I'm not sure how reliable this is, enjoy either way:
https://www.newtonanalytics.com/bear-ma ... bility.php
Not sure
Moderator: Aitrus
Re: Not sure
Not a lot of data but I hope the predictions are true.
Re: Not sure
Seems like a probability above 30% is a definitive statement for an actual bear market.
Fund Prices2024-04-17
| Fund | Price | Day | YTD |
| G | $18.19 | 0.01% | 1.25% |
| F | $18.68 | 0.50% | -2.85% |
| C | $78.62 | -0.58% | 5.72% |
| S | $76.27 | -0.89% | -1.07% |
| I | $40.66 | -0.17% | 1.19% |
| L2065 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.17% |
| L2060 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.18% |
| L2055 | $15.60 | -0.47% | 3.18% |
| L2050 | $31.39 | -0.35% | 2.57% |
| L2045 | $14.34 | -0.33% | 2.47% |
| L2040 | $52.43 | -0.31% | 2.41% |
| L2035 | $13.87 | -0.28% | 2.31% |
| L2030 | $46.25 | -0.25% | 2.24% |
| L2025 | $12.93 | -0.12% | 1.78% |
| Linc | $25.29 | -0.09% | 1.55% |