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January 29
[sticky] Special Offer: In The Money Stocks
by  TSPking
TSPCenter currently posts http://www.inthemoneystocks.com free videos almost daily. The response so far has been positive overall.
The Research Center is a subscription service for swing traders, and the cost is $49.99 a month. http://www.Inthemoneystocks.com is making a special offers to TSPCenter that register via links posted on TSPCenter. Currently you get a one-week free trial for their services like the Research Center, but for TSPCenter members they are going to extend the offer to two weeks.
That is a pretty good deal for TSPCenter members to try it and learn from experienced investors.
We also want to point out that TSPCenter is not making any money off of this deal. None.
Click Here To Take Advantage Of This Offer
February 04
[ Poll ] Poll Question: Bull Market or Bear Trap?
by  Jahbulon | 6 Comments
Are we in a Bull Market, or a Bull Trap?
February 03
We need some bulls talking
by Tomanyiron | 25 Comments
Anyone Frustrated Besides Me? Can't be just stupid luck, some people have made over 12% since Jan 1, by not listening to the, things are going to turn bad soon crowd, but not one of them ever post, WHY?
Anyone of you 58 care to share?
1 tkdawg +12.23%
2 rf53 +12.22%
3 motoguzzi +12.22%
4 jpvradio +12.22%
5 glotto +12.22%
6 cleco +12.22%
7 waiwai32 +12.22%
8 jtakers +12.22%
9 tspme +12.22%
10 macredash +12.22%
11 MMARTI7 +12.22%
12 tooelegal +12.22%
13 ericward +12.22%
14 wblack79 +12.22%
15 EFM-TSP +12.22%
16 dominooki +12.22%
17 tryn2rtre +12.22%
18 zomayra7 +12.22%
19 philmiec +12.22%
20 mitch109 +12.22%
21 jwaldron +12.22%
22 complacent +12.22%
23 jpvradio +12.22%
24 chief04010 +12.22%
25 cleco +12.22%
26 littlelite +12.22%
27 Crossmanj +12.22%
28 kebo11 +12.22%
29 klgreen42 +12.22%
30 mike305 +12.22%
31 macredash +12.22%
32 wblack79 +12.22%
33 patlvfd +12.22%
34 zomayra7 +12.22%
35 Rafta +12.22%
36 Bigsky1989 +12.22%
37 hopepml1 +12.22%
38 chansonk +12.22%
39 macbeth +12.22%
40 PapaPanda +12.22%
41 littlelite +12.22%
42 Crossmanj +12.22%
43 kebo11 +12.22%
44 klgreen42 +12.22%
45 mike305 +12.22%
46 macredash +12.22%
47 wblack79 +12.22%
48 patlvfd +12.22%
49 zomayra7 +12.22%
50 Bigsky1989 +12.22%
51 hopepml1 +12.22%
52 chansonk +12.22%
53 macbeth +12.22%
54 Rafta +12.22%
55 St3gz +12.22%
56 rich19971 +12.22%
57 PapaPanda +12.22%
58 Sutterica +12.20%
(list of just the over 12% people, many more bulls than that)
February 03
Friday Market Commentary
by Jahbulon | 2 Comments
Videos are coming.........
Succinct summation of weeks events:
Positives:
1) Jan Payroll gains show big upside surprise of 243k, about 100k more than expected, unemployment rate falls to 8.3%
2) ISM services index rises to best since Feb 11
3) ISM mfrg up 1 pt but touch less than expected
4) Jan vehicle sales at 14.1mm is best since clunker month in Aug 09 and the most since May 08 before that
5) US savings rate rises to 4% from 3.5%
6) Initial Jobless Claims fall 12k
7) Amount of Germans unemployed fall again, rate at 6.7%
8) UK mfrg and services PMI figures both rise
9) Final euro zone mfrg and services PMI in line with initial
10) Portuguese bond yields fall from highs, Italian yields lower too with Spain flat
11)China mfrg PMI stays above 50, Taiwan and South Korea rise but remain below 50
12) Indias mfrg and services PMIs both jump
Negatives:
1) US Jan Consumer Confidence falls almost 4 pts to 61.1, well below expectations of 68 as labor market answers soften and those that plan to buy a home falls to lowest since Aug and those that plan to buy a car down at lowest since Oct 10
2) CS home price index falls to lowest since Feb 03
3) MBA said refis fell 3.6% and purchase apps were down 1.7%
4) Canadas Jan jobs report disappoints
5) China PMI services index falls to 52.9 from 56, the 2nd lowest since Feb 11
6) Taiwans economy in a recession after Q4 contraction q/o/q
7) Greek debt discussions for another week are hours away from wrapping up
8) Amount of LTRO funds from ECB continue to be redeposited with the ECB
9) Giants/Pats Super Bowl again
February 03
The F Fund
by Bootstrap | 1 Comment
I added this to rdrtch's post but decided to start a new one. My concern about the F Fund is that it is at the threshold of the 52-week high already if the Barclays Aggregate Bond (AGG) is a solid comparator. The AGG is currently at 110.56 and the 52 week high is 111.07. Any reason to believe that the AGG will significantly outperform its 52 week high in February? It does not appear to have done so in the past five years. Any insight, views, opinions, predictions, etc., on this issue would be appreciated.
