Just Like clockwork...

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Aitrus
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Aitrus »

Equityclock.com has an interesting commentary today on what's been going on the past few weeks in the S&P 500. Namely, that it's the breakdown of a large head and shoulders pattern.

Image

Source: http://www.equityclock.com/2022/05/09/s ... y-10-2022/
Seasonal Musings 2022: viewtopic.php?f=14&t=19005
Recommended Reading: http://tspcenter.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=13474
"It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters" Epictetus

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Possible 10% on SOXS - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (again) as potential hedge posturing (ROTH IRA)…

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-QvZ-HpaJNY

Double-Williams Bottom, with accompanying Volume Spike @ 1000 hrs. ($52.61)…

5-digit maximum exposure is recommended (here)…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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bloobs
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

FWIW - i have been getting a ton of fidelity price alert emails (that I set late LAST year) for ETFs and stocks, as these have reached levels that are "fairly valued".

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12squared
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by 12squared »

bloobs wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 7:29 am Been a while since I updated this:
Image
Also consider that the slope of the 50 week MA steepened after the COVID dose of QE. The gap between the weekly price and its 50 MA also increased.
SPDR ETF markup.png
A resumption of the MA growth trends (dashed red lines) after the Fed stops tightening suggests that the S&P might not be back above 4000 for quite a while.
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“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend — not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"You'll have to adapt or you'll be out of style."
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bloobs
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

12squared wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 1:20 pm Also consider that the slope of the 50 week MA steepened after the COVID dose of QE. The gap between the weekly price and its 50 MA also increased.
SPDR ETF markup.png
A resumption of the MA growth trends (dashed red lines) after the Fed stops tightening suggests that the S&P might not be back above 4000 for quite a while.
Makes sense. That means the only way to make any money this year is through frequent trading or following a high IFT count seasonal strategy; no buy and hold.

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12squared
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by 12squared »

Buy and Hold maybe a lost cause this year, ala 2008.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend — not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"You'll have to adapt or you'll be out of style."
- Robert Smith

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

From an observation standpoint, this index wanted to go UP more than it wanted to tank (today). Having said that, it closed just about even…

We would all like to see a BOTTOM please!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

‘Bout time…

https://www.reuters.com/business/global ... 022-05-11/

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Once again, seller’s dominate market drivin’ index to session’s Low…

One (1) has to reach all the way back to 1-Jan-21 (3,714) for the next (nearest) level of SUPPORT…

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-ma ... 49483.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

If one (1) were to blink their eyes, Futures can go from Green to Red in a heartbeat…

https://www.investors.com/market-trend/ ... src=A00220

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 475
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

My hedge (+3% ROI)

SOXS - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (again)

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-QvZ-HpaJNY

was over @ 0942 hrs., while the better play in one’s ROTH IRA could have been made @ 1105 hrs. ($56.93) for a quick 10% ROI…

5-digit maximum exposure is recommended (here)…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Nice Candlestick (SPINNING TOP), which (again) in a normal market, would be indicative of a trend reversal…

This market, as we’re witnessing, is anything but normal!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 475
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Be curious to see who opts back into the market after two (2) impressive UP days…

Wonder if I’ll be one (1) of them?

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 475
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Breakin’ News Feed…

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/futur ... ssion-talk

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 475
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Entry point (today) on SOXS - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares @ 1030 hrs. - $49.40 (again) as possible hedge posturing (ROTH IRA)…

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-QvZ-HpaJNY

Williams %R Bottom confirmation with accelerated Upsurge…

Out with 4% gain…

5-digit maximum exposure is recommended (here)…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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Fund Prices2022-06-23

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.92 0.01% 1.09%
F $18.70 0.37% -10.46%
C $57.73 0.96% -19.76%
S $60.75 1.72% -27.19%
I $31.69 -0.31% -19.66%
L2065 $11.82 0.62% -20.59%
L2060 $11.82 0.62% -20.59%
L2055 $11.82 0.62% -20.58%
L2050 $24.70 0.54% -17.73%
L2045 $11.39 0.51% -16.70%
L2040 $42.04 0.47% -15.57%
L2035 $11.25 0.44% -14.31%
L2030 $37.92 0.40% -12.97%
L2025 $11.14 0.28% -9.07%
Linc $22.33 0.17% -4.93%

Live Charts

Pending Allocations

Under development. For now, you may view Pending Allocations by going to "fantasy TSP" and selecting "Leaderboard sort" of "Pending Allocations".