Anticipation

General TSP Discussion.

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amybelieve
Posts: 8
Joined: Tue Jun 26, 2018 10:35 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by amybelieve »

Just wondering if you saw the note about the S fund crossing the friend line. That would have been a great day to buy

tnwhiskey
Posts: 30
Joined: Thu Dec 12, 2019 7:14 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by tnwhiskey »

amybelieve wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:47 am Just wondering if you saw the note about the S fund crossing the friend line. That would have been a great day to buy
I believe the force line has to move in the positive direction @ or around 0 to confirm the move to S.

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

tnwhiskey wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:31 pm
amybelieve wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:47 am Just wondering if you saw the note about the S fund crossing the friend line. That would have been a great day to buy
I believe the force line has to move in the positive direction @ or around 0 to confirm the move to S.
Yes, that would have been a good time to move to the S.
My buy signal with this system (as is now) says: Friend up 2 days in a row, while the Force is above 0.
I'm going with that a little longer, before I change it.
This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

tnwhiskey
Posts: 30
Joined: Thu Dec 12, 2019 7:14 pm

Re: Anticipation

Post by tnwhiskey »

Tomanyiron wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:46 pm
tnwhiskey wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:31 pm
amybelieve wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:47 am Just wondering if you saw the note about the S fund crossing the friend line. That would have been a great day to buy
I believe the force line has to move in the positive direction @ or around 0 to confirm the move to S.
Yes, that would have been a good time to move to the S.
My buy signal with this system (as is now) says: Friend up 2 days in a row, while the Force is above 0.
I'm going with that a little longer, before I change it.
Damn it, I was close :D Thanks for the clarification

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated February 10, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 695, Force 26.21

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This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated February 11, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 698, Force 33.51

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This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

PhilJohn
Posts: 311
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 10:38 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by PhilJohn »

Ok, so for Monday, if the blue line thingy is up again, while the pink line thingy is still above zero, that means I should go back to S Fund?
Just trying to learn here.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

PhilJohn wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 4:51 am Ok, so for Monday, if the blue line thingy is up again, while the pink line thingy is still above zero, that means I should go back to S Fund?
Just trying to learn here.
If the GREEN line thingy (not blue) has not had two days (in a row) down, while the pink line thingy is still above zero, that means this system says be in S Fund.

Yeah it kinda complicated, :oops: I may work on a one “line thingy” indicator line. One that is a combination of the Friend and Force.
Lately the Friend by it’s self has been the best indicator. Force has been too slow to signal an IFT.
I’m thinking of going back and revisiting the KISS principle.

Thanks Phil, I like that word “Thingy”, :roll: the Thingy Index, the Thingy Guide, or the Thingy Rule? :?
This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

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bloobs
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Re: Anticipation

Post by bloobs »

Tomanyiron wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 8:51 am ...Force has been too slow to signal an IFT.
I’m thinking of going back and revisiting the KISS principle...
Perhaps you can "offset" the force line vertically, so it crosses the zero line sooner? If I understand your method correctly, the zero line is somewhat arbitrarily derived--and therefore adjustable per the most recent empirical evidence.

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

bloobs wrote: Tue Feb 16, 2021 9:20 am Perhaps you can "offset" the force line vertically, so it crosses the zero line sooner? If I understand your method correctly, the zero line is somewhat arbitrarily derived--and therefore adjustable per the most recent empirical evidence.
Force is a momentum thing. And called it good for that sell on Jan 22.
Maybe different indicator lines for buy than sell, have to do a lot of backlooking.
Slow momentum for selling, fast momentum for buying?

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated February 12, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 705, Force 38.21

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This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

PhilJohn
Posts: 311
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 10:38 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by PhilJohn »

The "Thingy Index" would be so cool. I would tell all my friends I invented a name for complex investment strategies. (They would never believe that though).

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated February 16, 2021 at Market Close, Friend (green thingy) was 708, up 3, Force (Pink thingy) was 38.21, down 6.4

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This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated February 17, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 713 (up 5), Force 14.81 (down 23.40)

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This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

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Tomanyiron
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Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Anticipation

Post by Tomanyiron »

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Updated February 18, 2021 at Market Close, Friend 710 (down 3), Force -11.79 (down 26.60)

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This is an attempt to expand known actions into areas not known, so as to arrive at a conjectural assessment of future outcomes (e.g. a driver extrapolates road conditions beyond his sight while driving).

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Fund Prices2021-03-02

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.53 0.00% 0.16%
F $20.73 0.11% -2.21%
C $57.76 -0.81% 3.30%
S $81.37 -1.70% 9.67%
I $36.30 0.04% 2.58%
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