Holy cow!

General TSP Discussion.

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t7thguest
Posts: 12
Joined: Mon Mar 09, 2009 12:35 pm

Re: Holy cow!

Post by t7thguest »

No need for a crystal ball, just follow the leaders of each sector. $TSLA may need to selloff a bit this week or next to provide flows to other big names and this will allow the market to head higher with the S&P at $4k-$4.5k. Be VERY cautious when $AAPL is above $160. The massive correction is coming this year and you'll know it when you see the circuit breakers triggered big time! 500 to 800 daily point drops on the S&P is likely and I'm not even a BEAR. Just an end to a massive bull cycle.

searight
Posts: 85
Joined: Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:56 am

Re: Holy cow!

Post by searight »

I am tracking the number of baby boomers who are retired which is 40% as of September. The baby boomers own the lion share of the stock markets and when they get out of their current greed psychology and jump to a preservation of wealth psychology the market will start to go down. When it starts to go down more will run and we will have a severe correction in the markets and it will take us a couple years to get back to zero.

You have 2 choices when this happens, throw your money into equities and close your eyes until it gets better in a couple years or the other is to try and time the markets.

Just don't make the mistake that many will and sell after it drops 30% or 40%, the market will always come back even if it takes a couple years.

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4973
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Holy cow!

Post by Tomanyiron »

searight wrote:...The baby boomers own the lion share of the stock markets and when they get out of their current greed psychology and jump to a preservation of wealth psychology the market will start to go down...
I see your point, but tell me this, are you expecting that soon? And how will you track the boomers percent in stocks?
"A good decision is based on knowledge and not on numbers." Plato
"Perfect numbers like perfect men are very rare." Rene Descartes

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bloobs
Posts: 1616
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: Holy cow!

Post by bloobs »

searight wrote:...baby boomers...jump to a preservation of wealth psychology the market will start to go down... and we will have a severe correction in the markets and it will take us a couple years to get back to zero.

You have 2 choices when this happens, throw your money into equities and close your eyes until it gets better in a couple years or the other is to try and time the markets.
...
There is a 3rd, and arguably best, option: implement a seasonal strategy.

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