, the treasury is creating about $57.7 billion in headroom.
If TSP members completely moved out of the G fund, that would create a net $160 Billion immediate demand for payment (exceeding the limit). Hence - BIG PROBLEM!
Re: Safe as Kittens in the F
Thanks, TopComm! That's some great research.
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
Support the site by purchasing a membership at TSPCalc! https://tspcalc.com
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
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Fund Prices2024-04-26
Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
G | $18.21 | 0.01% | 1.36% |
F | $18.63 | 0.27% | -3.10% |
C | $79.85 | 1.02% | 7.38% |
S | $78.29 | 0.78% | 1.55% |
I | $41.48 | 0.50% | 3.22% |
L2065 | $15.89 | 0.80% | 5.08% |
L2060 | $15.89 | 0.80% | 5.08% |
L2055 | $15.89 | 0.80% | 5.08% |
L2050 | $31.87 | 0.68% | 4.13% |
L2045 | $14.54 | 0.64% | 3.94% |
L2040 | $53.14 | 0.60% | 3.78% |
L2035 | $14.04 | 0.55% | 3.58% |
L2030 | $46.78 | 0.50% | 3.41% |
L2025 | $13.02 | 0.29% | 2.45% |
Linc | $25.43 | 0.23% | 2.10% |