Just Like clockwork...

General TSP Discussion.

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wingchaser
Posts: 476
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Early indication that Markets want to move higher…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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bamablue
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bamablue »

I used to view the pre-market movement as a sign of direction. With the volatility of the past 8 weeks, that's just not possible

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bloobs
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

bloobs wrote: Tue May 10, 2022 7:29 am Image
Image

What are the odds the Fed issues a statement similar to the one below when it hits that mark in a month or two:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business ... -asks-him/?

wingchaser
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Screamin’ volume last 15 minutes sent Index closing right near Sessions’ High…

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-ma ... 01613.html

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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Tomanyiron
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by Tomanyiron »

War with China gaffes causing another market freefall.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... in-beijing

wingchaser
Posts: 476
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Entry point into SOXS - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (again) as potential hedge posturing (ROTH IRA) @ $54.29 at approx. 0942 hours with a LONG LOWER SHADOW CANDLESTICK…

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-QvZ-HpaJNY

5-digit maximum exposure is recommended (here)…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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12squared
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by 12squared »

Tomanyiron wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 10:17 am War with China gaffes causing another market freefall.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... in-beijing
That article (Biden’s Latest Taiwan Gaffe Stokes Tensions With Beijing) makes no mention of how China is connected to today's market reaction.

A more likely catalyst:
The Stock Market Is Falling Because Snap’s Warning Has Rekindled Recession Worries
"Snap blamed the economy when it lowered its sales and profit guidance for the current quarter"

SNAP was down 30% pre-market, almost 40% at 10:30 EDT.
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend — not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"You'll have to adapt or you'll be out of style."
- Robert Smith

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bloobs
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

12squared wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 10:40 am
Tomanyiron wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 10:17 am War with China gaffes causing another market freefall.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... in-beijing
That article (Biden’s Latest Taiwan Gaffe Stokes Tensions With Beijing) makes no mention of how China is connected to today's market reaction.

A more likely catalyst:
The Stock Market Is Falling Because Snap’s Warning Has Rekindled Recession Worries
"Snap blamed the economy when it lowered its sales and profit guidance for the current quarter"

SNAP was down 30% pre-market, almost 40% at 10:30 EDT.
Or just maybe....all of the above are the items that the market movers want to use as EXCUSES that will help them get to their goal, which is to get to a specific price point, just like this:

Image

Because just maybe reaching that price point is what triggers the Fed to stop hiking rates for the moment--triggering a massive relief rally.

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12squared
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by 12squared »

bloobs wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 11:18 am just maybe reaching that price point is what triggers the Fed to stop hiking rates for the moment--triggering a massive relief rally.
What are the odds this occurs during the TSP blackout period?
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend — not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"You'll have to adapt or you'll be out of style."
- Robert Smith

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bloobs
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by bloobs »

12squared wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 11:35 am
bloobs wrote: Tue May 24, 2022 11:18 am just maybe reaching that price point is what triggers the Fed to stop hiking rates for the moment--triggering a massive relief rally.
What are the odds this occurs during the TSP blackout period?
[throws up hands]

PS - 12^2 - i'm fairly certain the powers-that-be are aware that the TSP transactions are gonna be static for a 1-2 (3?) week period--and are machinating that information actively to their best interests (which is typically AGAINST our best interests :cry: )

wingchaser
Posts: 476
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Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Another instance where the S&P finished right near the Sessions’ High, though still managed a losin’ day…

Love the tails on these last few candles!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
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“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 476
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

My belief, at least I think it is, is that our Fantasy Website should follow TSP.GOV with move restrictions to keep everything tightly coupled…

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

wingchaser
Posts: 476
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

As strong as the action was in today’s market, this Index still managed to give back 1/3 of the earning’s in the last 45 minutes…

Precursor?

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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12squared
Posts: 484
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2015 7:28 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by 12squared »

wingchaser wrote: Wed May 25, 2022 5:48 pm As strong as the action was in today’s market, this Index still managed to give back 1/3 of the earning’s in the last 45 minutes
Irrational exuberance?
“The genius of investing is recognizing the direction of the trend — not catching the highs or the lows.”
- Dean Witter

"You'll have to adapt or you'll be out of style."
- Robert Smith

wingchaser
Posts: 476
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2009 8:39 am

Re: Just Like clockwork...

Post by wingchaser »

Investors seem to like the fact that the Fed is targeting “only” 50 Basis Point Hikes the rest of the year, Stocks may not end up liking that @ all…

We shall see!!!

Best of Luck (everyone) in all you choose to endeavor!!!
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t... pays it.” ~ Albert Einstein

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Fund Prices2022-06-24

FundPriceDayYTD
G $16.92 0.01% 1.10%
F $18.66 -0.23% -10.67%
C $59.49 3.06% -17.31%
S $62.85 3.46% -24.67%
I $32.57 2.79% -17.42%
L2065 $12.17 2.99% -18.22%
L2060 $12.17 2.99% -18.21%
L2055 $12.17 2.99% -18.21%
L2050 $25.31 2.46% -15.71%
L2045 $11.65 2.30% -14.78%
L2040 $42.95 2.15% -13.75%
L2035 $11.47 1.98% -12.61%
L2030 $38.61 1.81% -11.40%
L2025 $11.28 1.26% -7.93%
Linc $22.49 0.71% -4.25%

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