Anticipation

General TSP Discussion.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 15, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 524, Force -6

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 16, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 514, Force -86

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 18, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 433, Force -276

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4325
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 21, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 430, Force -227

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4325
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 22, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 479, Force -150

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4325
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 23, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 544, Force -87

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4325
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 24, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 588, Force +17

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

amybelieve
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Joined: Tue Jun 26, 2018 10:35 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by amybelieve »

With Force over 1 and all the strategies saying move to S, should you agree with it; But then... it's hard because who wants to move into the market at an all time high?

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bloobs
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Re: Anticipation

Post by bloobs »

amybelieve wrote: Fri Jun 25, 2021 9:58 am With Force over 1 and all the strategies saying move to S, should you agree with it; But then... it's hard because who wants to move into the market at an all time high?
True, but empirically the market often moves in extremes (i.e. overreacts). An all-time high reached today could and has served as the impetus for even higher highs in the near future.

As a caveat, March/April 2020 presents the opposite case, where the market overreacted to the downside too much.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 25, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 639, Force +84

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 28, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 669, Force +83

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 29, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 659, Force +46

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated June 30, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 650, Force -14

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated July 1, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 643, Force -33

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4325
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated July 2, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 634, Force -76

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Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

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Fund Prices2021-07-27

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.63 0.00% 0.76%
F $21.11 0.24% -0.42%
C $66.04 -0.47% 18.12%
S $83.84 -0.93% 12.99%
I $38.76 -0.09% 9.52%
L2065 $14.18 -0.40% 14.24%
L2060 $14.18 -0.40% 14.24%
L2055 $14.18 -0.40% 14.24%
L2050 $28.84 -0.31% 11.74%
L2045 $13.16 -0.29% 11.05%
L2040 $48.00 -0.27% 10.38%
L2035 $12.68 -0.24% 9.59%
L2030 $42.19 -0.22% 8.80%
L2025 $11.94 -0.16% 7.01%
Linc $23.11 -0.07% 3.73%

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