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Newest member: VDaGama
November 28
Black Friday and Black Oil
by  United States Tomanyiron | 1 Comment

Stocks: 4 things to know before the open
http://money.cnn.com/2014/11/28/investi ... index.html

Abbreviated version:
1. Oil companies set to take a tumble, U.S. crude oil prices fell by roughly 7% over the previous trading session and are now trading around $69 per barrel.
2. Travel companies set to take off: Lower oil prices benefit airlines and the cruise industry. Delta Airlines (DAL) are rising by 8%, Southwest Airlines (LUV) is gaining 6% and Carnival (CCL) is up by 1.5%.
3. Main markets dipping: While shoppers may be excited about the Black Friday sales bonanza, investors are feeling less enthused. U.S. stock futures are generally being weighed down by oil companies this morning, but the tech-heavy Nasdaq is bucking the trend and inching up.
4. International markets overview: European markets are all moving lower in early trading, but the shift down isn't too dramatic.

U.S. stocks will close at 1 p.m. Friday, marking a shortened trading day after the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday.




November 27
Happy Turkey Day
by  United States Tomanyiron | 5 Comments

I hope that title does not offend anyone, Of course I'm Thankful. :D I'm thankful for a lot of things, I'm very thankful for TSPCenter and all its participants. I don't know what the weather/road conditions are at where all of you are, but be safe. If you can try to get in a healthy walk before all the eating starts. Which brings me to the important question—which is healthier: white or dark meat?
I think white is what I have read, calorically and saturated fat speaking white turkey breast meat trumps dark meat. Oh, :shock: I'm sorry I brought up calories.




November 26
Low Cost Long Term investments to accompany TSP
by  United States - Wyoming maxbobcat | 6 Comments

So I have been doing a lot of research lately...at first I thought I wanted to max-out my TSP....now I am leaning towards just getting my matching into my TSP and then starting a Betterment.com account to accompany my TSP for long term retirement investments in Vangaurd index funds.

Betterment seems to invest in Vanguard funds using a Portfolio strategy, automatic rebalancing, and once you get $50k in there, they start doing tax loss harvesting for free, and their fees are really low.

Anybody here used Betterment to accompany their TSP? They seem new, so I am guessing not many people have had it for too long. Why is Betterment a better investment than just getting a Vanguard account? Betterment gives their side here: https://www.betterment.com/resources/in ... etterment/ What do you guys think?

Here are some more reviews I've read about betterment:

http://cashcowcouple.com/service-review ... nt-review/

http://investorjunkie.com/8745/betterment-review/

http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2014/11/ ... etterment/

What do you guys think? I want to start saving 50% of my take-home between my TSP and my new account I have yet to open. Anybody got recommendations besides betterment?

thanks




November 26
9 Tips to trade like a pro --Nasdaq.com article review
by  United States CFund&Hold | 16 Comments

All the credit goes to this article see link to aid discussion.
[url]http://investorplace.com/2014/11/9-ways-how-to-invest/3/

Who can explain why this technique makes sense and/or why not use 20/50/200 day moving averages...

Page 3 "One simple idea is to use the 10-month moving average on the S&P 500 as a trigger. When the index closes below that number, sell. When it crosses above, buy."

Thanks

Chuck




November 25
Thanksgivings Effect
by  United States Tomanyiron | 8 Comments

Ok we are starting to read it every where. “The Wednesday before and the Friday after Thanksgiving has seasonally been the two best trading days in November, and that effect also includes a negative Monday following Thanksgiving”.

But I stand by my words, “Seasonal tendencies are great to look at and talk about, but you can’t count on them each and every year. What the market is doing leading up to the “Event” is important”.

The Fear/Greed Index is at 57, not extreme greed yet. And the pre-markets are up a little (6:30 AM EST). But my F fund charts are still telling me to hold, and my S and C fund charts are not signaling a buy.

Has anyone did any “back-looking”, I did and this site will give you the actual dates of past Thanksgivings. http://www.timeanddate.com/holidays/us/thanksgiving-day. Take the time to look at what the past Thanksgivings have provided and see what you think. I think it has been very mixed the last 10 years. And if you factor in the overbought-ness (including the last two days), I don’t see the odds good enough for me this year.

If my situation was different and I was already in the C/S funds, I might hold at least past the holiday. My signature line very much applies to this post.




November 24
[ Poll ] Are you going to max out your TSP contribution for 2015?
by  United States - Wyoming maxbobcat | 15 Comments

TSP max Contribution for 2015 is $18,000. Are you going to max it out this year?

Bonus question: What other investments do you plan to do besides the TSP?




November 22
Best Paid TSP Website info
by  United States managingts | 37 Comments

I was wondering if you guys know which website is quite good for TSP strategy. I would rather pay a fee every year if it means that I'll get a bump up on my yearly TSP return, which is not a guarantee but I'd rather have the technical folks tell me more on what's goin on rather than me (the not-so-technical guy) telling myself where the market is heading. Thanks.




 
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TSP Share Prices for Nov 28, 2014
    Close Day YTD
   G Fund $14.5899 +0.01% +2.12%
   F Fund $16.7673 +0.16% +6.52%
   C Fund $27.2321 -0.25% +14.06%
   S Fund $35.9401 -0.90% +6.74%
   I Fund $25.2606 -0.49% -1.19%
   L 2050 $15.1007 -0.38% +7.38%
   L 2040 $26.5802 -0.33% +7.03%
   L 2030 $24.9738 -0.28% +6.46%
   L 2020 $23.0145 -0.20% +5.59%
   L Income $17.4579 -0.06% +3.81%
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AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)

S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)

Wilshire 4500 (S Fund)
Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Complet (^DWCPF)

EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)