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 Post subject: Interesting study?
 Post Posted: Thu May 28, 2020 10:28 am 
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Joined: Mar 05, 2020
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As many have noted, it's nice that you can see where most of the moves are going any given day on the TSP Center. It would be interesting to make a study of all the moves throughout the year. If for example, 80% of all the given moves in one day have gone one direction, it would be interesting to see if those moves correlate with positive market action. If such a study could be made, that would be interesting to see over a 10 or 20 year period AND at what point would this number mean something (e.g. could the percentage or number of people moving make a difference?). This could be an expansive study as you would have to first look at the number of people and then at the percentage movements. I'm sure at some point its just noise, but its often said that the "herd" can be trend following...but sometimes they are also right (or at least economists say that).

I don't know if TSPKing or TSPCalc would be interested in such a study. I certainly don't have the stats from this website.

Best,

Bubba


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AGG (F Fund)
iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG)

S&P 500 (C Fund)
S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC)

DWCPF (S Fund)
Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index (^DWCPF)

EFA (I Fund)
iShares MSCI EAFE Index (EFA)