Mr. Perfect

General TSP Discussion.

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mrpark31
Posts: 3
Joined: Thu Nov 06, 2014 6:35 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by mrpark31 »

How do I follow your post?

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

mrpark31 wrote:How do I follow your post?
I am not sure I understand your question.

You can subscribe to this topic at the top of the page. You can watch my fantasy by clicking the fantasy button below then finding the watch button. If you mean how do you "understand my post", I can explain:

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 - #54633 101.03%
#54957 --- Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/6 -55.99%

Mr. Perfect and Mr. Imperfect are two imaginary twins. Both are time travelers. The major difference in the two is that when Mr. Perfect time travels, he goes to the correct time and makes the correct decision in order to maximize his TSP. Mr. Imperfect, on the other hand, goes to the wrong time and chooses the wrong fund and has amazingly minimized his TSP.

The Fund to Fund dates relate to what each trader has done month to date. For example, above, Mr. Perfect started the month in the S fund and then went to the F fund on 12/4. He has yet to make his second move. You can see that Mr. Imperfect has made his second move into C on 12/6. The # is a TSPCalc-linked strategy number that corresponds to the strategy that each trader is currently using to attain their current results. Finally, the % is each trader's current YTD earnings/losses. This section changes periodically as the two move back and forth through time. Above that I almost always place a bit of commentary on what has happened on the previous day and what changes have occurred.

If, by chance, you meant how do you follow my post with one of your own? Well, you did that swimmingly.

I hope this helps you "follow my post."
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

Mr. Perfect went to C amidst all this turmoil. Let's see how that works out for him. Mr. Imperfect moved back to S so that he could dip into I yesterday.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to C on 12/10 - #55438 101.03%
#55444 --- Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to I on 12/10 -57.17%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

12squared wrote: Have you considered changing the ground rules so that both start in G on January 1?
I have had to institute this rule. It has just be come do difficult to track any other way. December is already crazy enough for me. So the below incorporates those changes. That is the reason Mr. Perfect seems to have lost money. He really didn't, he just traveled to another reality in which he has yet to get to where he was. He will get there. For now, he is in I.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to I on 12/11 - #55578 99.38%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to I on 12/10 to G on 12/11 - #55587 -55.05%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

Mr. Perfect is has been in G for the last two days just waiting this out. Mr. Imperfect found a home in S until yesterday when C came out the loser.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to I on 12/11 to G on 12/13 - #55969 103.42%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/13 - #55970 -55.66%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

No fund was exciting enough yesterday to interest either of the brothers. So, Mr. Imperfect joined Mr. Perfect in G. Both are waiting to see if Santa appears, just like the rest of us.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to I on 12/11 to G on 12/13 - #55969 103.48%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/13 to G on 12/18 - #56282 -56.57%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

Mr. Perfect is still watching/waiting. Nothing worth moving into yet. Mr. Imperfect has found a new home in S.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to I on 12/11 to G on 12/13 - #55969 103.5%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 - #56507 -57.29%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

No change for Mr. Perfect. Mr. Imperfect moved over to C after a long month in S.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to I on 12/11 to G on 12/13 - #55969 103.58%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/24 - #57007 -60.12%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

That record day gave Mr. Perfect more gains in one day than he had all month in December. It also moved him from G to F for the bulk.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to S on 12/26 - #57097 109.85%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/24 to G on 12/26 - #57098 -60.11%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

Yesterday saw C-Fund with double the increase of S-Fund so Mr. Perfect moved over to C. Mr. Imperfect still in G.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to C on 12/26 - #57256 111.60%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/24 to G on 12/26 - #57098 -60.11%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4670
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by Tomanyiron »

So Mr. Perfect is in the C fund now. (Well I know he may change his mind later.) But there is some significance to that. A- If you are feeling bullish, the C fund has got the most strength. B- If you are still in the bear camp, do you see Small Caps not leading as conformation of your bias?

On another note Mr. Fordest, if doing this has been a benefit to you, keep at it. If it is more work than you want to continue then stop. And as for what other people think, if they don’t want to see it, or read your post, that’s easy they can just not click on it. I think a lot of people are pissed about their accounts now, and that has put them in a bad mood. That poll is more about their hatred for that SOB Mr. Perfect, than what the indicator tells them. I’m giving you rep. points because of your work.

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cosmo
Posts: 38
Joined: Mon May 21, 2018 4:00 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by cosmo »

I agree 100% with Tomanyiron.

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fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

Thanks Tomy. I plan to do it for myself. Based on the poll I was thinking to just update it every once in a while. I enjoy watching it, so the time I put into it is worth it for me.
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

User avatar
fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

C was down and S and I were not up enough to bring Mr. Perfect over so he went to G. Still up in the air whether he goes back to C or remains in G for the this last trading day of the year. When I come back to my computer on Wednesday I will post the final results for Mr. Perfect and Mr. Imperfect and we can bid them farewell.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to C on 12/26 to G on 12/28 - #57542 111.61%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/24 to G on 12/26 - #57098 -60.11%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

User avatar
fordest
Posts: 605
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:48 pm

Re: Mr. Perfect

Post by fordest »

The final numbers are in. Mr. Perfect ended the year in S then went to G to start off 2019. Mr. Imperfect also ended the year with 4 days of gains... Who knew?

Some interesting things about the final winning strategy, 57097: It had an average of only 14.36 since 2004, a StD of a whopping 27.35, but a PNR of 87% with only two negative years. However it does have three months with negative average returns. It's previously highest year was 2010 with over 22% followed by 2008 with over 17%. That tells me 2018 had more in common with 2008 than 12 of the other 13 years in this sample.

We can now say goodbye to the 2018 Perfect Brothers.

Mr. Perfect - S to F on 12/4 to S on 12/26 - #57097 113.40%
Mr. Imperfect - G to S on 12/4 to C on 12/24 to G on 12/26 - #57098 -60.10%
100% in the daily system since August 2, 2017.
Following strategy (current pick) #88676. 2020 real life has been following #110838

Post Reply

Fund Prices2022-06-28

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.93 0.01% 1.13%
F $18.60 0.02% -10.96%
C $58.12 -2.01% -19.21%
S $61.51 -2.03% -26.28%
I $32.40 -0.43% -17.85%
L2065 $11.97 -1.45% -19.56%
L2060 $11.97 -1.45% -19.55%
L2055 $11.97 -1.45% -19.55%
L2050 $24.96 -1.19% -16.87%
L2045 $11.50 -1.12% -15.88%
L2040 $42.43 -1.04% -14.79%
L2035 $11.34 -0.96% -13.58%
L2030 $38.22 -0.87% -12.29%
L2025 $11.20 -0.61% -8.57%
Linc $22.40 -0.34% -4.62%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".