Just Like clockwork...

General TSP Discussion.

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wingchaser
Posts: 733
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Having peeked @ the Futures (this mornin’), I can say with added concern that the “tail” on the top of the candle may lend itself to a mild retreat in momentum…

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/23/stock-m ... close.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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harpole
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by harpole »

If S&P holds support at the 200DMA, then wouldn't this be a positive sign that the market is shifting out of a bear market? The more closing days above the better? Or could this be a trick, as the dumb money is moving back in? I'm itching to get back in...
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jatelle
Posts: 155
Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:36 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

harpole wrote: Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:06 am If S&P holds support at the 200DMA, then wouldn't this be a positive sign that the market is shifting out of a bear market? The more closing days above the better? Or could this be a trick, as the dumb money is moving back in? I'm itching to get back in...
I would say more holding support at the 50 SMA at about 393 would be a strong indicator for at least a short term shift.

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bloobs
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

harpole wrote: Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:06 am If S&P holds support at the 200DMA, then wouldn't this be a positive sign that the market is shifting out of a bear market? The more closing days above the better? Or could this be a trick, as the dumb money is moving back in? I'm itching to get back in...
I saw a chart that showed dumb money is/has been increasingly buying in this month while smart money buys are stable--so this backs up the dumb money FOMO action that is what is driving this month's rise.

To me, until the 50/200 day golden cross happens (which it could in the next few days) we are still in a bear market in the mid-term.

jatelle
Posts: 155
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

jatelle wrote: Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:38 am
harpole wrote: Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:06 am If S&P holds support at the 200DMA, then wouldn't this be a positive sign that the market is shifting out of a bear market? The more closing days above the better? Or could this be a trick, as the dumb money is moving back in? I'm itching to get back in...
I would say more holding support at the 50 SMA at about 393 would be a strong indicator for at least a short term shift.
What was REALLY important TODAY was how price held the support of the Nov 29 low (393.3) - which was also the 100 SMA level during that time. This served as the support for the last TWO big upswings on Nov 30/Dec 1 and Dec 13th. Also, today's session closed above yesterday's close. Altogether this is very promising and now opens the door to retest these highs! Had this support failed then we would have seen a massive flush down.

wingchaser
Posts: 733
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Impressive rebound off of 1030 hr. Low, finds Indice closin’ right or near Sessions’ High…

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/24/stock-m ... close.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

jatelle
Posts: 155
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by jatelle »

bloobs wrote: Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:43 am
harpole wrote: Wed Jan 25, 2023 11:06 am If S&P holds support at the 200DMA, then wouldn't this be a positive sign that the market is shifting out of a bear market? The more closing days above the better? Or could this be a trick, as the dumb money is moving back in? I'm itching to get back in...
To me, until the 50/200 day golden cross happens (which it could in the next few days) we are still in a bear market in the mid-term.
We are going to know the way this market is going really SOON. The indices are approaching BOTH the golden cross and the 50 MA Bull Cross (50 EMA over the 50 SMA) possibly at the SAME time - as early as Jan 31. Buckle up!!

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Nice GAP UP Candlestick infers continued Short-Term momentum (likely)…

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/25/stock-f ... nings.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Bottom dropped out @ around 1530 hrs, leavin’ a LONG UPPER SHADOW Candlestick in it’s wake…

Short-Term propensity could see Index fallin’…

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/26/stock-f ... treak.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

megalush5
Posts: 13
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2016 6:44 pm

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by megalush5 »

Supposed to enter into S fund today per my strategy. Just have this sinking feeling that a downturn is inevitable. Nice positive gains this January while I’m sitting in G fund(per strategy). Can gains increase in next couple of weeks? Feels like I’m entering at the top of a rally and that doesn’t sit well…. I know, I know. That’s why I have a trading strategy, to take the thinking’s out of it!

wingchaser
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Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Indice closed right @ Sessions’ Low, (once again) leavin’ an Upper Tail in its wake. This could lend itself to even further decline…

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/29/stock-m ... close.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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Fund Prices2023-01-30

FundPriceDayYTD
G $17.29 0.03% 0.33%
F $18.73 -0.29% 2.87%
C $61.70 -1.29% 4.74%
S $66.60 -1.54% 8.24%
I $36.63 -0.59% 7.93%
L2065 $13.03 -1.07% 6.31%
L2060 $13.04 -1.07% 6.31%
L2055 $13.04 -1.07% 6.31%
L2050 $26.89 -0.90% 5.44%
L2045 $12.36 -0.85% 5.14%
L2040 $45.46 -0.79% 4.82%
L2035 $12.11 -0.72% 4.45%
L2030 $40.67 -0.66% 4.08%
L2025 $11.74 -0.41% 2.77%
Linc $23.29 -0.26% 1.92%

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