Nothing inspires confidence....

General TSP Discussion.

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Chulke
Posts: 302
Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 10:25 am

Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by Chulke »

in your strategy more than getting slaughtered on the first day in your new fund after transferring in!

Happens nearly every time...but I'm telling myself to trust the process and the strategy this year!

Just hope things pan out by the end of the year!


Cheers!
Cheers!

Current Strat: 85660
Current PIP: 24.89

wmfullen
Posts: 8
Joined: Tue Sep 30, 2014 8:59 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by wmfullen »

no kidding...i just want to go crawl under a rock. Just...brutal.

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stilljammi
Posts: 163
Joined: Sun Dec 01, 2019 3:59 pm

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by stilljammi »

Yeah it's been a rough couple of days. The last correction a few weeks ago was so short lived, we were overdue for another. Plus the S fund was way overbought for the year.

KTSPcalc
Posts: 1
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:22 pm

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by KTSPcalc »

I am sitting in I with a planned move to S on Friday (26 March). A big part of me wants to jump early because I don't think the correction is long-lived; the other part wants me to sit tight until we find the floor. Either way, it's a nail biter. I'd be surprised if we retrace all the way back to the Jan. 1 prices, but we're getting close.

PhilJohn
Posts: 321
Joined: Tue Apr 25, 2017 10:38 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by PhilJohn »

Yeah, I got hit too. Nothing will stop this train from flying off the track. Not even "free money".

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4241
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by Tomanyiron »

2017, 2018 and 2019 there were pullbacks in March. And there was that terrible March last year. Maybe because of Global Warming, March is the new May.
Prediction is hard. Either you know that, or you’re in denial about it. The reason it’s hard is because the visible stuff that happens in the world is a small fraction of the hidden stuff that goes on inside people’s heads.

Regularguy
Posts: 184
Joined: Tue Sep 24, 2013 11:39 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by Regularguy »

I agree. five percent last 2 days in the wrong direction is not a confidence builder. :-)

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Tomanyiron
Posts: 4241
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 6:39 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by Tomanyiron »

Speaking of confidence... interesting to see what the market does after Biden’s news conference.

Chulke
Posts: 302
Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 10:25 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by Chulke »

and here we go getting slaughtered again after a slight rebound!

ugh!


Cheers!
Cheers!

Current Strat: 85660
Current PIP: 24.89

Scorpio70
Posts: 432
Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2015 11:49 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by Scorpio70 »

Yeah, I think we are headed down. Nothing really goes straight up or down though. The market doesn't seem overly impressed by the fed inflating the bubble as of late. So many bubbles floating at once, three I can think of. Inflation is happening, and of course hyperinflation is something that the Federal Reserve cannot protect the American people from. They have no dry powder left. I think once we have a decent correction I will be looking at the C fund.

Chulke
Posts: 302
Joined: Thu Aug 01, 2013 10:25 am

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by Chulke »

Yeah My plan calls to move to C Tomorrow...hoping for better results there and trying like hell to stick to my plan!
lol!


Cheers!
Cheers!

Current Strat: 85660
Current PIP: 24.89

seawatcher
Posts: 87
Joined: Sat Feb 03, 2018 10:49 pm

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by seawatcher »

Many IFTs to C fund today. Any thoughts? All moves following strategies? People hopping off the S fund roller coaster? Infrastructure spending bill pending? Tesla expected to go up and big part of S&P500? Hoping the S fund does much better in April if stays above the 50 day average.
Good luck with your TSP and retirement plans!

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bloobs
Posts: 1067
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 8:00 pm

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by bloobs »

seawatcher wrote: Wed Mar 31, 2021 11:13 am Many IFTs to C fund today. Any thoughts? All moves following strategies? People hopping off the S fund roller coaster? Infrastructure spending bill pending? Tesla expected to go up and big part of S&P500? Hoping the S fund does much better in April if stays above the 50 day average.
1. All moves following strategies? - Yes
2. People hopping off the S fund roller coaster? - Perhaps, based on TA data it has been very volatile
3. Infrastructure spending bill pending? <<-- Clutter...noting but hypothetical or conjectural info...discard
4. Tesla expected to go up and big part of S&P500? <<-- Clutter...noting but hypothetical or conjectural info...discard
5. Hoping the S fund does much better in April if stays above the 50 day average. <<-- Assertion supported by historical data

seawatcher
Posts: 87
Joined: Sat Feb 03, 2018 10:49 pm

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by seawatcher »

Thank you! There is a lot of clutter. Learned not to watch the news -- if the market goes up or down, they say "It's because of this!" or "It's because of that!" making conclusions after the facts are out.
Good luck with your TSP and retirement plans!

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TopNotch
Posts: 219
Joined: Mon Apr 15, 2013 12:38 pm

Re: Nothing inspires confidence....

Post by TopNotch »

seawatcher wrote: Wed Mar 31, 2021 11:13 am Many IFTs to C fund today. Any thoughts? All moves following strategies? People hopping off the S fund roller coaster? Infrastructure spending bill pending? Tesla expected to go up and big part of S&P500? Hoping the S fund does much better in April if stays above the 50 day average.
Last day of the month so I used my second IFT to avoid having to use one in April.
David Tepper - "There is a time to make money and a time to not lose money."

Warren Buffett - "Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1."

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Fund Prices2021-04-19

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.57 0.01% 0.35%
F $20.64 -0.09% -2.61%
C $62.24 -0.53% 11.32%
S $82.24 -1.25% 10.83%
I $38.35 0.41% 8.36%
L2065 $13.67 -0.31% 10.15%
L2060 $13.67 -0.31% 10.15%
L2055 $13.67 -0.31% 10.15%
L2050 $27.92 -0.26% 8.17%
L2045 $12.76 -0.24% 7.66%
L2040 $46.61 -0.22% 7.18%
L2035 $12.33 -0.20% 6.61%
L2030 $41.12 -0.18% 6.05%
L2025 $11.69 -0.14% 4.79%
Linc $22.81 -0.06% 2.38%

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".

What else

"Don't ever half-ass two things. Whole-ass one thing."
- Ron Swanson