February 03
I am taking donations
by kohliekohl | 4 Comments
I have been in F Fund since early Jan on the false hope that this market would dip back down. I almost pulled the trigger back to S Fund two days ago, but didn't, thinking we would get the long awaited dip.
As soon as I pull the trigger, rest assured, this rally will stop  .
I am therefore holding you all hostage and requesting 1 million dollars by 6 pm Eastern Time on Sunday, Feb 5th, 2012. Otherwise, I will be forced to pull the trigger on the S Fund and push this rally off the cliff.
Ignore this at your own investing peril .
February 03
I know how to stop the current market upswing.......
by  rdrtch | 8 Comments
Me going 100% S Fund!
February 03
Social Security Trust Fund Outlook Takes $1 Tril Dive
by Jahbulon | 16 Comments
Social Security Trust Fund Outlook Takes $1 Tril Dive
By JED GRAHAM , INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY
The outlook for Social Security's trust fund has deteriorated to an astonishing degree over the past year, new Congressional Budget Office projections show.
The nonpartisan budget scorekeeper released the estimates Tuesday as part of broader economic and budget forecasts. CBO expects the trust fund to peak in 2018 and decline to $2.7 trillion in 2022 a full $1 trillion less than Social Security's own actuaries predicted last year.
The new trajectory suggests that the trust fund's current depletion date of 2036 may jump ahead several years when Social Security's trustees release their annual report this spring, making the retirement program more central to the 2012 election .
The trust fund doesn't mean much for the government's ability to afford benefits Social Security's assets are offset by Treasury's equal debt. But it does give the program the legal authority to pay all promised benefits until its special Treasuries are spent.
Under current law, once the trust fund is gone, Social Security could only pay 78% of benefits. Since older retirees and the disabled would be protected, new retirees would face much deeper cuts to a benefit that is not especially generous to begin with.
The average retired worker received a $1,200 monthly benefit last year before Medicare premiums were subtracted.
Social Security's earlier reckoning day gives people less time to set aside savings to make up for what the program can't afford.
Assuming a 22% automatic cut, average earners (about $43,000 in 2012) halfway into a 40-year career would have to set aside more than 5% of annual wages, or $2,150 a year, to replace lost benefits. This assumes the money is invested in Treasuries and is used to buy a lifetime annuity.
Whoever is in the White House next year likely will have to give workers notice as to how this looming hole in the safety net will be filled, whether by longer careers, more saving or tax hikes.
Click the link above to read the full article.......
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| TSP Share Prices for Feb 3, 2012 |
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Close |
Day |
YTD |
 |
G Fund |
$13.8390 |
+0.00% |
+0.14% |
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F Fund |
$15.4222 |
-0.37% |
+0.46% |
| |
C Fund |
$16.6372 |
+1.47% |
+7.13% |
| |
S Fund |
$23.0350 |
+1.94% |
+12.22% |
| |
I Fund |
$19.2346 |
+1.29% |
+9.00% |
| |
L 2050 |
$10.3680 |
+1.32% |
+7.78% |
| |
L 2040 |
$18.8521 |
+1.16% |
+6.89% |
| |
L 2030 |
$18.3702 |
+1.01% |
+5.96% |
| |
L 2020 |
$17.8222 |
+0.80% |
+4.76% |
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L Income |
$15.2698 |
+0.28% |
+1.77% |
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