Anticipation

General TSP Discussion.

Moderator: Aitrus

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Updated August 25, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 194, Force -90

Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Updated August 26, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 195, Force -20

Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

harryface
Posts: 38
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 11:38 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by harryface »

I have read the beginning of this thread and can't figure out what Friend and Force tell me and what to look for to know when to move from G to S or the reverse. Can you explain?

tnwhiskey
Posts: 46
Joined: Thu Dec 12, 2019 7:14 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by tnwhiskey »

harryface wrote: Fri Aug 27, 2021 8:51 am I have read the beginning of this thread and can't figure out what Friend and Force tell me and what to look for to know when to move from G to S or the reverse. Can you explain?

Force must be above zero line AND friend must be up two days in a row before transferring to "S" fund

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

tnwhiskey wrote: Fri Aug 27, 2021 2:25 pm
harryface wrote: Fri Aug 27, 2021 8:51 am I have read the beginning of this thread and can't figure out what Friend and Force tell me and what to look for to know when to move from G to S or the reverse. Can you explain?

Force must be above zero line AND friend must be up two days in a row before transferring to "S" fund
Thanks Tennessee Whiskey for answering for me, I have been traveling (in Tennessee, drinking too much whiskey) this weekend, and didn’t check in.

And yes, that’s what I’m waiting for (Force moving above 0). However, I can’t brag much about the method’s performance lately.

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Updated August 27, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 198, Force -6

Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image
Updated August 30, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 200, Force +20
Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

Online
NUC SHARK
Posts: 24
Joined: Tue Oct 03, 2017 4:02 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by NUC SHARK »

So FORCE popping up into above zero territory today and FRIEND creeping upwards the last few days. this would say jump into S fund time. i cant help but wonder if the investors are anticipating a strong August jobs report this coming friday; which would be a big piece of the puzzle for the Fed to start tapering.

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Updated August 31, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 241, Force 21

Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Updated September 1, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 274, Force 68

Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image

Updated September 2, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 301, Force 113

Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

strohz
Posts: 13
Joined: Fri Dec 30, 2016 6:08 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by strohz »

Well I've been watching this for a while (I tune in for the cartoons if nothing else) and you say "system says move to S" after months of G. Did you do it?

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

strohz wrote: Sat Sep 04, 2021 7:14 am Well I've been watching this for a while (I tune in for the cartoons if nothing else) and you say "system says move to S" after months of G. Did you do it?
Yes, I made the IFT September 2. My hopes (not worth much) are to stay in S fund past Christmas. A long time out should equal a long time in. :wink:

User avatar
Tomanyiron
Posts: 4380
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

Image
And another good thing, it blocks out bad odors

Updated September 3, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 337, Force 143

Image
RULES:
1- FORCE must be above zero to be in S fund
2- FRIEND must have two consecutive days up.

3 Go to G fund when FRIEND has two consecutive days down
However, you may use the charts to make your own rules. OR ignore this boondoggle altogether

User avatar
bloobs
Posts: 1116
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by bloobs »

im curious if you tweak your algorithm from time to time, to refine it based on empirical evidence? If so, what changes have you applied?

Post Reply

Fund Prices2021-09-16

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.66 0.00% 0.94%
F $21.10 -0.18% -0.47%
C $67.28 -0.15% 20.33%
S $85.17 0.23% 14.78%
I $39.75 -0.26% 12.32%
L2065 $14.47 -0.13% 16.60%
L2060 $14.47 -0.13% 16.60%
L2055 $14.47 -0.13% 16.60%
L2050 $29.33 -0.12% 13.66%
L2045 $13.37 -0.12% 12.86%
L2040 $48.74 -0.11% 12.08%
L2035 $12.86 -0.10% 11.15%
L2030 $42.75 -0.09% 10.24%
L2025 $12.07 -0.07% 8.12%
Linc $23.25 -0.04% 4.36%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".