Stay Calm Index

[Tomanyiron]

If not the rock, what is this about?

guns

[12squared]

If not the rock, what is this about?

guns

Why? Is the TSP considering divesting from associated companies?

[Tomanyiron]

[tnwhiskey]

Was wondering when your signals would change, lol. Interestingly the same day as many seasonality strats.

[visual18]

Late to the thread, but what is the Y axis?

[Tomanyiron]

Late to the thread, but what is the Y axis?

The vertical number line is for two data points. The lower one, (at -15.75) is the 2-year total for the S fund. The 2022 end of year total was -26.11. The top number is derived from 4 chart / indicators combinations I have found to be the most accurate for trend direction.
This is the four: https://schrts.co/gmNmEbwQ, https://schrts.co/ENkAyhUt, https://schrts.co/kVBdMmEQ, https://schrts.co/mhgBIpsT.
After studying past trend changes, I came up with a formula to calculate each one's daily change. That gave me a positive or negative number that I added to or subtracted from 5. Above 5 = be in the S fund, under 5 =go to the G fund.
Not prefect by any means, but the best I have found for the IFT rules.
I have not done extensive backtesting, only what I would call a lot of "back-looking"
Sometime soon I hope to do a performance calculation of this Index. And then at the start of the new year, include a running percent of performance.

[Tomanyiron]

[12squared]

That may be true of lawyers and politicians, but the technical types I've known are generally straight shooters. It may be why there are so few of them in political office.

[jimcasada]

I don't know about that...

I remember several years ago, when I worked at a major research facility at Oklahoma State University, we had certain professors that probably made more money on the side "professional consultants" or as a paid special witness in lawsuits for some of same companies supporting our research, than for their lowly State government pay.

[12squared]

I don't know about that...

I remember several years ago, when I worked at a major research facility at Oklahoma State University, we had certain professors that probably made more money on the side "professional consultants" or as a paid special witness in lawsuits for some of same companies supporting our research, than for their lowly State government pay.

I can't imagine how anyone - in any profession - who is paid to be a witness would not be in agreement with the position of whoever was paying. That special case aside, I have never found that more than 9 out of 10 employees agree with the position of the owner, boss or management.

[Aitrus]

That may be true of lawyers and politicians, but the technical types I've known are generally straight shooters. It may be why there are so few of them in political office.

I think Tomanyiron was referring to situations like the one this individual faced and explained in detail:

https://www.thefp.com/p/i-overhyped-cli ... -published

[12squared]

That may be true of lawyers and politicians, but the technical types I've known are generally straight shooters. It may be why there are so few of them in political office.

I think Tomanyiron was referring to situations like the one this individual faced and explained in detail:

https://www.thefp.com/p/i-overhyped-cli ... -published

No argument that there are always bad apples in any barrel. 97% is a hefty indictment of scientific integrity.

But why bring this up at all? What does it have to do with TSP?

[Tomanyiron]

But why bring this up at all? What does it have to do with TSP?

It may not be directly related to TSP. But then it might? It is meant to be a way of poking a little fun at a few things in the news lately. It is not political one way or another, both sides have been guilty.

[12squared]

But why bring this up at all? What does it have to do with TSP?

It may not be directly related to TSP. But then it might? It is meant to be a way of poking a little fun at a few things in the news lately. [/URL]

Is the connection to TSP based on the many scientists who work for the federal government who contribute to TSP?

What is "fun" about questioning the integrity of 97% of the scientific community - or any disparaging any group - unless you are not among them.

It is not political one way or another, both sides have been guilty.

What "sides" do you mean? Guilty of what?

[mhende2]

What does the latest chart numbers show Tom? Been a depressing period past couple weeks, and I'm ready to see signs of an improvement.